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Trieste vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 59-65
15-12 20-21 16-18 8-14
Position#15
Record8-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game82.8
Trieste
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record13-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game72.8
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Trieste v Olimpia Milano
14 Mar 2027
TRI v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
TRI86
MIL82
29 Sep 2024
TRI84
MIL78
05 Feb 2023
TRI59
MIL65
19 Dec 2021
TRI71
MIL68
11 Oct 2020
TRI65
MIL87
26 Jan 2020
TRI67
MIL85
13 Jan 2019
TRI73
MIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
L
90-91 OT
90
91
-1
no box
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
88avg 70
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
66-83
66
83
-17
50avg 70
H11/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
81-88
81
88
-7
74avg 70
A02/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
64-59
64
59
+5
59avg 70
H08/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
88-69
88
69
+19
85avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 70
A22/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H29/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
27-18
19-25
16-17
18-11
18-15
20-20
28-33
20-16
14-23
17-19
15-25
16-26
22-21
21-25
29-16
20-17
24-22
13-17
17-12
25-23
17-24
24-27
15-14
15-15
9-17
15-12
25-15
25-19
16-15
20-17
27-18
20-18
22-18
19-18
20-18
18-19
24-15
23-20
20-14
159.3Avg total
81.2Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.782.8162.5-3.147%
Season at home (9)74.080.1154.1-6.144%
Season away (8)86.185.9172.0+0.250%
Last 10 (10)81.278.1159.3+3.160%
Last 5 (5)79.871.2151.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.184.9163.1-6.833%
vs Similar (14)83.583.2166.7+0.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
81-87 OT
81
87
-6
no box
A08/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
L
63-83
63
83
-20
54avg 72
A10/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
61-66
61
66
-5
50avg 72
H13/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
73-79
73
79
-6
71avg 72
H20/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
L
68-73
68
73
-5
60avg 72
A22/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
83avg 72
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
78-65
78
65
+13
70avg 72
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H02/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-18
21-11
17-23
12-20
21-25
18-15
12-23
9-19
18-18
13-22
21-7
22-12
17-17
32-19
8-15
17-19
20-23
20-15
16-22
15-18
23-21
17-26
13-8
22-29
28-28
24-23
14-21
28-15
15-22
13-17
22-11
18-17
22-17
22-26
27-23
22-18
23-14
14-17
15-19
152.2Avg total
75.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.672.8155.4+9.976%
Season at home (8)83.971.1155.0+12.8100%
Season away (9)81.674.2155.8+7.356%
Last 10 (10)75.476.8152.2-1.440%
Last 5 (5)79.478.0157.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.780.7150.4-11.014%
vs Similar (11)74.575.8150.4-1.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.273.8157.1+9.467%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
TriesteOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H26/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A04/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/12
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H26/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H08/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A22/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/01
Lega A
76.2Avg total
38.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.980.0-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.942.179.0-5.131%-
Last 30 away (14)41.639.681.2+1.971%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.376.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.741.379.0-3.740%-
vs Similar (14)40.940.181.0+0.764%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#17
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A10/01
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H13/01
Euroleague
Tortona
#3
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H20/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/01
Lega A
Monaco
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A26/01
Euroleague
Trento
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
38.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.577.0+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.637.077.6+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)38.338.076.3+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.378.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.883.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.037.375.3+0.757%-
vs Similar (11)38.538.977.4-0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.336.277.6+5.158%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.9
53.1%
51.3%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.4
34.0%
36.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
76.1%14.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.8
55.6%
51.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.7
28.8%
36.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws17.214.0
81.4%
76.1%14.0
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWWWLWLLWL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLLWLLL
#15
League position
#1
+4.3
Net rating
-2.1
106.9
Offensive rating
105.4
102.7
Defensive rating
107.5
52.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.3%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.0%
3-point %
28.8%
51.6%
Assist %
52.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 105.4Defence102.7 · 107.5Shooting52.2% · 50.7%3-point %34.0% · 28.8%Ball care17.3% · 18.3%Off. rebounds29.0% · 28.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Trieste   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
20/11/22Olimpia Milano v Trieste98-81
13/03/22Olimpia Milano v Trieste102-84
19/12/21Trieste v Olimpia Milano71-68
31/01/21Olimpia Milano v Trieste81-100
11/10/20Trieste v Olimpia Milano65-87
26/01/20Trieste v Olimpia Milano67-85
06/10/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste88-73
12/05/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste93-88
13/01/19Trieste v Olimpia Milano73-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23HBasket Napoli85-68
22/01/23AVenezia81-72
14/01/23ATreviso88-69
08/01/23HScafati64-59
02/01/23AVerona81-88
26/12/22HTrento74-68
18/12/22AVarese99-104 OT
11/12/22HBrindisi66-83
04/12/22AReggiana84-79
26/11/22HBrescia90-91 OT
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23HCrvena zvezda74-68
31/01/23HBaskonia89-83
29/01/23HTrento78-65
26/01/23AMonaco88-101
22/01/23AReggiana68-73
20/01/23HLyon-Villeurbanne73-79
15/01/23HTortona79-63
13/01/23HZalgiris Kaunas61-66
10/01/23AAlba Berlin63-83
08/01/23ABasket Napoli81-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeLLWWW44%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game79.774.086.1
Allowed / game82.880.185.9
Point differential-3.1-6.1+0.2
Avg total162.5154.1172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %18%11%25%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%100%56%
Points / game82.683.981.6
Allowed / game72.871.174.2
Point differential+9.9+12.8+7.3
Avg total155.4155.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%75%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1713476%82.672.8+9.9
2 Virtus Bologna1713476%84.577.6+6.9
3 Tortona1813572%82.477.0+5.4
4 Pesaro1710759%86.684.8+1.8
5 Varese1810856%92.190.6+1.5
6 Trento179853%74.275.8-1.6
7 Brindisi189950%79.883.2-3.4
8 Sassari178947%84.481.2+3.2
9 Trieste178947%79.782.8-3.1
10 Venezia1881044%81.979.6+2.3
11 Brescia1771041%83.683.0+0.6
12 Scafati1771041%77.278.0-0.8
13 Treviso1871139%79.384.7-5.3
14 Basket Napoli1761135%77.184.3-7.2
15 Verona1861233%78.886.3-7.5
16 Reggiana1751229%75.677.9-2.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste152016859
Olimpia Milano1221181465
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