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Olympiacos vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 26 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record4-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game89.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2026
Meetings · Olympiacos v Virtus Bologna
26 Mar 2027
OLY v VIR
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
OLY109
VIR77
18 Dec 2024
OLY87
VIR77
07 Mar 2024
OLY74
VIR69
09 Dec 2022
OLY117
VIR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
102-97 OT
102
97
+5
99avg 91
A13/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
101avg 91
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
79-68
79
68
+11
76avg 91
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
61-64
61
64
-3
58avg 91
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
85-45
85
45
+40
86avg 91
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
83avg 91
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 91
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
91-62
91
62
+29
89avg 91
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
57-62
57
62
-5
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
17-28
25-12
31-19
26-30
31-17
20-19
15-26
21-23
18-13
25-15
15-17
20-8
14-16
15-21
12-19
16-12
25-17
21-8
23-8
25-23
17-13
19-22
20-15
25-19
19-25
25-17
15-17
25-18
23-12
28-12
15-20
11-19
11-21
19-11
16-11
24-20
17-21
22-24
20-16
155.8Avg total
82.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.281.6168.8+5.670%
Season at home (4)72.867.5140.2+5.250%
Season away (6)96.891.0187.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)82.873.0155.8+9.880%
Last 5 (5)79.271.2150.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)85.083.2168.2+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.974.1164.0+15.888%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Paris
#12
W
96-94
96
94
+2
95avg 84
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 84
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 84
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 84
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 84
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 84
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#5
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
181.4Avg total
90.7Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.689.5175.1-3.940%
Season at home (5)86.491.8178.2-5.440%
Season away (5)84.887.2172.0-2.440%
Last 10 (10)90.790.7181.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)87.693.6181.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (4)97.294.5191.8+2.875%
vs Weaker (21)91.384.1175.4+7.267%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
OlympiacosVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
L
34-59
34
59
-25
A13/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A16/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A18/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H23/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A25/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A28/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H30/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H01/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H06/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/11
Basket League
78.8Avg total
40.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.937.282.1+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.835.280.0+9.687%-
Last 30 away (15)44.939.384.2+5.773%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.277.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)39.543.082.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.235.882.0+10.488%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#14
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
85.7Avg total
44.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.887.2+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.242.490.6+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)42.141.283.4+0.957%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.085.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.886.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (4)47.245.092.2+2.275%-
vs Weaker (21)46.141.287.3+5.071%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.822.3
59.0%
55.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
77.1%16.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
77.1%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLWWWWLWWW
Virtus Bologna
WLLLLWLWWW
#4
League position
#15
+16.1
Net rating
+3.7
101.9
Offensive rating
102.2
85.8
Defensive rating
98.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.0%
3-point %
36.3%
66.9%
Assist %
57.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 102.2Defence85.8 · 98.4Shooting55.7% · 54.8%3-point %34.0% · 36.3%Ball care15.0% · 14.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Olympiacos wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AMaroussi83-81
06/11/26HCrvena zvezda57-62
01/11/26HPeristeri91-62
30/10/26HOlimpia Milano84-78
28/10/26ABesiktas81-73
25/10/26APromitheas85-45
23/10/26HFenerbahce61-64
18/10/26AVikos79-68
16/10/26ABarcelona105-100 OT
13/10/26AValencia102-97 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83
16/10/26HBaskonia86-78
14/10/26AParis96-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%50%83%
Points / game87.272.896.8
Allowed / game81.667.591.0
Point differential+5.6+5.2+5.8
Avg total168.8140.2187.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game85.686.484.8
Allowed / game89.591.887.2
Point differential-3.9-5.4-2.4
Avg total175.1178.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
6 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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