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Scafati vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 83-82
16-24 24-20 16-20 27-18
Position#14
Record9-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.1
Scafati 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record5-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game86.1
ItalyLega ARound 19· Pala Mangano
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Scafati v Pesaro
15 Feb 2026
SKA84
PES79
04 Feb 2024
SKA83
PES82
15 Jan 2023
SKA69
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Scafati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ScafatiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormScafati
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 76
A25/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
75avg 76
H03/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
59-83
59
83
-24
51avg 76
A09/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
96avg 76
H17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
70avg 76
H30/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
52-89
52
89
-37
40avg 76
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
102-76
102
76
+26
101avg 76
H14/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
71-78
71
78
-7
58avg 76
A20/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
95-93
95
93
+2
94avg 76
H27/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
12-21
21-19
22-25
25-21
17-17
17-25
24-26
15-18
14-22
20-15
10-28
25-16
21-25
21-19
24-25
19-26
19-20
18-25
34-19
14-15
24-16
19-20
18-11
9-19
14-21
18-30
11-19
31-13
25-19
24-20
22-24
21-10
22-21
11-20
17-27
30-17
26-23
23-20
16-33
163.9Avg total
80.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.086.1171.1-1.150%
Season at home (9)88.383.7172.0+4.767%
Season away (9)81.788.4170.1-6.833%
Last 10 (10)80.783.2163.9-2.550%
Last 5 (5)79.079.6158.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.886.5166.3-6.720%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.985.2171.2+0.759%
vs Weaker (3)89.084.0173.0+5.067%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
100avg 70
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
68-101
68
101
-33
63avg 70
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
65avg 70
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 70
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
70avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-83
66
83
-17
51avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
54avg 70
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
75-93
75
93
-18
64avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 70
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
78-86
78
86
-8
71avg 70
H28/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
22-18
28-13
19-24
18-29
20-22
14-19
16-31
12-19
22-17
13-25
27-26
17-23
30-15
17-14
10-21
21-18
24-19
21-24
15-27
19-15
13-26
16-17
18-25
20-13
8-28
14-27
27-11
22-22
11-25
16-22
26-24
19-21
13-19
16-26
17-19
22-28
18-25
19-15
19-18
159.6Avg total
74.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.086.1164.1-8.128%
Season at home (10)80.287.3167.5-7.120%
Season away (8)75.284.6159.9-9.438%
Last 10 (10)74.585.1159.6-10.620%
Last 5 (5)70.685.2155.8-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.788.3163.1-13.621%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.485.8169.2-2.536%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -3.2-3.2
ScafatiPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ScafatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A25/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H03/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A09/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H17/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H30/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A07/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H14/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A20/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H27/01
Lega A
77.8Avg total
40.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.981.5+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.239.583.7+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.379.4-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.477.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.234.878.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.740.980.6-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.939.681.5+2.259%-
vs Weaker (3)46.738.084.7+8.767%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A02/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A17/12
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H07/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H28/01
Lega A
80.0Avg total
37.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.882.0-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.242.180.3-3.838%-
Last 30 away (14)38.245.783.9-7.521%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.380.0-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.477.4-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.645.381.8-8.716%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.141.282.3-0.155%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Scafati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Scafatitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Scafati: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.7
55.6%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.2
36.8%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.212.3
75.9%
76.3%12.3
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.9
44.5%
53.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.9
34.1%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.613.2
75.0%
76.3%13.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Scafati
WLWLWWWLLL
Pesaro
LLLLLLWLLW
#14
League position
#16
-0.7
Net rating
-13.8
112.6
Offensive rating
97.7
113.4
Defensive rating
111.5
55.5%
Effective FG%
47.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.8%
3-point %
34.1%
62.3%
Assist %
60.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 97.7Defence113.4 · 111.5Shooting55.5% · 47.2%3-point %36.8% · 34.1%Ball care17.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds28.9% · 24.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Scafati   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Scafati wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Pesaro v Scafati103-107 OT
16/04/23Pesaro v Scafati79-86
15/01/23Scafati v Pesaro69-81
Scafatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HTreviso95-93
20/01/24APistoia71-78
14/01/24HReggiana102-76
07/01/24ATortona52-89
30/12/23HTrento75-62
23/12/23ABrindisi103-98 OT
17/12/23HBasket Napoli91-85
09/12/23AVenezia59-83
03/12/23HBrescia83-89
25/11/23ASassari76-79
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HBrindisi78-86
21/01/24HOlimpia Milano65-85
14/01/24ABasket Napoli75-93
07/01/24HSassari69-79
30/12/23AVirtus Bologna66-83
23/12/23HVarese81-88
17/12/23APistoia74-73
10/12/23HTrento74-87
02/12/23AReggiana68-101
26/11/23HTreviso95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Scafati
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game85.088.381.7
Allowed / game86.183.788.4
Point differential-1.1+4.7-6.8
Avg total171.1172.0170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %17%11%22%
Pesaro
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL28%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %28%20%38%
Points / game78.080.275.2
Allowed / game86.187.384.6
Point differential-8.1-7.1-9.4
Avg total164.1167.5159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1915479%88.575.9+12.5
2 Virtus Bologna1813572%87.776.8+10.9
3 Venezia1913668%81.377.3+4.0
4 Olimpia Milano1812667%79.473.9+5.5
5 Basket Napoli1911858%86.083.8+2.2
6 Reggiana1911858%81.781.7+0.0
7 Scafati189950%85.086.1-1.1
8 Trento189950%82.083.7-1.7
9 Pistoia189950%78.782.7-4.0
10 Tortona1881044%78.879.3-0.5
11 Cremona1981142%81.079.0+2.0
12 Sassari1981142%76.481.7-5.4
13 Varese1871139%85.490.0-4.6
14 Treviso1851328%80.784.3-3.7
15 Pesaro1851328%78.086.1-8.1
16 Brindisi1841422%74.183.1-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Scafati1624162783
Pesaro2420201882
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