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Baskonia vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-73
13-12 13-25 24-16 25-20
Position#9
Record9-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#2
Record10-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Baskonia v Panathinaikos
09 Mar 2027
BAS v PAO
upcoming
09 Oct 2025
BAS84
PAO86
17 Jan 2025
BAS91
PAO77
03 Jan 2024
BAS75
PAO73
03 Feb 2023
BAS95
PAO90
12 Oct 2021
BAS81
PAO79
19 Nov 2020
BAS93
PAO72
23 Nov 2018
BAS86
PAO77
02 Nov 2017
BAS85
PAO84
23 Mar 2017
BAS63
PAO72
15 Apr 2016
BAS82
PAO78
13 Apr 2016
BAS84
PAO68
10 Jan 2014
BAS64
PAO72
29 Nov 2013
BAS79
PAO77
03 Feb 2011
BAS77
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
80-79
80
79
+1
70avg 66
H06/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
87-85
87
85
+2
84avg 66
H08/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
104-100
104
100
+4
108avg 66
H10/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
94-82
94
82
+12
83avg 66
H12/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 66
H14/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
62-82
62
82
-20
53avg 66
A17/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-89
81
89
-8
74avg 66
A19/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 66
A22/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
67-76
67
76
-9
66avg 66
A28/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-85
93
85
+8
90avg 66
A30/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
28-19
19-18
23-24
26-18
26-25
15-19
20-23
22-25
34-19
22-29
26-27
14-20
23-23
25-25
32-14
15-24
28-18
17-21
21-28
19-17
14-20
11-19
18-26
22-22
27-25
18-21
14-21
17-17
19-19
21-24
30-20
12-20
19-26
17-14
19-16
22-17
26-23
27-19
18-26
168.5Avg total
83.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.182.6164.8-0.553%
Season at home (9)80.982.2163.1-1.344%
Season away (8)83.583.1166.6+0.462%
Last 10 (10)83.684.9168.5-1.360%
Last 5 (5)78.082.4160.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.081.9160.9-2.943%
vs Similar (17)83.285.9169.2-2.747%
vs Weaker (6)88.082.0170.0+6.083%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#12
W
77-53
77
53
+24
77avg 75
H02/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
68-71
68
71
-3
64avg 75
A05/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
62avg 75
H07/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
97-85
97
85
+12
101avg 75
H10/12
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 75
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
91-90
91
90
+1
79avg 75
A20/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
74avg 75
A22/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
69-54
69
54
+15
no box
A24/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
82-65
82
65
+17
75avg 75
H28/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
92avg 75
A31/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
18-14
17-13
13-12
15-23
16-14
21-13
16-21
23-24
22-22
10-26
23-18
17-22
28-23
29-17
23-23
24-21
21-15
19-24
25-21
22-19
17-28
17-20
35-23
22-24
19-17
18-15
17-12
18-15
16-16
20-13
15-10
20-17
18-14
23-19
21-15
28-12
23-25
24-19
17-23
155.5Avg total
81.9Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.179.5161.6+2.659%
Season at home (9)82.877.9160.7+4.967%
Season away (8)81.481.2162.6+0.150%
Last 10 (10)81.973.6155.5+8.380%
Last 5 (5)82.071.2153.2+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.075.0126.0-24.00%
vs Similar (6)75.780.8156.5-5.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.073.4158.5+11.687%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
BaskoniaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/12
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/12
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A19/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A22/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A28/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A30/12
ACB
83.8Avg total
42.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.283.6+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.784.3+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.341.783.0-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.583.8+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.280.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)44.339.083.3+5.357%-
vs Similar (17)41.342.083.3-0.753%-
vs Weaker (6)43.541.585.0+2.067%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H02/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H10/12
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A22/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H28/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A31/12
Basket League
79.5Avg total
41.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.377.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.736.881.5+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)35.937.973.8-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.979.5+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.478.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.037.048.0-26.00%-
vs Similar (6)36.041.377.3-5.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.736.379.0+6.465%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.5
50.6%
53.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.9
38.5%
36.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
77.4%16.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.0
55.4%
53.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.4
36.2%
36.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.213.5
70.3%
77.4%13.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWLLLWWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWLLW
#9
League position
#2
-1.7
Net rating
+10.4
110.5
Offensive rating
111.6
112.2
Defensive rating
101.2
53.9%
Effective FG%
55.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.5%
3-point %
36.2%
64.2%
Assist %
62.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 111.6Defence112.2 · 101.2Shooting53.9% · 55.0%3-point %38.5% · 36.2%Ball care18.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds28.2% · 30.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Baskonia   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Baskonia wins
5
Panathinaikos wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ABasquet Girona93-85
28/12/23AOlimpia Milano67-76
22/12/23AAnadolu Efes87-80
19/12/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-89
17/12/23ABarcelona62-82
14/12/23HVirtus Bologna81-91
12/12/23HPalencia94-82
10/12/23HTenerife104-100
08/12/23HCrvena zvezda87-85
06/12/23HFenerbahce80-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23AMaroussi92-79
28/12/23HCrvena zvezda82-65
24/12/23APromitheas69-54
22/12/23AOlimpia Milano76-68
20/12/23AMonaco91-90
14/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne89-81
10/12/23HPAOK97-85
07/12/23HReal Madrid78-90
05/12/23AAnadolu Efes68-71
02/12/23HAS Karditsas77-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeWLWWL44%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%44%62%
Points / game82.180.983.5
Allowed / game82.682.283.1
Point differential-0.5-1.3+0.4
Avg total164.8163.1166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)60% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW59%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%67%50%
Points / game82.182.881.4
Allowed / game79.577.981.2
Point differential+2.6+4.9+0.1
Avg total161.6160.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %18%22%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%87.574.5+12.9
2 Virtus Bologna1712571%82.480.4+2.1
3 Barcelona1711665%82.579.1+3.4
4 Maccabi Tel Aviv1811761%86.886.5+0.3
5 Panathinaikos1710759%82.179.5+2.6
6 Olympiacos1810856%77.573.9+3.6
7 Partizan1810856%85.483.8+1.7
8 Monaco1810856%81.480.0+1.4
9 Valencia1810856%75.775.2+0.4
10 Fenerbahce1810856%81.881.4+0.3
11 Baskonia179853%82.182.6-0.5
12 Bayern178947%79.681.5-1.9
13 Olimpia Milano1871139%78.877.3+1.5
14 Crvena zvezda1871139%81.180.3+0.7
15 Anadolu Efes1871139%81.687.4-5.8
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1861233%78.480.6-2.2
17 Alba Berlin1831517%75.785.7-10.1
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1821611%78.387.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia1313242575
Panathinaikos1225162073
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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