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Olimpia Milano vs Scafati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 89-80
26-21 26-18 25-12 12-29
Position#1
Record15-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game72.2
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
vs
Scafati
Italy
Position#11
Record7-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game77.7
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Scafati
06 Dec 2026
MIL v SKA
upcoming
11 May 2025
MIL100
SKA72
21 Apr 2024
MIL99
SKA77
05 Mar 2023
MIL89
SKA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Scafati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
68-73
68
73
-5
60avg 71
A22/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
83avg 71
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 71
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
W
65-59
65
59
+6
56avg 71
A05/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
87-75
87
75
+12
89avg 71
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 71
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
83-62
83
62
+21
80avg 71
H03/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
23-21
17-26
13-8
22-29
28-28
24-23
14-21
28-15
15-22
13-17
22-11
18-17
22-17
22-26
27-23
22-18
23-14
14-17
15-19
12-15
21-20
18-16
14-8
21-22
24-23
23-18
19-12
19-20
10-25
26-11
17-19
20-21
20-18
24-21
14-16
20-17
15-15
26-14
22-16
151.9Avg total
78.2Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.972.2154.1+9.879%
Season at home (8)83.971.1155.0+12.8100%
Season away (11)80.572.9153.5+7.664%
Last 10 (10)78.273.7151.9+4.570%
Last 5 (5)77.069.4146.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.677.7148.3-7.129%
vs Similar (10)77.777.5155.2+0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.772.3153.0+8.367%
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 70
A11/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
67avg 70
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
70avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
96-61
96
61
+35
103avg 70
H02/01
Lega A
Trieste
#15
L
59-64
59
64
-5
52avg 70
A08/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
69-81
69
81
-12
66avg 70
H15/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
69-71
69
71
-2
58avg 70
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
75avg 70
H12/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
23-8
23-26
20-21
22-32
16-24
12-24
22-11
16-19
15-10
19-13
25-29
21-15
19-14
33-18
23-14
15-15
17-9
12-15
15-25
13-15
18-26
24-11
14-29
13-21
21-18
17-26
23-14
19-23
25-17
20-23
25-22
16-9
16-19
12-17
25-26
19-19
14-13
23-23
18-24
152.0Avg total
76.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.677.7154.3-1.137%
Season at home (10)80.179.1159.2+1.050%
Season away (9)72.876.1148.9-3.322%
Last 10 (10)76.175.9152.0+0.240%
Last 5 (5)75.079.0154.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.076.0151.0-1.050%
vs Similar (15)76.580.1156.6-3.527%
vs Weaker (13)77.072.8149.8+4.262%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
Olimpia MilanoScafati
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
Euroleague
Trieste
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A05/02
Lega A
Varese
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A12/02
Lega A
Brescia
#1
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H15/02
Italian Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H03/03
Euroleague
79.3Avg total
39.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.376.6+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.436.275.6+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)39.238.577.7+0.736%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.579.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.439.275.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.935.171.0+0.757%-
vs Similar (10)40.439.479.8+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.236.277.4+5.150%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A11/12
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H18/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A26/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H02/01
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A08/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H15/01
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A22/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H12/02
Lega A
70.4Avg total
35.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.576.0+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.938.479.4+2.565%-
Last 30 away (13)35.436.271.6-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.870.4+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.070.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.542.583.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (15)37.939.877.7-1.947%-
vs Weaker (13)39.034.073.0+5.062%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.9
55.1%
51.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.4
32.6%
36.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.714.0
79.1%
76.1%14.0
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.314.3
47.2%
51.3%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.7
37.8%
36.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.814.4
80.9%
76.1%14.4
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWWWWWLL
Scafati
LLWLLLWWLW
#1
League position
#11
+7.0
Net rating
-0.1
109.5
Offensive rating
111.0
102.5
Defensive rating
111.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.6%
3-point %
37.8%
54.1%
Assist %
79.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 111.0Defence102.5 · 111.2Shooting52.8% · 51.8%3-point %32.6% · 37.8%Ball care17.1% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Scafati
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Scafati wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Scafati v Olimpia Milano66-75
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HOlympiacos83-62
23/02/23HPanathinaikos78-76
15/02/23HBrescia72-75
12/02/23AVarese87-75
05/02/23ATrieste65-59
02/02/23HCrvena zvezda74-68
31/01/23HBaskonia89-83
29/01/23HTrento78-65
26/01/23AMonaco88-101
22/01/23AReggiana68-73
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23HTrento74-79
05/02/23ABasket Napoli69-71
28/01/23HVenezia89-85
22/01/23ATortona74-79
15/01/23HPesaro69-81
08/01/23ATrieste59-64
02/01/23HBasket Napoli96-61
26/12/22ABrindisi75-71
18/12/22HTortona72-91
11/12/22AVirtus Bologna84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %79%100%64%
Points / game81.983.980.5
Allowed / game72.271.172.9
Point differential+9.8+12.8+7.6
Avg total154.1155.0153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%75%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Scafati
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayWWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%50%22%
Points / game76.680.172.8
Allowed / game77.779.176.1
Point differential-1.1+1.0-3.3
Avg total154.3159.2148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)75% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1915479%81.972.2+9.8
2 Virtus Bologna1915479%83.976.9+7.1
3 Tortona1914574%82.376.6+5.7
4 Pesaro1911858%86.084.7+1.3
5 Sassari2011955%85.781.0+4.7
6 Varese2011955%91.790.5+1.1
7 Brindisi1910953%81.082.4-1.4
8 Trento1910953%74.676.7-2.1
9 Venezia2091145%82.580.0+2.5
10 Trieste1981142%78.181.7-3.7
11 Treviso1981142%79.684.5-4.9
12 Brescia1971237%83.283.6-0.4
13 Scafati1971237%76.677.7-1.1
14 Basket Napoli2071335%77.884.4-6.5
15 Verona1961332%78.287.1-8.9
16 Reggiana1951426%74.978.1-3.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2626251289
Scafati2118122980
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