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Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 69-67
17-19 11-21 19-15 22-12
Position#8
Record10-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game81.8
Virtus Bologna 🏆
vs
Olympiacos
Position#4
Record7-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game74.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Segafredo Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olympiacos
01 Oct 2026
VIR96
OLY94
26 Dec 2025
VIR94
OLY97
28 Feb 2025
VIR70
OLY92
19 Dec 2023
VIR69
OLY67
12 Jan 2023
VIR83
OLY85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 81
H20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 81
H23/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
L
75-83
75
83
-8
67avg 81
A26/11
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
76-90
76
90
-14
68avg 81
A30/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
99-70
99
70
+29
101avg 81
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 81
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
93avg 81
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
84-85 OT
84
85
-1
no box
H16/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
23-24
23-19
16-13
25-27
21-17
24-14
17-21
13-24
26-16
18-30
18-13
28-20
18-24
20-26
10-20
29-17
18-19
25-18
27-16
18-24
15-21
23-16
24-14
28-29
21-20
29-23
22-18
23-21
21-27
21-19
15-15
24-15
18-28
21-17
28-21
15-23
20-17
24-21
21-19
167.1Avg total
86.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.681.8166.4+2.871%
Season at home (8)87.180.1167.2+7.088%
Season away (6)81.284.0165.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)86.081.1167.1+4.960%
Last 5 (5)87.082.6169.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.080.6160.6-0.660%
vs Similar (12)83.879.8163.5+4.067%
vs Weaker (12)89.276.6165.8+12.675%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
90avg 82
H16/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
111-83
111
83
+28
112avg 82
A19/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 82
H24/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
86avg 82
H27/11
Basket League
Monaco
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
71avg 82
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
96-54
96
54
+42
107avg 82
A02/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
57avg 82
H05/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
77-69
77
69
+8
71avg 82
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
83-54
83
54
+29
83avg 82
A11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#14
L
56-63
56
63
-7
46avg 82
H15/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
25-21
19-9
24-30
24-21
29-20
28-21
30-21
19-19
24-12
26-21
20-20
27-14
16-19
20-19
24-22
17-22
22-16
20-20
18-27
26-19
24-6
25-11
21-18
19-23
17-14
21-24
14-16
24-8
17-21
13-15
23-25
22-13
22-15
21-13
18-13
15-14
11-21
12-12
18-16
154.9Avg total
83.5Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.474.9151.3+1.650%
Season at home (9)77.374.1151.4+3.256%
Season away (5)74.876.2151.0-1.440%
Last 10 (10)83.571.4154.9+12.170%
Last 5 (5)76.663.4140.0+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)73.173.0146.1+0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.866.4148.2+15.485%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
Virtus BolognaOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H23/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/11
Lega A
Bayern
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A30/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H03/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H06/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H08/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/12
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/12
Lega A
86.3Avg total
43.0Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.882.9+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.039.184.1+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.681.4+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.386.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.085.6-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.244.085.2-2.840%-
vs Similar (12)43.242.285.4+1.150%-
vs Weaker (12)44.436.380.8+8.175%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H16/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A19/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H24/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H27/11
Basket League
Monaco
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A30/11
Euroleague
Lavrio
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A02/12
Basket League
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H05/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/12
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#14
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H15/12
Euroleague
76.1Avg total
42.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.074.3+6.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.633.772.2+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)42.434.376.6+8.179%-
Last 10 (10)42.034.176.1+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.430.870.2+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)36.835.572.3+1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.133.275.3+8.985%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.2
53.9%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.8
38.4%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.414.4
74.2%
77.4%14.4
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.7
54.5%
53.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.2
40.3%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.013.9
69.5%
77.4%13.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLWWWLLWW
Olympiacos
LWWLWLWWWW
#8
League position
#4
+4.7
Net rating
+18.1
115.3
Offensive rating
120.2
110.7
Defensive rating
102.1
55.4%
Effective FG%
57.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.4%
3-point %
40.3%
66.7%
Assist %
70.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 120.2Defence110.7 · 102.1Shooting55.4% · 57.2%3-point %38.4% · 40.3%Ball care16.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 33.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
12/01/23Virtus Bologna v Olympiacos83-85
09/12/22Olympiacos v Virtus Bologna117-71
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HVenezia84-85 OT
14/12/23ABaskonia91-81
10/12/23AOlimpia Milano80-82
08/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-90
06/12/23HBarcelona80-75
03/12/23HTortona99-70
30/11/23ABayern76-90
26/11/23ABrindisi75-83
23/11/23HFenerbahce87-79
20/11/23HBrescia88-76
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23HValencia56-63
11/12/23AAS Karditsas83-54
08/12/23HBayern77-69
05/12/23HReal Madrid71-77
02/12/23ALavrio96-54
30/11/23AMonaco77-85
27/11/23HPeristeri87-74
24/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas89-72
19/11/23AMaroussi111-83
16/11/23HCrvena zvezda88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %71%88%50%
Points / game84.687.181.2
Allowed / game81.880.184.0
Point differential+2.8+7.0-2.8
Avg total166.4167.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %50%56%40%
Points / game76.477.374.8
Allowed / game74.974.176.2
Point differential+1.6+3.2-1.4
Avg total151.3151.4151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%22%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %14%11%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1514193%87.974.4+13.5
2 Virtus Bologna1410471%84.681.8+2.8
3 Barcelona1510567%83.178.2+4.9
4 Maccabi Tel Aviv159660%86.787.1-0.4
5 Partizan148657%87.685.4+2.1
6 Monaco148657%79.378.9+0.4
7 Valencia148657%74.274.1+0.1
8 Baskonia158753%82.883.3-0.5
9 Olympiacos147750%76.474.9+1.6
10 Panathinaikos147750%81.980.6+1.4
11 Fenerbahce147750%81.181.2-0.1
12 Anadolu Efes147750%81.987.0-5.1
13 Bayern146843%78.781.4-2.6
14 Olimpia Milano145936%79.779.1+0.6
15 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%79.181.2-2.1
16 Crvena zvezda1551033%80.779.7+1.0
17 Alba Berlin1531220%76.185.4-9.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1421214%80.289.0-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1711192269
Olympiacos1921151267
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