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Scafati vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-90
27-17 23-30 23-24 29-19
Position#14
Record11-15
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game86.0
Scafati 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record10-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game89.8
ItalyLega ARound 27· Pala Mangano
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Scafati v Varese
04 Oct 2026
SKA77
VAR85
16 Nov 2024
SKA94
VAR85
14 Apr 2024
SKA102
VAR90
06 Nov 2022
SKA93
VAR101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 75
A20/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
95-93
95
93
+2
94avg 75
H27/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 75
H04/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
67-94
67
94
-27
60avg 75
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
66-95
66
95
-29
60avg 75
H03/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
70avg 75
A10/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
94-91
94
91
+3
96avg 75
H17/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
76-84
76
84
-8
74avg 75
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
68avg 75
A30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
63-68
63
68
-5
49avg 75
A07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
22-21
11-20
17-27
30-17
26-23
23-20
16-33
16-24
24-20
16-20
27-18
21-31
20-18
11-19
15-26
16-21
17-24
18-30
15-20
22-22
26-25
18-19
12-23
31-20
19-23
18-26
26-22
21-24
28-19
14-21
13-20
22-20
20-16
17-19
20-29
17-18
13-17
12-15
21-18
163.0Avg total
77.2Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.286.0168.2-3.842%
Season at home (13)85.785.0170.7+0.762%
Season away (13)78.687.0165.6-8.423%
Last 10 (10)77.285.8163.0-8.630%
Last 5 (5)78.083.2161.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.686.6164.2-9.121%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.985.9172.9+1.060%
vs Weaker (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
63-94
63
94
-31
49avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
80-65
80
65
+15
70avg 81
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 81
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
80-113
80
113
-33
71avg 81
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 81
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 81
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
L
92-95
92
95
-3
86avg 81
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 81
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
113-79
113
79
+34
114avg 81
H07/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-29
17-25
20-27
13-13
16-16
18-16
23-16
23-17
15-16
20-22
28-18
18-17
24-15
21-20
22-19
24-22
15-26
29-25
22-30
14-32
15-21
16-20
28-27
24-22
19-26
29-19
18-25
15-10
22-21
26-23
19-28
25-23
21-26
18-21
12-12
22-22
27-26
27-17
21-20
38-16
168.3Avg total
83.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.689.8175.3-4.238%
Season at home (14)87.283.7170.9+3.550%
Season away (12)83.796.8180.5-13.225%
Last 10 (10)83.784.6168.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)88.485.0173.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.891.1169.9-12.320%
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.585.9176.4+4.767%
vs Weaker (5)85.881.0166.8+4.860%
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
ScafatiVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A20/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H04/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H03/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/04
Lega A
84.5Avg total
43.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.583.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.739.984.7+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)40.341.181.5-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)43.241.384.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.884.6+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.041.181.1-1.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.240.384.5+3.967%-
vs Weaker (1)53.036.089.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A03/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brindisi
#15
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H10/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H13/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A17/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H27/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H07/04
Lega A
83.8Avg total
40.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.044.487.4-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.442.388.7+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.546.686.1-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)40.843.083.8-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.044.088.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.049.990.9-8.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.141.685.7+2.553%-
vs Weaker (5)43.442.085.4+1.460%-
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.119.4
55.3%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.3
36.9%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.712.6
71.2%
76.3%12.6
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.814.7
51.0%
53.1%29.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.8
37.8%
35.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
76.3%14.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
LLLWLLLWWL
Varese
WLLWLLWWWL
#14
League position
#12
-9.4
Net rating
-1.2
110.5
Offensive rating
109.2
119.9
Defensive rating
110.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.9%
3-point %
37.8%
58.5%
Assist %
66.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 109.2Defence119.9 · 110.3Shooting55.3% · 54.1%3-point %36.9% · 37.8%Ball care19.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds31.6% · 22.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Scafati   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Scafati wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Varese v Scafati94-93
30/04/23Varese v Scafati95-81
06/11/22Scafati v Varese93-101
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ACremona63-68
30/03/24ATrento79-84
24/03/24HBrindisi76-84
17/03/24HTortona94-91
10/03/24ABrescia78-89
03/03/24HVenezia66-95
11/02/24AVirtus Bologna67-94
04/02/24HPesaro83-82
27/01/24HTreviso95-93
20/01/24APistoia71-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HBasket Napoli113-79
03/04/24ABahcesehir Kol.73-81
30/03/24HBrescia92-95
27/03/24HBahcesehir Kol.81-80
24/03/24ATortona83-90
17/03/24AReggiana80-113
13/03/24HNymburk91-76
10/03/24HBrindisi81-73
06/03/24ANymburk80-65
03/03/24AOlimpia Milano63-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL42%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%62%23%
Points / game82.285.778.6
Allowed / game86.085.087.0
Point differential-3.8+0.7-8.4
Avg total168.2170.7165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game85.687.283.7
Allowed / game89.883.796.8
Point differential-4.2+3.5-13.2
Avg total175.3170.9180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2720774%87.878.2+9.6
2 Virtus Bologna2719870%88.677.6+11.1
3 Olimpia Milano2719870%79.974.4+5.5
4 Venezia27171063%82.478.3+4.1
5 Reggiana27151256%80.779.8+0.9
6 Trento27141352%83.583.4+0.1
7 Pistoia27141352%80.083.0-3.1
8 Tortona27131448%80.278.9+1.3
9 Basket Napoli27131448%85.986.3-0.4
10 Sassari27121544%78.282.7-4.5
11 Scafati26111542%82.286.0-3.8
12 Cremona27111641%80.179.6+0.6
13 Varese26101638%85.689.8-4.2
14 Treviso27101737%80.384.6-4.3
15 Pesaro2791833%80.487.2-6.8
16 Brindisi2781930%74.881.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Scafati27232329102
Varese1730241990
← all games of the day
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