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Benfica vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-59
18-16 19-21 26-13 30-9
Position#1
Record16-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game76.2
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#5
Record11-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.4
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2024-25
Meetings · Benfica v Ovarense
21 Nov 2026
BEN v OVAR
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
BEN89
OVAR70
24 May 2025
BEN103
OVAR71
22 May 2025
BEN85
OVAR66
29 Mar 2025
BEN93
OVAR59
18 Nov 2023
BEN84
OVAR52
22 May 2023
BEN91
OVAR79
20 May 2023
BEN88
OVAR59
22 Mar 2023
BEN91
OVAR75
14 Jan 2023
BEN76
OVAR77
21 Oct 2022
BEN97
OVAR72
06 May 2022
BEN96
OVAR65
12 Feb 2022
BEN86
OVAR64
04 Dec 2020
BEN92
OVAR73
04 Dec 2019
BEN74
OVAR70
27 Apr 2019
BEN90
OVAR61
15 Mar 2019
BEN64
OVAR65
15 Dec 2018
BEN101
OVAR78
18 Nov 2017
BEN83
OVAR81
22 Oct 2016
BEN87
OVAR69
05 Mar 2016
BEN96
OVAR92
20 Feb 2016
BEN99
OVAR91
20 May 2015
BEN100
OVAR67
10 May 2015
BEN89
OVAR79
09 May 2015
BEN87
OVAR94
11 Apr 2015
BEN94
OVAR73
05 Apr 2014
BEN86
OVAR65
05 May 2013
BEN70
OVAR50
04 May 2013
BEN88
OVAR55
05 Jan 2013
BEN91
OVAR80
03 Dec 2011
BEN70
OVAR68
17 Apr 2011
BEN84
OVAR77
15 Apr 2011
BEN82
OVAR66
26 Mar 2011
BEN94
OVAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#16
W
104-55
104
55
+49
107avg 83
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#4
W
95-83
95
83
+12
93avg 83
A25/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 83
H02/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
96-90
96
90
+6
89avg 83
A05/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#5
W
95-90
95
90
+5
82avg 83
A08/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
89-103
89
103
-14
77avg 83
A15/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
71avg 83
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#8
W
100-65
100
65
+35
106avg 83
H07/03
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 83
A15/03
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 83
A22/03
Taca de Portugal
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
34-16
32-10
23-15
30-20
22-21
23-15
20-27
26-13
24-18
19-18
17-27
24-23
28-19
21-22
23-26
26-21
20-27
17-20
32-22
23-21
25-27
21-20
20-35
22-15
28-16
18-22
17-15
32-16
15-21
25-16
28-12
14-12
27-21
26-26
28-27
24-19
18-35
19-20
23-20
173.9Avg total
92.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.776.2166.9+14.594%
Season at home (8)90.171.6161.8+18.5100%
Season away (9)91.280.2171.4+11.089%
Last 10 (10)92.981.0173.9+11.980%
Last 5 (5)90.683.2173.8+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.883.4156.2-10.620%
vs Similar (4)83.288.8172.0-5.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.776.5167.2+14.295%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#10
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 74
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
78-67
78
67
+11
72avg 74
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
W
73-60
73
60
+13
61avg 74
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 74
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
65avg 74
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 74
H15/02
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
94-68
94
68
+26
87avg 74
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
91-100
91
100
-9
80avg 74
A08/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 74
H15/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
72avg 74
A18/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
27-13
16-26
22-19
14-19
25-12
15-16
24-20
12-23
26-17
22-12
13-8
19-26
21-18
8-20
27-18
25-18
21-26
17-25
14-19
17-20
19-21
21-24
26-6
24-24
16-17
21-13
33-14
17-24
22-23
31-25
21-28
15-23
20-13
25-17
21-23
17-15
24-25
17-17
19-18
158.9Avg total
82.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.078.4158.4+1.665%
Season at home (9)81.279.1160.3+2.167%
Season away (8)78.677.6156.2+1.062%
Last 10 (10)82.176.8158.9+5.370%
Last 5 (5)85.278.0163.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.183.9162.0-5.831%
vs Similar (6)77.273.2150.3+4.067%
vs Weaker (10)84.974.1159.0+10.8100%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.7+4.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.7+4.7
BenficaOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A25/01
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H02/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A05/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A08/02
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A15/02
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H07/03
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/03
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A22/03
Taca de Portugal
87.2Avg total
47.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.138.582.6+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.135.180.1+10.079%-
Last 30 away (16)43.241.484.7+1.856%-
Last 10 (10)47.739.587.2+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.686.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.040.482.4+1.660%-
vs Similar (4)41.547.589.0-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.936.181.1+8.879%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#10
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A19/01
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A25/01
LPB
Galomar
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A26/01
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A02/02
LPB
FC Porto
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A09/02
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H15/02
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H01/03
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A08/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A18/03
LPB
80.8Avg total
40.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.679.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.737.676.4+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)41.839.581.2+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.080.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.079.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.240.882.0+0.562%-
vs Similar (6)33.734.368.0-0.733%-
vs Weaker (10)41.838.780.5+3.160%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
51.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.2
35.1%
32.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.1
74.7%
69.2%17.1
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.2
49.2%
51.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
32.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.312.5
68.3%
69.2%12.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
LWWWLWWWWW
Ovarense
WWLWWLLWWW
#1
League position
#5
+10.1
Net rating
+7.0
114.5
Offensive rating
112.9
104.5
Defensive rating
106.0
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
37.0%
67.4%
Assist %
60.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 112.9Defence104.5 · 106.0Shooting52.9% · 51.8%3-point %35.1% · 37.0%Ball care15.8% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.5% · 33.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Benfica   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Benfica wins
0
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Ovarense v Benfica77-98
23/03/24Ovarense v Benfica79-87
27/01/24Ovarense v Benfica74-98
18/11/23Benfica v Ovarense84-52
25/05/23Ovarense v Benfica44-115
22/05/23Benfica v Ovarense91-79 OT
20/05/23Benfica v Ovarense88-59
22/04/23Ovarense v Benfica66-115
22/03/23Benfica v Ovarense91-75
10/02/23Ovarense v Benfica76-86
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AFC Porto84-94
15/03/25ACA Queluz95-86
07/03/25HEsgueira100-65
01/03/25HVitoria85-68
15/02/25AFC Porto89-103
08/02/25AVitoria95-90
05/02/25AGalitos Barreiro96-90
02/02/25HImortal86-76
25/01/25AOliveirense95-83
19/01/25APortimonense104-55
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/25AFC Porto77-75
15/03/25HVitoria81-76
08/03/25ASporting CP91-100
01/03/25HEsgueira94-68
15/02/25HCD Povoa83-71
09/02/25AFC Porto77-88
02/02/25AGalitos Barreiro75-82
26/01/25AGalomar73-60
25/01/25AGalomar78-67
19/01/25AEsgueira92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %94%100%89%
Points / game90.790.191.2
Allowed / game76.271.680.2
Point differential+14.5+18.5+11.0
Avg total166.9161.8171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%88%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %65%67%62%
Points / game80.081.278.6
Allowed / game78.479.177.6
Point differential+1.6+2.1+1.0
Avg total158.4160.3156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1716194%90.776.2+14.5
2 FC Porto1815383%87.678.3+9.2
3 Sporting CP1711665%85.178.7+6.4
4 Ovarense1711665%80.078.4+1.6
5 Oliveirense179853%84.779.9+4.8
6 Galitos Barreiro189950%78.879.0-0.2
7 Vitoria1881044%82.383.6-1.3
8 Esgueira1881044%82.286.4-4.2
9 Imortal1881044%79.385.6-6.3
10 CD Povoa1741324%73.981.1-7.2
11 CA Queluz1741324%82.390.3-8.0
12 Galomar1821611%73.682.2-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica1819263093
Ovarense162113959
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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