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Trieste vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 84-78
21-22 26-18 17-12 20-26
Position#6
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano
Italy
Position#5
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1· Giovannetti G.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trieste v Olimpia Milano
14 Mar 2027
TRI v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
TRI86
MIL82
29 Sep 2024
TRI84
MIL78
05 Feb 2023
TRI59
MIL65
19 Dec 2021
TRI71
MIL68
11 Oct 2020
TRI65
MIL87
26 Jan 2020
TRI67
MIL85
13 Jan 2019
TRI73
MIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 75
A05/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 75
A07/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
74-71
74
71
+3
67avg 75
H10/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
72-49
72
49
+23
70avg 75
A19/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 75
A21/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
85-68
85
68
+17
80avg 75
H24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 75
A04/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
78avg 75
A06/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 75
H10/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 75
H12/06
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
13-27
23-17
19-14
24-18
22-26
24-21
17-19
29-21
18-22
15-17
12-11
20-10
19-13
9-15
24-11
24-18
24-23
24-16
19-19
19-11
23-23
22-19
21-15
25-15
21-17
9-20
17-13
24-12
15-23
19-21
25-17
20-20
16-16
9-23
28-15
20-14
20-14
23-19
20-25
151.1Avg total
80.3Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.370.8151.1+9.590%
Last 5 (5)79.270.4149.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)80.879.3160.1+1.560%
vs Weaker (9)84.373.9158.2+10.467%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
87-69
87
69
+18
82avg 75
A19/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
95-89
95
89
+6
96avg 75
H25/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
74avg 75
H27/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
96-86
96
86
+10
90avg 75
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
86-75 OT
86
75
+11
73avg 75
A06/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 75
A08/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 75
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 75
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
73-62
73
62
+11
67avg 75
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
no box
H22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
17-10
28-11
21-26
34-29
27-20
16-21
18-19
22-14
11-15
25-20
19-17
32-21
24-18
21-25
19-22
14-19
11-14
29-15
14-20
17-12
14-20
20-23
13-17
29-25
17-19
16-15
19-19
22-23
24-13
20-14
19-23
20-12
19-12
20-16
14-22
17-26
19-21
28-22
20-15
160.8Avg total
84.2Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.276.6160.8+7.690%
Last 5 (5)80.276.2156.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)83.080.8163.8+2.267%
vs Weaker (11)87.677.6165.3+10.091%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -2.4-2.4
TriesteOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A05/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A07/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H10/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A19/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/05
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A04/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H10/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H12/06
Serie A2
78.5Avg total
42.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.280.0+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.635.980.4+8.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.440.279.6-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.178.5+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.073.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.840.080.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker (9)44.933.878.7+11.167%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A19/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H25/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A06/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A08/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H11/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H13/06
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
77.6Avg total
41.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.582.5+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.585.1+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)40.139.479.5+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.577.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.676.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.440.482.8+2.061%-
vs Weaker (11)44.539.483.8+5.164%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.8
51.5%
52.9%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.4
37.0%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.5
73.8%
76.8%13.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.4
51.4%
52.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.2
39.1%
35.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.014.3
79.4%
76.8%14.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWWWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#5
+13.2
Net rating
+12.3
112.7
Offensive rating
115.2
99.5
Defensive rating
102.9
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.5%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.0%
3-point %
39.1%
57.0%
Assist %
54.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 115.2Defence99.5 · 102.9Shooting53.5% · 54.4%3-point %37.0% · 39.1%Ball care18.4% · 15.5%Off. rebounds33.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Trieste   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Trieste v Olimpia Milano59-65
20/11/22Olimpia Milano v Trieste98-81
13/03/22Olimpia Milano v Trieste102-84
19/12/21Trieste v Olimpia Milano71-68
31/01/21Olimpia Milano v Trieste81-100
11/10/20Trieste v Olimpia Milano65-87
26/01/20Trieste v Olimpia Milano67-85
06/10/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste88-73
12/05/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste93-88
13/01/19Trieste v Olimpia Milano73-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/06/24HCantu83-72
10/06/24HCantu73-74
06/06/24ACantu83-73
04/06/24ACantu72-65
24/05/24HForli85-68
21/05/24AForli91-76
19/05/24AForli72-49
10/05/24HBasket Torino74-71
07/05/24ABasket Torino87-84
05/05/24ABasket Torino83-76
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24HVirtus Bologna98-96 OT
21/09/24HVenezia73-62
13/06/24HVirtus Bologna85-73
11/06/24HVirtus Bologna81-78
08/06/24AVirtus Bologna64-72
06/06/24AVirtus Bologna86-75 OT
30/05/24ABrescia96-86
27/05/24HBrescia77-66
25/05/24HBrescia95-89
19/05/24ATrento87-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento110100%92.076.0+16.0
2 Scafati110100%97.086.0+11.0
3 Virtus Bologna110100%89.088.0+1.0
4 Trapani1010%88.089.0-1.0
5 Sassari1010%86.097.0-11.0
6 Reggiana1010%76.092.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2126172084
Olimpia Milano2218122678
← all games of the day
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