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Scafati vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-68
21-20 20-16 21-16 15-16
Position#14
Record3-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game92.5
Scafati 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record4-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game74.5
ItalyLega ARound 7· Pala Mangano
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Scafati v Olimpia Milano
31 Jan 2027
SKA v MIL
upcoming
20 Oct 2024
SKA78
MIL83
12 Nov 2023
SKA77
MIL68
09 Oct 2022
SKA66
MIL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 75
H19/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 75
A23/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
81-95
81
95
-14
69avg 75
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
85avg 75
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 75
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
74avg 75
A08/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
90avg 75
H15/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
107-103 OT
107
103
+4
no box
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
112-122 OT
112
122
-10
no box
H29/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-87
97
87
+10
91avg 75
A05/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
19-28
22-21
22-19
27-18
26-18
13-20
20-22
16-32
21-14
20-23
24-26
24-24
27-26
14-32
27-6
15-25
21-23
19-13
20-20
21-24
20-21
11-20
25-20
21-16
22-14
22-23
20-24
34-14
13-16
20-31
19-25
25-21
28-14
11-31
23-21
24-25
21-27
23-17
29-18
179.2Avg total
89.3Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.292.5184.7-0.350%
Season at home (3)90.793.3184.0-2.733%
Season away (3)93.791.7185.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)89.389.9179.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)95.694.8190.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)84.889.5174.3-4.717%
vs Similar (19)80.981.3162.2-0.353%
vs Weaker (5)83.077.6160.6+5.460%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
W
79-68
79
68
+11
86avg 77
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
65-53
65
53
+12
61avg 77
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
59avg 77
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
80avg 77
A22/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 77
A26/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 77
H29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-98
90
98
-8
86avg 77
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
63avg 77
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
87-57
87
57
+30
83avg 77
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
83-52
83
52
+31
79avg 77
H09/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
25-9
26-18
19-23
19-17
12-15
13-9
21-12
25-19
17-23
19-25
10-21
22-19
19-12
13-24
25-20
18-12
19-23
24-22
21-28
17-27
28-15
19-23
18-25
32-25
20-25
20-25
18-23
18-13
19-22
11-17
18-20
15-8
21-20
28-11
23-18
23-12
21-19
20-8
19-13
152.2Avg total
78.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.274.5154.7+5.767%
Season at home (3)82.379.3161.7+3.067%
Season away (3)78.069.7147.7+8.367%
Last 10 (10)78.473.8152.2+4.650%
Last 5 (5)81.673.8155.4+7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar (12)76.674.3150.9+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.073.4157.4+10.675%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
ScafatiOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A23/04
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H07/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H01/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H15/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A22/10
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H29/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A05/11
Lega A
85.8Avg total
44.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.178.7+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.982.0+0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.137.375.4+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.585.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.484.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.242.283.3-1.033%-
vs Similar (19)37.938.876.8-0.953%-
vs Weaker (5)44.036.480.4+7.680%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H14/10
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H17/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/10
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A22/10
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A26/10
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H29/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H31/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H09/11
Euroleague
75.2Avg total
39.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.276.1+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.535.175.5+5.471%-
Last 30 away (13)39.237.776.8+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.375.2+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.280.0+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (12)38.037.875.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.734.876.4+6.975%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.0
51.3%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.511.2
40.7%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws17.814.3
80.3%
76.3%14.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.8
55.8%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.9
35.3%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.7
74.9%
76.3%13.7
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
WLWWLLWLWL
Olimpia Milano
WWLLLLWLWW
#14
League position
#1
+1.0
Net rating
+7.6
114.6
Offensive rating
110.2
113.7
Defensive rating
102.5
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.7%
3-point %
35.3%
68.2%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 110.2Defence113.7 · 102.5Shooting55.6% · 54.6%3-point %40.7% · 35.3%Ball care17.8% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 32.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Scafati   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Scafati wins
2
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
05/03/23Olimpia Milano v Scafati89-80
09/10/22Scafati v Olimpia Milano66-75
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ATreviso97-87
29/10/23HCremona112-122 OT
22/10/23APesaro107-103 OT
15/10/23HPistoia85-77
08/10/23AReggiana77-85
01/10/23HVirtus Bologna75-81
07/05/23HBrescia92-88
30/04/23AVarese81-95
23/04/23AVerona86-78
19/04/23HVirtus Bologna81-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/23HValencia83-52
05/11/23ABrindisi87-57
02/11/23HMonaco66-72
31/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-98
29/10/23HPesaro82-90
26/10/23AAlba Berlin82-85
22/10/23ATortona79-75
19/10/23AReal Madrid71-88
17/10/23HOlympiacos65-53
14/10/23HReggiana79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game92.290.793.7
Allowed / game92.593.391.7
Point differential-0.3-2.7+2.0
Avg total184.7184.0185.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%33%33%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game80.282.378.0
Allowed / game74.579.369.7
Point differential+5.7+3.0+8.3
Avg total154.7161.7147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%89.777.9+11.9
2 Brescia65183%85.573.7+11.8
3 Venezia65183%82.075.0+7.0
4 Basket Napoli75271%88.381.4+6.9
5 Trento75271%84.383.0+1.3
6 Olimpia Milano64267%80.274.5+5.7
7 Reggiana64267%85.581.8+3.7
8 Cremona63350%92.089.0+3.0
9 Scafati63350%92.292.5-0.3
10 Tortona63350%72.877.0-4.2
11 Pistoia62433%77.879.8-2.0
12 Pesaro62433%82.385.2-2.8
13 Varese72529%86.191.4-5.3
14 Sassari72529%77.687.1-9.6
15 Treviso7070%78.789.3-10.6
16 Brindisi6060%66.582.0-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Scafati2120211577
Olimpia Milano2016161668
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