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PAOK vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 87-88
30-24 20-18 25-22 12-24
Position#5
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Bilbao 🏆
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game66.9
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6
European cup2025
Meetings · PAOK v Bilbao
22 Apr 2026
PAK79
BIL73
11 Feb 2026
PAK87
BIL88
23 Apr 2025
PAK84
BIL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#24
W
70-62
70
62
+8
57avg 77
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
W
106-88
106
88
+18
104avg 77
H20/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
72-68
72
68
+4
67avg 77
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
81avg 77
A03/01
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
73-95
73
95
-22
66avg 77
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H18/01
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
87-67
87
67
+20
81avg 77
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
W
70-67
70
67
+3
67avg 77
A24/01
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
W
101-67
101
67
+34
105avg 77
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 77
A07/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-15
23-13
12-13
26-22
28-21
26-15
26-30
17-18
15-22
16-8
24-20
21-26
23-20
20-16
21-23
16-31
23-18
15-25
19-21
9-28
18-15
31-12
11-19
18-10
24-19
18-23
27-15
14-15
16-23
20-11
20-18
28-17
26-8
24-21
23-21
15-22
29-14
21-23
25-19
159.9Avg total
83.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.279.5166.6+7.782%
Season at home (5)95.878.8174.6+17.0100%
Season away (6)80.080.0160.0+0.067%
Last 10 (10)83.276.7159.9+6.570%
Last 5 (5)83.470.6154.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.588.5165.0-12.00%
vs Similar (10)85.184.6169.7+0.570%
vs Weaker (15)86.175.3161.3+10.893%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
72-116
72
116
-44
54avg 79
H02/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
85avg 79
A04/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
96-82
96
82
+14
88avg 79
H10/01
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
95-73
95
73
+22
94avg 79
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
W
95-78
95
78
+17
no box
H17/01
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 79
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
72avg 79
A24/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
67avg 79
H31/01
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
93-51
93
51
+42
95avg 79
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 79
A07/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
24-13
18-36
19-43
16-22
26-26
20-18
31-23
18-17
23-23
23-15
32-27
31-16
18-23
25-15
21-19
24-21
31-12
17-21
23-24
18-14
26-14
24-20
22-24
20-19
23-19
24-25
11-15
22-20
21-19
27-28
10-9
24-8
23-11
25-12
21-20
19-13
19-26
24-23
22-20
168.9Avg total
88.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)97.566.9164.4+30.591%
Season at home (6)99.273.5172.7+25.783%
Season away (5)95.459.0154.4+36.4100%
Last 10 (10)88.680.3168.9+8.390%
Last 5 (5)87.073.0160.0+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.791.1168.9-13.429%
vs Similar (7)86.684.1170.7+2.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)95.270.2165.4+25.194%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
PAOKBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#24
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H20/12
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/01
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H18/01
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A24/01
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/02
Basket League
78.6Avg total
40.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.582.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.638.884.5+6.885%-
Last 30 away (17)38.541.780.2-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.578.6+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.273.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.547.882.2-13.20%-
vs Similar (10)42.042.484.4-0.460%-
vs Weaker (15)43.037.980.9+5.160%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H10/01
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H17/01
ACB
Sporting CP
#24
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A24/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H31/01
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/02
ACB
79.7Avg total
43.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.936.981.8+8.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.734.080.7+12.781%-
Last 30 away (14)42.940.183.1+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)43.736.079.7+7.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.032.675.6+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.444.183.6-4.743%-
vs Similar (7)42.340.082.3+2.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)48.532.380.8+16.294%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.3
56.1%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.7
36.8%
34.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
73.4%12.5
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.8
53.9%
52.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.8
33.0%
34.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.918.5
77.4%
73.4%18.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WWWWLLLWWW
Bilbao
WWWWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#1
+9.3
Net rating
+7.6
106.5
Offensive rating
100.5
97.3
Defensive rating
92.9
55.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.5%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.8%
3-point %
33.0%
59.7%
Assist %
61.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 100.5Defence97.3 · 92.9Shooting55.7% · 51.9%3-point %36.8% · 33.0%Ball care16.2% · 13.5%Off. rebounds32.5% · 20.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ PAOK   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
2
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
13/01/26Bilbao v PAOK95-73
23/04/25PAOK v Bilbao84-82
16/04/25Bilbao v PAOK72-65
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AKolossos Rhodes90-78
04/02/26HSporting CP101-67
24/01/26APanionios70-67
21/01/26ABC Prievidza87-67
18/01/26HPanathinaikos69-74
13/01/26ABilbao73-95
03/01/26AMykonos94-101 OT
28/12/25AAS Karditsas72-68
20/12/25HPanionios106-88
17/12/25ASporting CP70-62
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ABasket Zaragoza84-82
03/02/26HBC Prievidza93-51
31/01/26HJoventut Badalona80-76
24/01/26AGranada88-84 OT
21/01/26ASporting CP90-72
17/01/26HTenerife95-78
13/01/26HPAOK95-73
10/01/26HMurcia96-82
04/01/26ABasquet Girona93-89
02/01/26HValencia72-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game87.295.880.0
Allowed / game79.578.880.0
Point differential+7.7+17.0+0.0
Avg total166.6174.6160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%83%100%
Points / game97.599.295.4
Allowed / game66.973.559.0
Point differential+30.5+25.7+36.4
Avg total164.4172.7154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+91%83%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1110191%97.566.9+30.5
2 Murcia1110191%86.771.5+15.3
3 Peristeri1210283%85.876.0+9.8
4 PAOK119282%87.279.5+7.7
5 KK Bosna139469%79.074.9+4.1
6 Petkim Spor128467%84.273.3+10.8
7 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
8 Reggiana117464%84.673.3+11.4
9 Rostock117464%85.677.5+8.2
10 CSM Oradea117464%80.979.3+1.6
11 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
12 Basket Zaragoza127558%86.278.3+7.8
13 Szombathely116555%81.581.1+0.5
14 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
15 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
16 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
17 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
18 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
19 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
20 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
21 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
22 BC Prievidza136746%80.883.2-2.4
23 Cedevita Junior115645%83.783.5+0.2
24 Trefl Sopot115645%84.584.5-0.1
25 Sassari125742%81.880.0+1.8
26 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
27 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
28 Sporting CP114736%81.583.3-1.7
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK3020251287
Bilbao2418222488
← all games of the day
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