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Panathinaikos vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 103-74
38-15 24-25 17-20 24-14
Position#3
Record8-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#11
Record9-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game86.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2024
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano
27 Oct 2026
PAO80
MIL75
06 Jan 2026
PAO74
MIL87
17 Dec 2024
PAO103
MIL74
31 Jan 2024
PAO79
MIL62
08 Dec 2022
PAO90
MIL77
04 Mar 2022
PAO75
MIL76
01 Apr 2021
PAO86
MIL83
21 Dec 2018
PAO83
MIL86
15 Dec 2017
PAO80
MIL72
21 Mar 2017
PAO74
MIL61
07 Nov 2014
PAO90
MIL63
02 Jan 2014
PAO73
MIL57
23 Feb 2012
PAO58
MIL67
22 Dec 2010
PAO93
MIL62
03 Dec 2009
PAO80
MIL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
82-77
82
77
+5
79avg 81
A15/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
92avg 81
A17/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
75avg 81
A22/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
88-91
88
91
-3
84avg 81
H29/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
100-74
100
74
+26
99avg 81
H01/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
83avg 81
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
73-91
73
91
-18
66avg 81
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
85-83
85
83
+2
85avg 81
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-93
67
93
-26
50avg 81
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 81
A15/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
27-25
14-15
22-19
22-22
19-25
24-20
26-17
18-28
24-21
21-16
14-19
26-28
22-22
19-15
21-26
23-14
20-16
29-19
28-25
25-19
20-26
18-24
27-20
20-20
17-24
12-20
24-27
17-23
27-19
18-21
23-20
15-20
19-25
12-23
21-25
20-20
25-17
18-15
22-16
167.2Avg total
83.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.083.8167.8+0.253%
Season at home (6)91.084.7175.7+6.367%
Season away (9)79.383.2162.6-3.944%
Last 10 (10)83.883.4167.2+0.460%
Last 5 (5)80.084.8164.8-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)82.684.6167.2-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.676.1165.6+13.594%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
W
88-81
88
81
+7
90avg 77
A15/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 77
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 77
H21/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 77
A29/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
85avg 77
H01/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
101-86
101
86
+15
94avg 77
H04/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 77
H06/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 77
H08/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
W
94-81
94
81
+13
91avg 77
A13/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
92-94
92
94
-2
85avg 77
A15/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-20
26-23
24-16
28-16
26-22
16-29
25-16
20-22
30-21
29-27
19-16
24-19
17-18
25-26
25-22
17-31
20-27
29-19
28-21
23-15
30-27
26-23
22-21
18-20
23-16
22-25
29-23
22-24
20-29
11-13
20-16
16-24
24-19
36-17
18-21
19-25
24-29
22-18
27-22
177.8Avg total
91.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.386.6174.9+1.760%
Season at home (8)90.084.6174.6+5.475%
Season away (7)86.488.9175.3-2.443%
Last 10 (10)91.886.0177.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)90.485.4175.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)83.488.8172.2-5.440%
vs Similar (17)85.183.4168.4+1.771%
vs Weaker (7)93.487.9181.3+5.657%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +4.3+4.3
PanathinaikosOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A15/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A17/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H29/11
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/12
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A08/12
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A13/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A15/12
Basket League
85.7Avg total
42.5Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.782.3+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.136.980.1+6.264%-
Last 30 away (16)42.142.184.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.285.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.683.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)41.442.984.3-1.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.636.980.5+6.881%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A15/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#13
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A18/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H21/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A29/11
Euroleague
Tortona
#9
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H01/12
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H04/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
Lega A
Barcelona
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/12
Euroleague
Varese
#12
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A15/12
Lega A
88.5Avg total
43.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.583.2+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.239.883.0+3.372%-
Last 30 away (12)39.543.983.4-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.688.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.689.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)31.842.474.2-10.620%-
vs Similar (17)43.141.984.9+1.259%-
vs Weaker (7)45.942.388.1+3.657%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.8
56.2%
54.5%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.216.9
76.1%
78.0%16.9
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.6
56.5%
54.5%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.3
43.0%
36.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.119.5
88.2%
78.0%19.5
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWLWWLLWW
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#11
-0.3
Net rating
+7.7
114.2
Offensive rating
124.8
114.5
Defensive rating
117.0
54.3%
Effective FG%
60.1%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.4%
3-point %
43.0%
65.6%
Assist %
56.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 124.8Defence114.5 · 117.0Shooting54.3% · 60.1%3-point %34.4% · 43.0%Ball care17.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds32.3% · 25.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Panathinaikos wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24ALavrio85-68
13/12/24AAnadolu Efes67-93
08/12/24APanionios85-83
05/12/24APartizan73-91
03/12/24HBarcelona90-89
01/12/24HMaroussi100-74
29/11/24HMonaco88-91
22/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas77-84
17/11/24AKolossos Rhodes91-84
15/11/24AVirtus Bologna82-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AVarese92-94
13/12/24ABarcelona94-81
08/12/24HVirtus Bologna73-82
06/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne92-84
04/12/24HCrvena zvezda101-86
01/12/24HTortona94-98
29/11/24AFenerbahce91-85
21/11/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
18/11/24ACremona95-83
15/11/24APartizan88-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %53%67%44%
Points / game84.091.079.3
Allowed / game83.884.783.2
Point differential+0.2+6.3-3.9
Avg total167.8175.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game88.390.086.4
Allowed / game86.684.688.9
Point differential+1.7+5.4-2.4
Avg total174.9174.6175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1511473%86.982.8+4.1
2 Monaco1611569%87.280.5+6.7
3 Fenerbahce1510567%78.978.3+0.5
4 Bayern1610662%88.787.9+0.8
5 Olympiacos159660%84.981.2+3.7
6 Olimpia Milano159660%88.386.6+1.7
7 Zalgiris Kaunas159660%76.775.4+1.3
8 Crvena zvezda158753%84.782.0+2.7
9 Anadolu Efes158753%84.782.9+1.7
10 Panathinaikos158753%84.083.8+0.2
11 Barcelona158753%86.186.3-0.3
12 Partizan157847%81.680.9+0.7
13 Baskonia167944%78.880.1-1.3
14 Real Madrid156940%83.383.2+0.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne156940%82.685.7-3.1
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1641225%84.688.6-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna1531220%80.985.3-4.4
18 Alba Berlin1531220%80.591.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos38241724103
Olimpia Milano1525201474
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