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CD Povoa vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-87
12-13 26-19 21-32 13-23
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game89.0
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game69.8
PortugalTaca da Liga· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2024
Meetings · CD Povoa v Benfica
24 Apr 2027
CD P v BEN
upcoming
22 Dec 2024
CD P75
BEN79
30 Mar 2024
CD P72
BEN87
16 Dec 2023
CD P58
BEN83
13 May 2023
CD P72
BEN93
04 Feb 2023
CD P60
BEN59
14 May 2022
CD P67
BEN84
14 Nov 2021
CD P53
BEN76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 75
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
no box
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
85avg 75
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 75
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 75
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
99-87
99
87
+12
86avg 75
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
74avg 75
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 75
H23/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
26-21
25-13
19-14
22-16
22-19
20-27
17-19
23-22
13-21
22-22
30-16
20-27
23-29
21-20
17-31
16-18
19-23
29-16
23-19
19-19
25-16
22-20
10-21
17-22
15-19
24-16
23-21
25-23
24-26
28-13
22-25
28-29
17-31
22-19
19-24
13-16
19-12
15-21
28-24
170.9Avg total
86.2Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.589.0172.5-5.525%
Season at home (1)79.071.0150.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)85.095.0180.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)86.284.7170.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)84.485.4169.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.392.2168.6-15.917%
vs Similar (6)77.876.2154.0+1.783%
vs Weaker (11)87.776.6164.4+11.173%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
L
71-91
71
91
-20
56avg 81
A20/01
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
98-74
98
74
+24
88avg 81
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
100-64
100
64
+36
99avg 81
A03/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
73avg 81
H10/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
77-53
77
53
+24
80avg 81
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
95-84
95
84
+11
89avg 81
A02/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
91-61
91
61
+30
92avg 81
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#3
W
103-86
103
86
+17
91avg 81
H16/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 81
H17/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 81
A23/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
15-22
14-22
24-28
25-13
19-19
26-22
28-20
31-17
11-14
34-14
24-19
18-13
27-18
12-23
27-24
27-17
7-17
27-12
16-7
25-15
29-23
17-20
24-26
23-16
18-18
28-10
22-17
29-28
31-17
19-22
24-19
11-27
25-22
25-13
17-19
25-20
20-24
21-16
21-19
163.5Avg total
88.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.269.8155.0+15.575%
Season at home (2)74.065.5139.5+8.550%
Season away (2)96.574.0170.5+22.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.475.1163.5+13.380%
Last 5 (5)90.878.2169.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)69.288.8158.0-19.60%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.470.0156.5+16.475%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
CD PovoaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H09/03
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A16/03
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H23/03
LPB
84.3Avg total
41.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.182.3-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.840.280.0-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)40.544.184.5-3.647%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.984.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.683.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.247.683.8-11.38%-
vs Similar (6)41.239.280.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (11)43.437.681.0+5.773%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/01
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H10/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A02/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H16/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H17/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A23/03
LPB
81.3Avg total
43.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.577.2+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.636.177.7+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)39.636.976.6+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)43.437.981.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.089.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)36.642.078.6-5.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.035.877.8+6.271%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.2
51.6%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.3
32.3%
32.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws28.717.9
62.4%
69.0%17.9
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.0
56.0%
51.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
32.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.214.7
72.8%
69.0%14.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WLWWLWLWLW
Benfica
WLWWWWWWWL
#10
League position
#1
+1.0
Net rating
+17.5
106.3
Offensive rating
116.4
105.3
Defensive rating
98.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
21.1%
Turnover %
17.4%
39.0%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.3%
3-point %
36.8%
51.2%
Assist %
54.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 116.4Defence105.3 · 98.9Shooting50.5% · 55.6%3-point %32.3% · 36.8%Ball care21.1% · 17.4%Off. rebounds39.0% · 35.1%Free throws0.44 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CD Povoa wins
9
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
16/03/24Benfica v CD Povoa103-86
16/12/23CD Povoa v Benfica58-83
13/05/23CD Povoa v Benfica72-93
10/05/23Benfica v CD Povoa97-46
04/02/23CD Povoa v Benfica60-59
19/11/22Benfica v CD Povoa63-55
14/05/22CD Povoa v Benfica67-84
12/05/22Benfica v CD Povoa77-59
05/02/22Benfica v CD Povoa67-57
14/11/21CD Povoa v Benfica53-76
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HVitoria75-73
16/03/24ABenfica86-103
09/03/24HLusitania99-87
02/03/24ASporting CP79-78
14/02/24AOliveirense83-86 OT
10/02/24HOvarense87-76
04/02/24AGalomar81-107
03/02/24AGalomar88-81
20/01/24HImortal86-88 OT
14/01/24HMaia98-68
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AOvarense87-79
17/03/24HFC Porto78-81
16/03/24HCD Povoa103-86
09/03/24HGalomar91-61
02/03/24AImortal95-84
14/02/24HEsgueira77-53
10/02/24HFC Porto84-78
03/02/24AEsgueira100-64
27/01/24AOvarense98-74
20/01/24AVitoria71-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game83.579.085.0
Allowed / game89.071.095.0
Point differential-5.5+8.0-10.0
Avg total172.5150.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %50%0%67%
Benfica
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game85.274.096.5
Allowed / game69.865.574.0
Point differential+15.5+8.5+22.5
Avg total155.0139.5170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oliveirense550100%86.469.4+17.0
2 Sporting CP440100%90.575.2+15.2
3 FC Porto54180%86.870.2+16.6
4 Benfica43175%85.269.8+15.5
5 Imortal53260%80.476.8+3.6
6 Ovarense42250%76.594.0-17.5
7 Vitoria52340%81.684.0-2.4
8 CD Povoa41325%83.589.0-5.5
9 Esgueira41325%70.077.0-7.0
10 Galomar51420%79.084.4-5.4
11 Portimonense51420%70.885.8-15.0
12 Lusitania4040%73.292.0-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa1226211372
Benfica1319322387
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