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Olympiacos vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 87-77
29-17 14-29 21-10 23-21
Position#2
Record9-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#17
Record3-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2024
Meetings · Olympiacos v Virtus Bologna
26 Mar 2027
OLY v VIR
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
OLY109
VIR77
18 Dec 2024
OLY87
VIR77
07 Mar 2024
OLY74
VIR69
09 Dec 2022
OLY117
VIR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
94-91
94
91
+3
88avg 82
A14/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
90-60
90
60
+30
101avg 82
A17/11
Basket League
Baskonia
#14
W
92-69
92
69
+23
94avg 82
H21/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
66avg 82
A28/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
83avg 82
H01/12
Basket League
Monaco
#4
W
89-80
89
80
+9
84avg 82
A04/12
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
90-96
90
96
-6
84avg 82
H06/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
86avg 82
A08/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
73-87
73
87
-14
70avg 82
A13/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
80avg 82
A15/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
13-29
28-10
24-28
29-13
24-13
24-17
13-17
30-24
26-14
17-15
19-16
25-16
11-22
21-12
13-28
20-27
23-17
18-22
23-12
22-19
25-26
18-17
24-18
21-21
23-28
16-24
30-23
24-8
22-17
24-26
18-22
17-19
21-20
15-28
20-20
20-16
20-19
16-18
28-25
164.4Avg total
85.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.981.2166.1+3.760%
Season at home (7)87.676.6164.1+11.086%
Season away (8)82.585.2167.8-2.838%
Last 10 (10)85.479.0164.4+6.470%
Last 5 (5)84.882.8167.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)81.481.8163.1-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.675.5165.1+14.188%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 79
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 79
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 79
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
78avg 79
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 79
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
82-81
82
81
+1
76avg 79
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
64avg 79
H15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
25-27
15-14
19-22
21-18
16-23
37-23
21-21
22-23
16-14
23-19
21-30
24-21
14-23
23-25
17-12
19-27
32-19
21-18
25-34
18-26
20-22
23-20
17-10
19-18
19-26
25-13
24-37
24-22
29-20
13-11
16-20
21-21
17-17
18-19
26-24
17-14
15-26
23-14
15-24
168.6Avg total
83.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.985.3166.1-4.420%
Season at home (8)79.682.9162.5-3.212%
Season away (7)82.388.0170.3-5.729%
Last 10 (10)83.884.8168.6-1.030%
Last 5 (5)81.883.2165.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.085.9164.9-6.912%
vs Similar (12)84.085.4169.4-1.433%
vs Weaker (9)85.782.2167.9+3.467%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -3.3-3.3
OlympiacosVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A14/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A17/11
Basket League
Baskonia
#14
W
56-38
56
38
+18
H21/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A28/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/12
Basket League
Monaco
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A04/12
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H06/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A08/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A13/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A15/12
Basket League
83.7Avg total
44.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.580.6+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.537.281.7+7.269%-
Last 30 away (17)42.137.679.7+4.465%-
Last 10 (10)44.539.283.7+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.681.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)40.739.580.2+1.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.235.780.9+9.569%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A12/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
Lega A
83.2Avg total
40.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.684.3-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.542.281.6-2.731%-
Last 30 away (17)43.542.986.4+0.641%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.683.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.482.2-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.142.983.0-2.825%-
vs Similar (12)42.643.285.8-0.742%-
vs Weaker (9)41.042.383.3-1.333%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.821.2
62.7%
54.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.2%
36.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.316.9
79.3%
78.0%16.9
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.0
54.7%
54.5%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.5
30.9%
36.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
78.0%16.5
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLWLWWLWWW
Virtus Bologna
LWWLLLLLWL
#2
League position
#17
+7.9
Net rating
-0.8
118.5
Offensive rating
112.2
110.6
Defensive rating
113.0
57.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
14.6%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.2%
3-point %
30.9%
64.7%
Assist %
65.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 112.2Defence110.6 · 113.0Shooting57.2% · 51.6%3-point %33.2% · 30.9%Ball care18.4% · 14.6%Off. rebounds33.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olympiacos wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24APanionios84-78
13/12/24ACrvena zvezda73-87
08/12/24AKolossos Rhodes88-73
06/12/24HParis90-96
04/12/24AMonaco89-80
01/12/24HPeristeri84-78
28/11/24APartizan70-78
21/11/24HBaskonia92-69
17/11/24APAOK90-60
14/11/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv94-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HTrieste70-78
12/12/24ABaskonia82-81
08/12/24AOlimpia Milano82-73
06/12/24HCrvena zvezda87-94
04/12/24HAlba Berlin88-90 OT
01/12/24ABrescia97-98
28/11/24AParis78-81
20/11/24HFenerbahce82-86
17/11/24HSassari95-85
15/11/24HPanathinaikos77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL60%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game84.987.682.5
Allowed / game81.276.685.2
Point differential+3.7+11.0-2.8
Avg total166.1164.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %20%12%29%
Points / game80.979.682.3
Allowed / game85.382.988.0
Point differential-4.4-3.2-5.7
Avg total166.1162.5170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1611569%87.280.5+6.7
2 Paris1611569%86.883.6+3.2
3 Zalgiris Kaunas1610662%77.274.8+2.4
4 Bayern1610662%88.787.9+0.8
5 Fenerbahce1610662%77.979.1-1.2
6 Olympiacos159660%84.981.2+3.7
7 Anadolu Efes169756%84.981.9+3.0
8 Panathinaikos169756%85.283.2+2.0
9 Barcelona169756%86.384.9+1.4
10 Olimpia Milano169756%87.487.6-0.2
11 Crvena zvezda168850%83.682.4+1.1
12 Real Madrid167944%84.183.3+0.8
13 Partizan167944%81.480.9+0.5
14 Baskonia167944%78.880.1-1.3
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne167944%82.685.3-2.8
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1641225%84.688.6-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna1531220%80.985.3-4.4
18 Alba Berlin1631319%79.691.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2914212387
Virtus Bologna1729102177
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