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PAOK vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 69-74
9-28 18-15 31-12 11-19
Position#3
Record9-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#2
Record12-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game76.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 15
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · PAOK v Panathinaikos
27 Dec 2026
PAK v PAO
upcoming
30 May 2026
PAK94
PAO102
18 Jan 2026
PAK69
PAO74
12 Oct 2024
PAK93
PAO96
18 May 2024
PAK96
PAO99
17 Mar 2024
PAK73
PAO89
29 Sep 2023
PAK64
PAO77
13 Mar 2023
PAK81
PAO73
07 Nov 2021
PAK64
PAO81
18 Apr 2021
PAK68
PAO74
19 Oct 2019
PAK88
PAO104
17 Feb 2019
PAK73
PAO79
16 Dec 2018
PAK83
PAO93
29 May 2018
PAK72
PAO88
04 Feb 2018
PAK74
PAO91
08 Jan 2017
PAK68
PAO72
02 Jun 2015
PAK65
PAO83
22 Feb 2015
PAK68
PAO71
04 Jan 2015
PAK71
PAO54
19 May 2014
PAK65
PAO72
06 Apr 2014
PAK71
PAO82
18 May 2013
PAK61
PAO71
10 Dec 2011
PAK60
PAO77
21 May 2011
PAK69
PAO75
22 Jan 2011
PAK61
PAO84
07 Mar 2010
PAK74
PAO82
27 Apr 2009
PAK78
PAO82
11 Apr 2009
PAK77
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
88-87
88
87
+1
89avg 75
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 75
H23/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
72avg 75
H06/12
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
101-70
101
70
+31
102avg 75
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
97-87
97
87
+10
94avg 75
A14/12
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
W
70-62
70
62
+8
57avg 75
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
W
106-88
106
88
+18
104avg 75
H20/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
72-68
72
68
+4
67avg 75
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
81avg 75
A03/01
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
73-95
73
95
-22
66avg 75
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
20-18
13-17
25-29
17-23
24-25
15-25
25-19
16-16
27-18
21-17
18-19
19-25
28-21
27-15
27-9
31-20
28-17
21-28
17-22
15-21
20-15
23-13
12-13
26-22
28-21
26-15
26-30
17-18
15-22
16-8
24-20
21-26
23-20
20-16
21-23
16-31
23-18
15-25
19-21
168.4Avg total
86.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)84.881.3166.1+3.475%
Season at home (5)88.081.0169.0+7.080%
Season away (7)82.481.6164.0+0.971%
Last 10 (10)86.482.0168.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)83.082.8165.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.185.1165.2-5.025%
vs Similar (10)85.184.6169.7+0.570%
vs Weaker (11)85.777.3163.0+8.591%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
82avg 85
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 85
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
92-85
92
85
+7
93avg 85
A23/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
100avg 85
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
72avg 85
H02/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 85
H04/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
74-87
74
87
-13
70avg 85
H06/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 85
H08/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
88avg 85
H11/01
Basket League
Bayern
#14
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
23-29
20-16
28-20
27-26
24-26
24-15
22-15
19-28
21-22
23-14
29-21
33-22
22-23
28-23
16-21
13-28
30-15
18-18
21-26
22-21
32-28
26-21
12-15
20-15
23-23
15-23
16-26
23-15
16-18
17-15
28-23
22-23
24-27
28-17
20-19
24-25
19-15
21-18
14-27
172.4Avg total
88.5Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.576.5169.0+15.992%
Season at home (7)94.178.4172.6+15.7100%
Season away (6)90.574.3164.8+16.283%
Last 10 (10)88.583.9172.4+4.670%
Last 5 (5)84.482.8167.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.087.0169.0-5.00%
vs Similar (11)86.586.2172.6+0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.977.2168.1+13.789%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.7-0.7
PAOKPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H23/11
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/12
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Maroussi
#12
W
59-37
59
37
+22
A14/12
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H20/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/01
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
86.4Avg total
44.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.582.2-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.539.985.5+5.685%-
Last 30 away (17)36.942.879.6-5.918%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.086.4+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.943.978.8-9.012%-
vs Similar (10)42.042.484.4-0.460%-
vs Weaker (11)43.240.083.2+3.255%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H18/12
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H20/12
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A30/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/01
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H04/01
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H06/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H08/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/01
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A15/01
Euroleague
90.5Avg total
45.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.943.189.0+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.643.590.1+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)45.342.687.9+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)45.944.690.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.087.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (11)43.544.487.9-0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.642.389.8+5.367%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.9
55.6%
54.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.1
35.7%
34.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
74.4%13.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.4
55.1%
54.1%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.2
36.4%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.417.0
83.3%
74.4%17.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLWWWWWWLW
Panathinaikos
LWWLWLWWWW
#3
League position
#2
+6.1
Net rating
+7.6
112.6
Offensive rating
114.2
106.6
Defensive rating
106.6
54.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
36.4%
61.9%
Assist %
65.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 114.2Defence106.6 · 106.6Shooting54.7% · 54.9%3-point %35.7% · 36.4%Ball care16.6% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ PAOK   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
05/10/25Panathinaikos v PAOK93-83
05/01/25Panathinaikos v PAOK100-81
12/10/24PAOK v Panathinaikos93-96
18/05/24PAOK v Panathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24Panathinaikos v PAOK84-66
17/03/24PAOK v Panathinaikos73-89
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
29/09/23PAOK v Panathinaikos64-77
13/03/23PAOK v Panathinaikos81-73
27/11/22Panathinaikos v PAOK87-63
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26ABilbao73-95
03/01/26AMykonos94-101 OT
28/12/25AAS Karditsas72-68
20/12/25HPanionios106-88
17/12/25ASporting CP70-62
14/12/25AMaroussi97-87
10/12/25HBC Prievidza101-70
06/12/25HKolossos Rhodes82-70
23/11/25HOlympiacos81-92
19/11/25HBasketball Braunschweig88-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ABayern78-85
11/01/26HPeristeri94-86
08/01/26HVirtus Bologna84-71
06/01/26HOlimpia Milano74-87
04/01/26HAS Karditsas92-85
02/01/26HOlympiacos82-87
30/12/25AMaroussi99-89
23/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas92-85
20/12/25HIraklis97-82
18/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%80%71%
Points / game84.888.082.4
Allowed / game81.381.081.6
Point differential+3.4+7.0+0.9
Avg total166.1169.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game92.594.190.5
Allowed / game76.578.474.3
Point differential+15.9+15.7+16.2
Avg total169.0172.6164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%57%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos14140100%97.979.0+18.9
2 Panathinaikos1312192%92.576.5+15.9
3 PAOK129375%84.881.3+3.4
4 AEK Athens1410471%83.078.2+4.8
5 Aris136746%81.581.2+0.4
6 Iraklis136746%80.780.6+0.1
7 Promitheas146843%84.786.4-1.7
8 Mykonos146843%77.282.6-5.4
9 Peristeri135838%76.782.2-5.5
10 Kolossos Rhodes1441029%76.881.6-4.9
11 AS Karditsas1441029%79.886.6-6.9
12 Maroussi1431121%86.892.8-6.0
13 Panionios1431121%78.089.9-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK918311169
Panathinaikos2815121974
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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