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Trieste vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 65-87
12-26 24-19 9-24 20-18
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game74.5
Trieste
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game67.5
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Trieste v Olimpia Milano
14 Mar 2027
TRI v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
TRI86
MIL82
29 Sep 2024
TRI84
MIL78
05 Feb 2023
TRI59
MIL65
19 Dec 2021
TRI71
MIL68
11 Oct 2020
TRI65
MIL87
26 Jan 2020
TRI67
MIL85
13 Jan 2019
TRI73
MIL77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 69
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
97-80
97
80
+17
91avg 69
H07/03
Lega A
Trento
#12
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
H30/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
A02/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
62-79
62
79
-17
no box
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#12
L
61-79
61
79
-18
no box
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
62-80
62
80
-18
no box
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#9
W
102-77
102
77
+25
108avg 69
H27/09
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
74-72
74
72
+2
67avg 69
A04/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-18
25-14
12-28
25-20
25-19
22-22
25-19
23-21
25-23
13-17
25-22
17-22
24-14
23-18
17-23
20-14
20-17
11-13
25-25
15-21
17-15
14-24
16-19
20-22
6-20
17-18
18-19
21-20
13-24
11-19
17-17
29-19
22-12
30-16
21-30
11-22
24-15
17-19
22-16
154.7Avg total
77.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.074.5162.5+13.5100%
Season at home (1)102.077.0179.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)74.072.0146.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.577.2154.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)72.277.4149.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)73.380.1153.4-6.835%
vs Similar (7)79.678.9158.4+0.743%
vs Weaker (3)83.777.3161.0+6.367%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
102-62
102
62
+40
no box
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
75-68
75
68
+7
no box
H20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
82avg 79
A27/09
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
no box
A02/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
104-64
104
64
+40
105avg 79
H04/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 79
H09/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
30-13
27-15
21-16
24-12
20-23
22-18
15-14
24-23
26-16
15-20
26-20
19-20
23-21
25-18
24-18
27-15
16-8
14-23
19-21
21-16
24-17
8-18
22-17
19-17
25-23
20-13
23-18
15-14
17-17
22-24
16-15
24-12
25-22
28-12
27-18
20-17
25-23
16-14
26-19
158.2Avg total
87.5Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.567.5163.0+28.0100%
Season at home (1)104.064.0168.0+40.0100%
Season away (1)87.071.0158.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.570.7158.2+16.8100%
Last 5 (5)86.871.0157.8+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.083.0153.0-13.00%
vs Similar (7)81.977.1159.0+4.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.572.2158.6+14.386%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +4.3+4.3
TriesteOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H07/03
Lega A
Trento
#12
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trento
#12
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#9
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H27/09
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A04/10
Lega A
76.8Avg total
39.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.376.3-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.680.3-0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)34.338.072.3-3.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.476.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.073.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.639.174.8-3.535%-
vs Similar (7)37.740.077.7-2.329%-
vs Weaker (3)44.738.783.3+6.0100%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#13
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#6
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A27/09
Lega A
Bayern
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A02/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H04/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H09/10
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
44.8Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.037.379.3+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.037.181.1+6.981%-
Last 30 away (14)39.737.477.1+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)44.834.779.5+10.1100%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.678.6+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (7)39.036.175.1+2.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.037.280.3+5.877%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.5
52.6%
51.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
35.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.711.6
73.9%
75.8%11.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.7
48.0%
51.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.39.0
38.6%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.619.9
77.7%
75.8%19.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWLLLWWWWL
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
+6.4
Net rating
+12.6
111.7
Offensive rating
114.1
105.3
Defensive rating
101.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.8%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.43
34.3%
3-point %
38.6%
53.7%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 114.1Defence105.3 · 101.5Shooting52.1% · 51.8%3-point %34.3% · 38.6%Ball care16.9% · 16.8%Off. rebounds33.8% · 32.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Trieste   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
26/01/20Trieste v Olimpia Milano67-85
06/10/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste88-73
12/05/19Olimpia Milano v Trieste93-88
13/01/19Trieste v Olimpia Milano73-77
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/20ASassari74-72
27/09/20HCremona102-77
14/09/20HTreviso62-80
11/09/20ATrento61-79
08/09/20AVenezia62-79
05/09/20HVenezia76-69
02/09/20ATreviso81-77
30/08/20HTrento86-83
07/03/20HPistoia97-80
09/02/20ABrescia74-76
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/20HLyon-Villeurbanne87-73
04/10/20HTreviso104-64
02/10/20ABayern81-79 OT
27/09/20AReggiana87-71
20/09/20HVirtus Bologna75-68
18/09/20HVenezia76-67
10/09/20HVarese91-77
07/09/20ABrescia91-79
04/09/20HBrescia81-67
01/09/20ACantu102-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.0102.074.0
Allowed / game74.577.072.0
Point differential+13.5+25.0+2.0
Avg total162.5179.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.5104.087.0
Allowed / game67.564.071.0
Point differential+28.0+40.0+16.0
Avg total163.0168.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano220100%95.567.5+28.0
2 Trieste220100%88.074.5+13.5
3 Venezia220100%79.066.5+12.5
4 Varese220100%91.086.0+5.0
5 Sassari32167%86.377.0+9.3
6 Virtus Bologna32167%85.780.0+5.7
7 Brindisi21150%79.571.0+8.5
8 Cantu21150%73.078.0-5.0
9 Reggiana21150%79.084.0-5.0
10 Treviso21150%74.092.0-18.0
11 Fortitudo Bologna31233%84.079.7+4.3
12 Cremona31233%79.392.3-13.0
13 Virtus Roma31233%73.386.7-13.3
14 Brescia2020%84.587.5-3.0
15 Pesaro2020%78.588.0-9.5
16 Trento3030%77.088.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste122492065
Olimpia Milano2619241887
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