PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 71-68
16-14 22-24 15-21 18-9
Position#7
Record6-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.5
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano
Italy
Position#1
Record11-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game67.0
ItalyLega ARound 12
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Trieste v Olimpia Milano
14 Mar 2027
TRI v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
TRI86
MIL82
29 Sep 2024
TRI84
MIL78
05 Feb 2023
TRI59
MIL65
19 Dec 2021
TRI71
MIL68
11 Oct 2020
TRI65
MIL87
26 Jan 2020
TRI67
MIL85
13 Jan 2019
TRI73
MIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
61-74
61
74
-13
53avg 75
A06/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
H10/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 75
A16/10
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
88-57
88
57
+31
89avg 75
H24/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 75
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
83-74
83
74
+9
94avg 75
A06/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
70-86
70
86
-16
60avg 75
H14/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
76avg 75
A21/11
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
70-69
70
69
+1
69avg 75
H05/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
60-96
60
96
-36
52avg 75
A13/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
15-18
18-20
14-20
16-16
31-15
12-24
21-17
29-35
15-22
22-16
13-21
20-18
24-10
22-19
22-10
16-22
17-19
22-18
22-16
25-18
33-16
13-8
12-32
15-22
21-21
23-16
11-27
14-22
18-18
19-24
26-20
13-14
19-15
16-17
22-23
21-30
11-23
17-14
11-29
152.6Avg total
74.5Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.478.5153.8-3.155%
Season at home (6)78.273.5151.7+4.783%
Season away (5)72.084.4156.4-12.420%
Last 10 (10)74.578.1152.6-3.650%
Last 5 (5)72.081.8153.8-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.783.2155.9-10.520%
vs Similar (19)79.180.2159.3-1.258%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#9
L
71-97
71
97
-26
60avg 75
A17/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A19/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
85-55
85
55
+30
85avg 75
H21/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
L
72-93
72
93
-21
61avg 75
H26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 75
A03/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 75
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 75
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 75
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 75
H14/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 75
H16/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
16-25
16-27
22-26
19-19
20-16
21-25
10-14
24-12
19-13
21-17
21-13
25-30
20-30
12-12
15-21
15-19
18-24
23-24
20-14
9-21
18-6
22-13
30-13
26-14
13-13
18-17
14-21
15-12
17-20
20-17
24-13
15-19
18-10
24-13
18-12
19-18
8-17
21-20
25-20
145.7Avg total
74.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.967.0150.9+16.9100%
Season at home (6)85.063.5148.5+21.5100%
Season away (5)82.671.2153.8+11.4100%
Last 10 (10)74.870.9145.7+3.950%
Last 5 (5)74.861.8136.6+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.072.5146.5+1.550%
vs Similar (10)75.073.4148.4+1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)82.768.1150.8+14.789%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +3.2+3.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +3.2+3.2
TriesteOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A06/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H10/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A16/10
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H24/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H30/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
58-34
58
34
+24
A06/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/11
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A21/11
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H05/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A13/12
Lega A
77.7Avg total
38.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.278.8-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.240.179.3-0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)36.242.178.3-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.077.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.877.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.243.180.3-5.920%-
vs Similar (19)37.840.177.8-2.347%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H21/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H16/12
Euroleague
70.8Avg total
35.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.975.2+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.235.577.6+6.765%-
Last 30 away (13)37.834.171.9+3.854%-
Last 10 (10)35.135.770.8-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.630.061.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.534.569.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (10)41.336.377.6+5.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.434.174.5+6.361%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.4
50.2%
51.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.4
31.8%
35.4%19.2
🏀 Free throws16.311.7
71.8%
74.7%11.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.6
50.5%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.1
33.9%
35.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.212.3
80.9%
74.7%12.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWLLWWWLWL
Olimpia Milano
LWWWWLLWLL
#7
League position
#1
-4.5
Net rating
+5.4
97.8
Offensive rating
106.9
102.3
Defensive rating
101.6
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
20.3%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.8%
3-point %
33.9%
68.3%
Assist %
53.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 106.9Defence102.3 · 101.6Shooting49.4% · 50.7%3-point %31.8% · 33.9%Ball care17.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds20.3% · 26.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trieste wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
31/01/21Olimpia Milano v Trieste81-100
11/10/20Trieste v Olimpia Milano65-87
26/01/20Trieste v Olimpia Milano67-85
06/10/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste88-73
12/05/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste93-88
13/01/19Trieste v Olimpia Milano73-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/21AFortitudo Bologna60-96
05/12/21HTrento70-69
21/11/21AVenezia77-84
14/11/21HVarese70-86
06/11/21ASassari83-74
30/10/21HBasket Napoli77-75
24/10/21HTortona88-57
16/10/21AVirtus Bologna79-94
10/10/21HBrescia80-72
06/10/21APesaro61-74
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/21HReal Madrid73-75
14/12/21HPanathinaikos75-54
12/12/21HBrescia76-62
10/12/21AMonaco71-65
05/12/21ABrindisi79-53
03/12/21AAlba Berlin76-81
26/11/21HOlympiacos72-93
21/11/21HTreviso85-55
19/11/21AZenit Petersburg70-74
17/11/21AUnics Kazan71-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%83%20%
Points / game75.478.272.0
Allowed / game78.573.584.4
Point differential-3.1+4.7-12.4
Avg total153.8151.7156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %9%17%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.985.082.6
Allowed / game67.063.571.2
Point differential+16.9+21.5+11.4
Avg total150.9148.5153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%100%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano11110100%83.967.0+16.9
2 Virtus Bologna119282%92.079.9+12.1
3 Basket Napoli117464%85.183.8+1.3
4 Trento117464%79.378.9+0.4
5 Brindisi116555%79.780.0-0.3
6 Treviso116555%77.478.1-0.7
7 Trieste116555%75.478.5-3.1
8 Tortona126650%79.680.9-1.3
9 Reggiana115645%80.977.8+3.1
10 Venezia125742%77.278.2-0.9
11 Pesaro114736%77.379.9-2.6
12 Brescia114736%76.579.5-3.0
13 Sassari114736%77.381.7-4.5
14 Fortitudo Bologna113827%81.082.5-1.5
15 Cremona113827%80.083.7-3.7
16 Varese113827%76.388.1-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1622151871
Olimpia Milano142421968
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.