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Baskonia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-82
21-21 17-17 19-18 24-26
Position#14
Record6-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#17
Record2-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Baskonia v Virtus Bologna
08 Jan 2027
BAS v VIR
upcoming
06 Nov 2025
BAS87
VIR76
12 Dec 2024
BAS81
VIR82
19 Apr 2024
BAS89
VIR77
14 Dec 2023
BAS81
VIR91
22 Dec 2022
BAS90
VIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
W
100-99
100
99
+1
90avg 79
H10/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
84-89
84
89
-5
74avg 79
H12/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
69avg 79
H14/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
85-86
85
86
-1
86avg 79
A17/11
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
61avg 79
A21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
83-70
83
70
+13
77avg 79
A28/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
91-116
91
116
-25
79avg 79
H01/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
88-76
88
76
+12
91avg 79
H03/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
78avg 79
A05/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
69-67
69
67
+2
66avg 79
A08/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
28-27
35-22
18-29
21-24
18-22
24-19
21-24
7-24
17-23
31-14
20-26
26-16
17-22
23-17
19-31
24-30
14-26
15-17
16-19
19-17
16-25
17-15
31-13
25-25
15-26
23-36
28-29
26-12
19-13
18-22
25-29
23-23
21-21
17-25
19-25
20-14
20-18
17-16
12-19
170.0Avg total
82.4Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.479.6157.0-2.143%
Season at home (7)82.778.0160.7+4.771%
Season away (7)72.181.1153.3-9.014%
Last 10 (10)82.487.6170.0-5.240%
Last 5 (5)82.284.6166.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)87.695.3182.9-7.822%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.482.0162.4-1.641%
vs Weaker (4)93.286.5179.8+6.875%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
95-104
95
104
-9
99avg 79
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
76avg 79
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 79
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
97avg 79
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 79
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
69avg 79
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
L
97-98
97
98
-1
90avg 79
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
78avg 79
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
79avg 79
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 79
A08/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
22-27
30-25
21-28
25-28
24-25
18-27
19-18
18-19
25-27
15-14
19-22
21-18
16-23
37-23
21-21
22-23
16-14
23-19
21-30
24-21
14-23
23-25
17-12
19-27
32-19
21-18
25-34
18-26
20-22
23-20
17-10
19-18
19-26
25-13
24-37
24-22
29-20
13-11
16-20
175.8Avg total
86.7Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.885.6166.4-4.814%
Season at home (8)79.682.9162.5-3.212%
Season away (6)82.389.2171.5-6.817%
Last 10 (10)86.789.1175.8-2.420%
Last 5 (5)86.487.2173.6-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.085.9164.9-6.912%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.584.2166.7-1.631%
vs Weaker (8)87.682.8170.4+4.975%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -3.2-3.2
BaskoniaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H12/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H14/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/11
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A21/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/11
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/12
ACB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H03/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A05/12
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A08/12
ACB
82.4Avg total
39.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.784.6-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.886.2-1.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.583.1-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.982.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.879.6+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.146.387.4-5.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.841.681.5-1.835%-
vs Weaker (4)45.546.291.8-0.825%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A12/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H20/11
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#2
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H04/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H06/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/12
Lega A
88.1Avg total
42.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.883.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.040.379.3-1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)43.943.287.1+0.744%-
Last 10 (10)42.945.288.1-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.888.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.142.983.0-2.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.441.382.7+0.154%-
vs Weaker (8)42.142.684.8-0.538%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.2
55.0%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.0
34.5%
36.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
78.0%14.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.6
55.9%
54.5%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.9
32.1%
36.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.216.8
72.4%
78.0%16.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WLWLWLLLLW
Virtus Bologna
WLLLLLWLLL
#14
League position
#17
-7.2
Net rating
-3.2
112.0
Offensive rating
114.0
119.1
Defensive rating
117.2
53.7%
Effective FG%
53.0%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.5%
3-point %
32.1%
63.4%
Assist %
65.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.0 · 114.0Defence119.1 · 117.2Shooting53.7% · 53.0%3-point %34.5% · 32.1%Ball care17.2% · 13.6%Off. rebounds32.8% · 27.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Baskonia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Baskonia wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24ABilbao69-67
05/12/24ABayern80-94
03/12/24HFenerbahce88-76
01/12/24HValencia91-116
28/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas83-70
21/11/24AOlympiacos69-92
17/11/24ABasket Zaragoza85-86
14/11/24HMonaco75-87
12/11/24HAnadolu Efes84-89
10/11/24HForca Lleida100-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24AOlimpia Milano82-73
06/12/24HCrvena zvezda87-94
04/12/24HAlba Berlin88-90 OT
01/12/24ABrescia97-98
28/11/24AParis78-81
20/11/24HFenerbahce82-86
17/11/24HSassari95-85
15/11/24HPanathinaikos77-82
12/11/24AReal Madrid86-98
10/11/24AVarese95-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game77.482.772.1
Allowed / game79.678.081.1
Point differential-2.1+4.7-9.0
Avg total157.0160.7153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %14%12%17%
Points / game80.879.682.3
Allowed / game85.682.989.2
Point differential-4.8-3.2-6.8
Avg total166.4162.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)0% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1411379%86.581.7+4.8
2 Monaco1510567%86.880.9+5.9
3 Fenerbahce1510567%78.978.3+0.5
4 Olympiacos149564%85.780.8+4.9
5 Bayern149564%89.187.1+1.9
6 Panathinaikos148657%85.283.1+2.1
7 Olimpia Milano148657%87.987.0+0.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%75.674.9+0.7
9 Barcelona148657%86.485.8+0.6
10 Crvena zvezda147750%84.582.6+1.9
11 Anadolu Efes147750%84.184.1+0.0
12 Partizan157847%81.680.9+0.7
13 Real Madrid146843%83.482.6+0.8
14 Baskonia146843%77.479.6-2.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne145936%81.585.2-3.7
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%83.987.4-3.5
17 Alba Berlin1531220%80.591.9-11.3
18 Virtus Bologna1421214%80.885.6-4.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2117192481
Virtus Bologna2117182682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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