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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-83
17-19 25-16 15-17 13-31
Position#13
Record7-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#14
Record4-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Baskonia
10 Dec 2026
ZAL v BAS
upcoming
25 Nov 2025
ZAL82
BAS67
28 Nov 2024
ZAL70
BAS83
21 Mar 2024
ZAL94
BAS76
10 Feb 2023
ZAL79
BAS75
02 Dec 2021
ZAL72
BAS68
15 Dec 2020
ZAL92
BAS73
12 Oct 2018
ZAL79
BAS87
16 Nov 2017
ZAL77
BAS97
21 Oct 2016
ZAL78
BAS73
30 Dec 2015
ZAL68
BAS89
23 Nov 2012
ZAL82
BAS45
15 Dec 2010
ZAL89
BAS95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
68avg 80
A27/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 80
H30/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
63-62
63
62
+1
60avg 80
H01/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
84-67
84
67
+17
81avg 80
H03/11
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
58avg 80
A07/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
97-70
97
70
+27
92avg 80
A10/11
LKL
Paris
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
63avg 80
A13/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
65-72
65
72
-7
48avg 80
H15/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
101-46
101
46
+55
112avg 80
H17/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 80
H22/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
18-23
14-32
30-25
24-18
23-15
19-24
20-27
20-11
14-14
9-18
20-19
20-9
20-22
21-10
23-26
7-19
21-19
19-20
27-19
28-19
25-19
23-12
21-20
16-17
20-23
20-22
21-21
21-17
5-26
21-9
18-20
26-8
26-13
24-12
25-13
28-18
21-24
16-21
19-14
155.1Avg total
81.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.073.5148.5+1.564%
Season at home (6)75.070.8145.8+4.283%
Season away (5)75.076.8151.8-1.840%
Last 10 (10)81.373.8155.1+7.560%
Last 5 (5)84.869.6154.4+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.870.4141.2+0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.181.9165.0+1.250%
vs Weaker (15)88.971.5160.4+17.587%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 80
H26/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 80
H29/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
65-67
65
67
-2
54avg 80
A01/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
77avg 80
A03/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
68-91
68
91
-23
60avg 80
A08/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
100-99
100
99
+1
90avg 80
H10/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
74avg 80
H12/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
69avg 80
H14/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
85-86
85
86
-1
86avg 80
A17/11
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
61avg 80
A21/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
20-28
13-25
19-10
20-21
32-24
15-18
21-20
16-18
19-20
13-19
17-10
21-23
27-19
21-23
17-27
17-26
16-18
18-18
17-29
19-21
28-27
35-22
18-29
21-24
18-22
24-19
21-24
7-24
17-23
31-14
20-26
26-16
17-22
23-17
19-31
24-30
14-26
15-17
16-19
166.7Avg total
79.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.779.5155.2-3.736%
Season at home (6)81.878.3160.2+3.567%
Season away (5)68.480.8149.2-12.40%
Last 10 (10)79.986.8166.7-6.920%
Last 5 (5)82.690.6173.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)86.094.6180.6-8.611%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.884.6166.4-2.838%
vs Weaker (5)89.884.0173.8+5.880%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.0-4.0
Zalgiris KaunasBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/10
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H30/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H01/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/11
LKL
Bayern
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A07/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#7
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A10/11
LKL
Paris
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H15/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H17/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/11
Euroleague
75.7Avg total
40.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.578.5+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.735.076.7+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.180.2+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.475.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.880.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.235.270.4+0.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.138.879.9+2.350%-
vs Weaker (15)42.737.580.2+5.367%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H26/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H29/10
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A01/11
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/11
ACB
Barcelona
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A08/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H12/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H14/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/11
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A21/11
Euroleague
85.7Avg total
40.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.985.8-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.744.185.7-2.427%-
Last 30 away (15)40.145.785.8-5.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.645.185.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.085.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.848.690.3-6.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.742.982.6-3.231%-
vs Weaker (5)43.044.887.8-1.820%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.4
51.5%
54.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.5
33.6%
36.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.2
74.1%
78.0%15.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.4
47.2%
54.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.1
31.4%
36.2%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
78.0%16.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLLWLWWWL
Baskonia
LLLLWLLLWL
#13
League position
#14
+10.3
Net rating
-9.1
114.0
Offensive rating
107.5
103.7
Defensive rating
116.6
51.0%
Effective FG%
47.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.6%
3-point %
31.4%
60.9%
Assist %
56.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 107.5Defence103.7 · 116.6Shooting51.0% · 47.2%3-point %33.6% · 31.4%Ball care14.2% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 36.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
5
Baskonia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24HPanathinaikos84-77
17/11/24HMazeikiai101-46
15/11/24HFenerbahce65-72
13/11/24AParis77-83
10/11/24ANeptunas97-70
07/11/24ABayern74-77
03/11/24HJuventus84-67
01/11/24HMonaco63-62
30/10/24HCrvena zvezda86-84
27/10/24ABC Wolves82-100
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24AOlympiacos69-92
17/11/24ABasket Zaragoza85-86
14/11/24HMonaco75-87
12/11/24HAnadolu Efes84-89
10/11/24HForca Lleida100-99
08/11/24ABarcelona68-91
03/11/24AGran Canaria86-92
01/11/24AParis65-67
29/10/24HOlimpia Milano88-83
26/10/24HJoventut Badalona79-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game75.075.075.0
Allowed / game73.570.876.8
Point differential+1.5+4.2-1.8
Avg total148.5145.8151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game75.781.868.4
Allowed / game79.578.380.8
Point differential-3.7+3.5-12.4
Avg total155.2160.2149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce119282%79.275.2+4.0
2 Olympiacos118373%86.579.7+6.7
3 Bayern118373%89.685.3+4.4
4 Paris118373%85.581.4+4.2
5 Panathinaikos117464%85.681.2+4.5
6 Monaco117464%84.780.7+4.0
7 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%75.073.5+1.5
8 Barcelona117464%85.784.4+1.4
9 Anadolu Efes116555%83.882.3+1.5
10 Real Madrid115645%83.882.2+1.6
11 Crvena zvezda115645%82.081.1+0.9
12 Olimpia Milano115645%86.187.5-1.5
13 Baskonia114736%75.779.5-3.7
14 Partizan113827%80.082.0-2.0
15 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%82.387.1-4.8
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne113827%80.085.5-5.5
17 Virtus Bologna112918%79.884.8-5.0
18 Alba Berlin112918%78.590.5-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas1725151370
Baskonia1916173183
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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