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Brescia vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-78
22-22 25-26 19-18 23-12
Position#3
Record16-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game76.1
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record10-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game86.7
ItalyLega ARound 22· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brescia v Scafati
19 Apr 2025
BRE86
SKA72
10 Mar 2024
BRE89
SKA78
16 Oct 2022
BRE82
SKA81
06 Jun 2016
BRE82
SKA72
04 Jun 2016
BRE83
SKA74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
61avg 76
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
72-64
72
64
+8
1avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
88-67
88
67
+21
87avg 76
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
95avg 76
A20/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
109-90
109
90
+19
107avg 76
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
104-83
104
83
+21
104avg 76
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
86-63
86
63
+23
87avg 76
H11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 76
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 76
A03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
21-20
13-21
15-27
15-18
18-14
19-16
20-16
21-19
19-22
23-26
16-21
18-23
18-17
33-9
19-18
25-17
27-15
25-15
16-22
27-13
29-32
18-26
35-19
30-12
24-16
17-25
33-30
29-10
24-17
14-9
19-27
11-19
19-15
16-27
28-19
21-29
24-25
23-25
15-14
164.2Avg total
85.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.176.1164.2+12.076%
Season at home (10)90.873.7164.5+17.190%
Season away (11)85.678.4164.0+7.364%
Last 10 (10)85.978.3164.2+7.660%
Last 5 (5)91.281.8173.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.890.8146.6-35.00%
vs Similar (4)77.878.2156.0-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.676.2165.7+13.479%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
96avg 76
H17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
70avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
52-89
52
89
-37
40avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
102-76
102
76
+26
101avg 76
H14/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 76
A20/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
95-93
95
93
+2
94avg 76
H27/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 76
H04/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
60avg 76
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
66-95
66
95
-29
60avg 76
H03/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
21-25
21-19
24-25
19-26
19-20
18-25
34-19
14-15
24-16
19-20
18-11
9-19
14-21
18-30
11-19
31-13
25-19
24-20
22-24
21-10
22-21
11-20
17-27
30-17
26-23
23-20
16-33
16-24
24-20
16-20
27-18
21-31
20-18
11-19
15-26
16-21
17-24
18-30
15-20
165.7Avg total
80.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.186.7169.8-3.548%
Season at home (11)85.884.5170.4+1.364%
Season away (10)80.289.0169.2-8.830%
Last 10 (10)80.585.2165.7-4.760%
Last 5 (5)76.488.4164.8-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.487.7165.1-10.418%
vs Similar (16)86.985.1172.0+1.869%
vs Weaker (3)89.084.0173.0+5.067%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
BresciaScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H30/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A20/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-28
54
28
+26
A03/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H11/02
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A03/03
Lega A
81.3Avg total
44.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.981.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.235.080.2+10.277%-
Last 30 away (17)39.641.981.5-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)44.237.181.3+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.637.685.2+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.847.875.6-20.00%-
vs Similar (4)41.041.082.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.537.183.5+9.474%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H30/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H14/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A20/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H04/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H03/03
Lega A
81.3Avg total
41.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.281.8+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.284.3+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.240.179.3-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.981.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.884.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.341.080.3-1.736%-
vs Similar (16)42.340.082.3+2.356%-
vs Weaker (3)46.738.084.7+8.767%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.4
55.5%
53.1%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.2
33.7%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
76.3%13.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.3
57.1%
53.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.1
35.2%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.313.0
75.1%
76.3%13.0
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWWWLWL
Scafati
LLWWLWLWWW
#3
League position
#14
+11.0
Net rating
-6.6
110.2
Offensive rating
109.6
99.1
Defensive rating
116.3
53.7%
Effective FG%
55.4%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
19.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.7%
3-point %
35.2%
54.7%
Assist %
65.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 109.6Defence99.1 · 116.3Shooting53.7% · 55.4%3-point %33.7% · 35.2%Ball care15.8% · 19.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 27.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brescia wins
3
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Scafati v Brescia83-89
07/05/23Scafati v Brescia92-88
16/10/22Brescia v Scafati82-81 OT
09/06/16Scafati v Brescia69-74
06/06/16Brescia v Scafati82-72
04/06/16Brescia v Scafati83-74 OT
01/06/16Scafati v Brescia77-72
30/05/16Scafati v Brescia91-81
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24APesaro83-93
15/02/24HBasket Napoli74-80
11/02/24HReggiana86-63
03/02/24ABasket Napoli104-83
28/01/24HPistoia109-90
20/01/24ATrento93-69
14/01/24HTreviso88-67
07/01/24ABrindisi79-88
30/12/23HOlimpia Milano72-64
23/12/23AVenezia71-86
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HVenezia66-95
11/02/24AVirtus Bologna67-94
04/02/24HPesaro83-82
27/01/24HTreviso95-93
20/01/24APistoia71-78
14/01/24HReggiana102-76
07/01/24ATortona52-89
30/12/23HTrento75-62
23/12/23ABrindisi103-98 OT
17/12/23HBasket Napoli91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%90%64%
Points / game88.190.885.6
Allowed / game76.173.778.4
Point differential+12.0+17.1+7.3
Avg total164.2164.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%50%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Scafati
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%64%30%
Points / game83.185.880.2
Allowed / game86.784.589.0
Point differential-3.5+1.3-8.8
Avg total169.8170.4169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %14%9%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2116576%88.176.1+12.0
2 Virtus Bologna2216673%88.476.3+12.1
3 Olimpia Milano2215768%79.372.9+6.4
4 Venezia2215768%82.176.5+5.7
5 Basket Napoli22121055%85.684.5+1.1
6 Reggiana22121055%79.881.1-1.3
7 Tortona22111150%79.678.3+1.3
8 Trento22111150%83.383.4-0.1
9 Pistoia22111150%78.081.9-3.9
10 Scafati21101148%83.186.7-3.5
11 Sassari22101245%76.581.4-4.9
12 Cremona2291341%80.579.0+1.6
13 Varese2291341%84.489.0-4.5
14 Treviso2271532%79.584.5-4.9
15 Pesaro2261627%79.187.1-8.0
16 Brindisi2251723%73.582.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2225192389
Scafati2226181278
← all games of the day
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