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Olimpia Milano vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 98-81
25-19 13-23 27-15 33-24
Position#1
Record5-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game71.2
vs
Position#15
Record2-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game88.2
ItalyLega ARound 7
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Trieste
27 Sep 2026
MIL83
TRI79
03 May 2026
MIL86
TRI78
26 Jan 2025
MIL87
TRI74
20 Nov 2022
MIL98
TRI81
13 Mar 2022
MIL102
TRI84
31 Jan 2021
MIL81
TRI100
06 Oct 2019
MIL88
TRI73
12 May 2019
MIL93
TRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
83-82
83
82
+1
72avg 70
H16/10
Lega A
Partizan
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 70
A18/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
83-81
83
81
+2
77avg 70
A20/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
69-77
69
77
-8
60avg 70
A23/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
56-74
56
74
-18
45avg 70
A28/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
78-54
78
54
+24
79avg 70
H30/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 70
H03/11
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
59-64
59
64
-5
54avg 70
H09/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
62-71
62
71
-9
46avg 70
A18/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
19-16
23-29
14-16
17-27
24-22
21-12
18-14
16-22
21-21
26-23
20-15
21-16
15-21
18-23
15-17
21-21
8-22
12-18
15-13
23-6
18-21
19-16
18-11
20-23
30-24
11-20
16-16
11-18
30-21
25-12
19-20
23-12
12-27
6-14
18-11
11-16
13-18
15-15
23-22
146.4Avg total
73.2Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.071.2149.2+6.883%
Season at home (3)79.771.0150.7+8.7100%
Season away (3)76.371.3147.7+5.067%
Last 10 (10)73.273.2146.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)72.268.6140.8+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.077.3148.3-6.333%
vs Similar (10)74.272.5146.7+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.172.1154.2+10.188%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
84-72
84
72
+12
84avg 71
H16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
87-96
87
96
-9
78avg 71
A24/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
66avg 71
A01/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H08/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
74-100
74
100
-26
63avg 71
H02/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-85
80
85
-5
75avg 71
A09/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
78-95
78
95
-17
72avg 71
H15/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
60-88
60
88
-28
39avg 71
H22/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
no box
A30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
75-69
75
69
+6
65avg 71
H06/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
15-15
22-17
21-16
21-22
24-19
24-31
18-24
19-24
24-10
16-16
15-30
10-23
24-18
20-19
30-23
18-27
26-20
16-25
14-28
17-26
22-21
22-16
19-22
15-29
20-26
23-18
20-22
16-23
15-19
17-17
12-29
16-26
26-13
16-21
22-20
23-14
15-20
19-12
18-23
165.1Avg total
79.1Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)77.088.2165.2-11.233%
Season at home (4)71.888.0159.8-16.225%
Season away (2)87.588.5176.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.186.0165.1-6.940%
Last 5 (5)77.685.8163.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.686.1161.7-10.622%
vs Similar (20)81.084.5165.5-3.545%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.8-4.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -4.8-4.8
Olimpia MilanoTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/10
Lega A
Partizan
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#3
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A28/10
Euroleague
Verona
#16
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H30/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H03/11
Euroleague
Pesaro
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H09/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A18/11
Euroleague
77.5Avg total
38.0Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.178.0+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.380.8+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.437.975.3-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.577.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.275.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.046.386.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (10)36.037.773.7-1.740%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.337.881.1+5.662%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A24/04
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A01/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H08/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H02/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H15/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H22/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/11
Lega A
81.1Avg total
39.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.581.5-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.141.978.9-4.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.243.184.4-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.981.1-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.480.4-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.744.882.4-7.122%-
vs Similar (20)39.841.281.0-1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.1
47.4%
51.3%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.8
35.5%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.313.7
79.2%
76.1%13.7
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.6
55.5%
51.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.7
33.8%
36.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.0
74.5%
76.1%12.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWLWLLWWW
Trieste
WWLLLLWLLW
#1
League position
#15
-0.4
Net rating
-7.2
103.0
Offensive rating
106.5
103.5
Defensive rating
113.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.7%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.5%
3-point %
33.8%
58.6%
Assist %
46.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 106.5Defence103.5 · 113.7Shooting49.8% · 53.7%3-point %35.5% · 33.8%Ball care18.2% · 19.7%Off. rebounds27.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Trieste wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/22AZalgiris Kaunas62-71
09/11/22HVirtus Bologna59-64
06/11/22APesaro85-71
03/11/22HReal Madrid77-83
30/10/22HVerona78-54
28/10/22ABarcelona56-74
23/10/22AVenezia69-77
20/10/22ABayern83-81
18/10/22APartizan80-75
16/10/22HBrindisi83-82
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/22HSassari75-69
30/10/22ABasket Napoli95-92 OT
22/10/22HTortona60-88
15/10/22HVenezia78-95
09/10/22AVirtus Bologna80-85
02/10/22HPesaro74-100
08/05/22HTreviso84-83
01/05/22ATortona74-80
24/04/22ABrindisi87-96
16/04/22HCremona84-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game78.079.776.3
Allowed / game71.271.071.3
Point differential+6.8+8.7+5.0
Avg total149.2150.7147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game77.071.887.5
Allowed / game88.288.088.5
Point differential-11.2-16.2-1.0
Avg total165.2159.8176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna770100%82.969.4+13.4
2 Olimpia Milano65183%78.071.2+6.8
3 Tortona75271%76.770.3+6.4
4 Varese75271%89.987.4+2.4
5 Venezia74357%82.078.1+3.9
6 Trento74357%76.775.7+1.0
7 Pesaro63350%88.287.5+0.7
8 Brindisi63350%83.785.0-1.3
9 Brescia73443%85.784.1+1.6
10 Basket Napoli73443%80.984.1-3.3
11 Sassari62433%78.778.3+0.3
12 Trieste62433%77.088.2-11.2
13 Reggiana72529%72.472.6-0.1
14 Treviso72529%75.982.1-6.3
15 Verona72529%76.687.1-10.6
16 Scafati61517%78.283.3-5.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2513273398
Trieste1923152481
← all games of the day
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