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Olimpia Milano vs Verona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 02 May 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game90.8
ItalyLega ARound 29· Unipol Forum
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Verona
02 May 2027
MIL v VER
upcoming
30 Oct 2022
MIL78
VER54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Verona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 81
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 81
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 81
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 81
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 81
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
22-15
15-20
22-23
24-12
168.9Avg total
84.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.981.1171.0+8.875%
Season at home (4)92.885.0177.8+7.875%
Season away (4)87.077.2164.2+9.875%
Last 10 (10)84.884.1168.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)84.481.6166.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.278.9168.1+10.381%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 72
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 72
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
93-101
93
101
-8
77avg 72
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 72
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
52avg 72
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 72
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#8
L
99-108
99
108
-9
88avg 72
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
86avg 72
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
21-21
23-17
14-15
17-19
24-25
28-22
18-25
19-10
29-21
28-25
16-20
21-15
27-23
26-28
24-28
22-29
23-25
21-25
27-23
17-26
22-21
14-21
27-26
18-27
29-31
23-19
21-19
16-19
174.4Avg total
86.1Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.590.8179.2-2.250%
Season at home (3)85.784.0169.7+1.767%
Season away (5)90.294.8185.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)86.188.3174.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)90.294.2184.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.893.5179.2-7.825%
vs Similar (18)81.175.9157.0+5.278%
vs Weaker (8)85.273.5158.8+11.888%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
Olimpia MilanoVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/11
Lega A
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.386.8+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.042.783.7-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.140.887.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A14/11
Lega A
93.4Avg total
47.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.3+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.137.582.6+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.241.883.9+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)47.346.193.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.896.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.245.289.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (18)41.839.581.3+2.361%-
vs Weaker (8)47.137.684.8+9.588%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
74.6%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.6
56.8%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.716.4
69.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLLLW
Verona
WLLLWWWLWL
#3
League position
#10
-1.4
Net rating
+2.5
100.0
Offensive rating
101.0
101.4
Defensive rating
98.6
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.0%
3-point %
32.1%
66.8%
Assist %
57.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 101.0Defence101.4 · 98.6Shooting55.5% · 53.0%3-point %36.0% · 32.1%Ball care16.5% · 12.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Verona wins
DateGameScore
05/10/26Verona v Olimpia Milano75-72
16/04/23Verona v Olimpia Milano61-83
30/10/22Olimpia Milano v Verona78-54
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUdine83-70
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABC Roma89-88
09/11/26AVirtus Bologna81-95
31/10/26HVarese88-99
25/10/26ATrieste99-108
18/10/26HReggiana94-81
11/10/26AScafati89-82
05/10/26HOlimpia Milano75-72
27/09/26ATortona93-101
14/06/26ARimini83-75
12/06/26ARimini70-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.992.887.0
Allowed / game81.185.077.2
Point differential+8.8+7.8+9.8
Avg total171.0177.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Verona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game88.585.790.2
Allowed / game90.884.094.8
Point differential-2.2+1.7-4.6
Avg total179.2169.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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