PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 90-75
22-18 24-16 27-19 17-22
Position#12
Record14-18
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#8
Record17-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· Unipol Forum
European cup2023
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna
25 Oct 2026
MIL94
VIR98
29 Sep 2026
MIL87
VIR85
26 Mar 2026
MIL103
VIR87
14 Dec 2025
MIL74
VIR63
07 Jun 2025
MIL78
VIR84
05 Jun 2025
MIL68
VIR78
08 Dec 2024
MIL73
VIR82
31 Oct 2024
MIL99
VIR90
22 Sep 2024
MIL98
VIR96
13 Jun 2024
MIL85
VIR73
11 Jun 2024
MIL81
VIR78
05 Apr 2024
MIL90
VIR75
10 Dec 2023
MIL82
VIR80
23 Sep 2023
MIL73
VIR78
23 Jun 2023
MIL67
VIR55
19 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR72
11 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR76
09 Jun 2023
MIL92
VIR82
19 Mar 2023
MIL69
VIR75
09 Nov 2022
MIL59
VIR64
28 Sep 2022
MIL64
VIR72
18 Jun 2022
MIL81
VIR64
14 Jun 2022
MIL77
VIR62
12 Jun 2022
MIL94
VIR82
05 Jan 2022
MIL102
VIR99
21 Sep 2021
MIL84
VIR90
07 Jun 2021
MIL72
VIR83
05 Jun 2021
MIL77
VIR83
17 Apr 2021
MIL94
VIR84
20 Sep 2020
MIL75
VIR68
19 Apr 2020
MIL v VIR
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
MIL84
VIR86
27 Jan 2019
MIL94
VIR75
05 Nov 2017
MIL72
VIR64
08 Nov 2015
MIL87
VIR72
20 May 2015
MIL99
VIR72
18 May 2015
MIL90
VIR67
26 Apr 2015
MIL117
VIR92
23 Feb 2014
MIL89
VIR66
27 Jan 2013
MIL91
VIR68
23 Oct 2011
MIL79
VIR64
10 Apr 2011
MIL71
VIR64
07 Mar 2010
MIL73
VIR71
19 Oct 2008
MIL68
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
94-63
94
63
+31
97avg 75
H03/03
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
85-83
85
83
+2
70avg 75
H08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
69avg 75
A10/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 75
A14/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 75
A17/03
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
98-80
98
80
+18
97avg 75
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
77-76
77
76
+1
72avg 75
H22/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
86avg 75
H24/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
73-87
73
87
-14
66avg 75
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
63avg 75
A30/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
25-17
27-20
13-13
22-21
19-19
23-27
21-16
19-24
18-23
17-17
21-20
18-19
16-29
21-21
18-19
21-27
19-15
9-23
23-13
27-20
31-24
18-23
22-13
28-18
15-18
16-15
18-25
28-22
15-20
21-26
22-16
17-14
20-21
17-24
19-28
24-11
15-20
21-15
12-22
159.6Avg total
80.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.677.8155.3-0.244%
Season at home (16)76.972.3149.2+4.669%
Season away (16)78.283.2161.4-4.919%
Last 10 (10)80.579.1159.6+1.460%
Last 5 (5)81.279.0160.2+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.577.5149.0-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.978.4153.3-3.636%
vs Weaker (13)81.372.2153.5+9.185%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 81
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
59avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
84-75
84
75
+9
81avg 81
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 81
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
81-96
81
96
-15
75avg 81
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
66avg 81
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 81
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
79-81
79
81
-2
79avg 81
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
93-100
93
100
-7
86avg 81
H01/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
15-17
22-21
26-28
22-21
24-16
5-20
18-17
24-19
23-18
17-17
20-21
15-23
16-21
21-17
22-28
19-18
17-15
17-17
19-22
22-22
27-21
14-25
18-28
23-21
19-27
23-26
14-20
20-22
24-17
29-22
14-12
16-28
23-23
20-14
20-16
26-14
29-27
28-27
10-32
168.2Avg total
82.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.181.8161.9-1.853%
Season at home (16)83.178.9162.1+4.275%
Season away (16)77.084.8161.8-7.831%
Last 10 (10)82.086.2168.2-4.220%
Last 5 (5)83.888.8172.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.082.8154.8-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.382.8164.1-1.564%
vs Weaker (12)89.176.5165.6+12.667%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -4.3-4.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -4.3-4.3
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H03/03
Lega A
Partizan
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/03
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/03
Lega A
Monaco
#3
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A20/03
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H22/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H24/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A30/03
Lega A
82.1Avg total
42.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.436.576.9+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.334.776.9+7.680%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.376.8+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.582.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.681.6+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.036.574.5+1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.438.177.5+1.457%-
vs Weaker (13)41.835.877.7+6.069%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A03/03
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H15/03
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A19/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/03
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H29/03
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H01/04
Lega A
84.6Avg total
42.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.481.7+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.539.381.8+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)42.039.681.6+2.456%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.784.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.490.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.545.082.5-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.540.080.5+0.555%-
vs Weaker (12)46.736.683.2+10.183%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.716.0
52.1%
53.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.9
38.2%
36.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
77.4%14.6
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.5
53.6%
53.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.7
36.4%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws14.912.2
81.9%
77.4%12.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWWWLLLWW
Virtus Bologna
LLWLLLLWLL
#12
League position
#8
+1.1
Net rating
-3.7
112.7
Offensive rating
115.6
111.6
Defensive rating
119.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.2%
3-point %
36.4%
64.3%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 115.6Defence111.6 · 119.3Shooting54.6% · 54.1%3-point %38.2% · 36.4%Ball care17.8% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.8% · 32.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AReggiana72-68
28/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas73-87
24/03/24HBasket Napoli86-84
22/03/24HFenerbahce77-76
20/03/24AMonaco98-80
17/03/24AVenezia72-78
14/03/24ABaskonia73-88
10/03/24AVirtus Bologna75-84
08/03/24HPartizan85-83
03/03/24HVarese94-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/24HPistoia93-100
29/03/24HPanathinaikos79-81
25/03/24ABrescia87-73
22/03/24ACrvena zvezda79-94
19/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas81-96
17/03/24APesaro86-87 OT
15/03/24HReal Madrid74-89
10/03/24HOlimpia Milano84-75
07/03/24AOlympiacos69-74
03/03/24ASassari88-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeLWWWW69%
AwayLLLWL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%69%19%
Points / game77.676.978.2
Allowed / game77.872.383.2
Point differential-0.2+4.6-4.9
Avg total155.3149.2161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL53%
HomeWLWLL75%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %53%75%31%
Points / game80.183.177.0
Allowed / game81.878.984.8
Point differential-1.8+4.2-7.8
Avg total161.9162.1161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)57% (7)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%88.980.8+8.1
2 Barcelona33221167%83.079.3+3.8
3 Monaco33221167%81.678.9+2.8
4 Panathinaikos32211166%81.577.2+4.2
5 Olympiacos33211264%78.874.8+4.0
6 Fenerbahce33201361%85.280.8+4.4
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv33191458%87.686.7+0.9
8 Virtus Bologna32171553%80.181.8-1.8
9 Baskonia32161650%83.684.5-0.9
10 Anadolu Efes33161748%85.786.6-0.9
11 Partizan33151845%83.184.0-0.8
12 Olimpia Milano32141844%77.677.8-0.2
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33141942%80.080.0+0.0
14 Valencia33141942%76.279.1-2.8
15 Bayern32131941%78.681.8-3.3
16 Crvena zvezda33112233%82.182.3-0.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3382524%78.785.3-6.6
18 Alba Berlin3352815%76.286.7-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2224271790
Virtus Bologna1816192275
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.