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Panathinaikos vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 92-74
27-24 19-17 21-14 25-19
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#7
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2026
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Fenerbahce
08 Oct 2026
PAO92
FEN74
13 Feb 2026
PAO83
FEN85
04 Feb 2025
PAO91
FEN90
24 May 2024
PAO73
FEN57
09 Feb 2024
PAO74
FEN63
10 Jan 2023
PAO88
FEN94
07 Oct 2021
PAO91
FEN87
22 Oct 2020
PAO82
FEN68
07 Dec 2018
PAO69
FEN81
27 Oct 2017
PAO70
FEN68
20 Apr 2017
PAO75
FEN80
18 Apr 2017
PAO58
FEN71
16 Dec 2016
PAO81
FEN70
25 Feb 2016
PAO76
FEN71
30 Oct 2014
PAO91
FEN73
20 Mar 2014
PAO76
FEN67
07 Dec 2012
PAO69
FEN55
09 Feb 2012
PAO72
FEN62
24 Sep 2011
PAO85
FEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
PAOK
#3
W
102-94
102
94
+8
100avg 84
A30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
62avg 84
A03/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
68-58
68
58
+10
62avg 84
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
92-102
92
102
-10
82avg 84
A08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
85avg 84
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 84
A13/06
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
91-72
91
72
+19
88avg 84
H24/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
102-79
102
79
+23
104avg 84
H30/09
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-67
90
67
+23
83avg 84
H02/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
103-74
103
74
+29
103avg 84
H04/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
27-20
28-20
30-27
17-21
13-21
28-20
18-20
9-15
20-15
19-8
20-20
21-27
24-20
17-23
30-32
20-16
20-18
13-23
16-12
17-26
18-21
24-22
26-20
31-17
11-14
27-13
22-28
25-13
31-21
24-22
22-23
25-10
18-14
25-19
22-24
32-20
23-17
24-11
24-26
170.5Avg total
90.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.372.7167.0+21.7100%
Season at home (3)94.372.7167.0+21.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.280.3170.5+9.970%
Last 5 (5)94.276.2170.4+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.786.3171.0-1.733%
vs Similar (12)88.388.3176.7+0.058%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)97.175.7172.8+21.4100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
99avg 79
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 79
H13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
93-68
93
68
+25
95avg 79
H15/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
79avg 79
A17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 79
A19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 79
H25/09
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
76avg 79
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
W
100-76
100
76
+24
100avg 79
H29/09
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
68avg 79
H02/10
Euroleague
Korfez Basket
#11
W
85-84
85
84
+1
76avg 79
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
19-25
19-18
24-20
16-27
26-16
19-19
19-26
23-18
27-19
22-14
21-17
19-23
24-17
21-18
18-13
16-20
24-25
16-15
21-15
23-17
16-21
20-17
19-13
16-28
27-23
22-23
18-24
31-15
19-16
25-20
25-25
26-14
16-25
13-12
21-15
25-18
20-26
23-11
17-29
164.3Avg total
85.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.770.0154.7+14.7100%
Season at home (3)84.770.0154.7+14.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.678.7164.3+6.980%
Last 5 (5)84.478.4162.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)61.079.0140.0-18.00%
vs Similar (19)82.780.4163.2+2.363%
vs Weaker (10)86.777.1163.8+9.690%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
PanathinaikosFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A30/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H05/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H10/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A13/06
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H24/09
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H30/09
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H02/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H04/10
Basket League
79.2Avg total
41.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.339.683.9+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.238.683.8+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)43.240.984.1+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.937.379.2+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)46.234.680.8+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.243.380.5-6.217%-
vs Similar (12)43.843.086.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.234.482.7+13.883%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H15/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H25/09
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H29/09
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H02/10
Euroleague
Korfez Basket
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.5Avg total
43.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.182.7+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.237.979.1+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)43.942.486.3+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.785.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.684.4+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)24.033.057.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (19)41.541.783.2-0.353%-
vs Weaker (10)46.437.884.2+8.690%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.2
56.3%
55.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.5
40.2%
35.7%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.3
79.7%
77.1%15.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.2
57.9%
55.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.0
32.0%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.418.2
74.6%
77.1%18.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWLWLWLW
Fenerbahce
WWWLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#7
+11.8
Net rating
+8.4
106.6
Offensive rating
104.4
94.7
Defensive rating
95.9
58.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
40.2%
3-point %
32.0%
61.2%
Assist %
60.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 104.4Defence94.7 · 95.9Shooting58.1% · 53.5%3-point %40.2% · 32.0%Ball care13.1% · 12.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Fenerbahce wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HVikos103-74
02/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-67
30/09/26HLyon-Villeurbanne102-79
24/09/26HParis91-72
13/06/26AOlympiacos85-89
10/06/26HOlympiacos93-86 OT
08/06/26AOlympiacos92-102
05/06/26HOlympiacos68-58
03/06/26AOlympiacos76-82
30/05/26APAOK102-94
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HKorfez Basket85-84
02/10/26HDubai76-66
29/09/26HBayern100-76
27/09/26ABahcesehir Kol.83-98
25/09/26HVirtus Bologna78-68
19/06/26ABesiktas77-75
17/06/26ABesiktas82-71
15/06/26HBesiktas93-68
13/06/26HBesiktas80-88
07/06/26AAnadolu Efes102-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.394.3-
Allowed / game72.772.7-
Point differential+21.7+21.7-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game84.784.7-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+14.7+14.7-
Avg total154.7154.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos330100%94.372.7+21.7
2 Fenerbahce330100%84.770.0+14.7
3 Valencia330100%104.091.3+12.7
4 Partizan330100%90.079.7+10.3
5 Olympiacos32167%97.792.0+5.7
6 Barcelona32167%90.386.0+4.3
7 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32167%89.088.0+1.0
8 Crvena zvezda42250%77.873.5+4.2
9 Virtus Bologna42250%85.886.5-0.8
10 Dubai42250%74.079.2-5.2
11 Lyon-Villeurbanne42250%88.294.2-6.0
12 Besiktas31233%95.094.7+0.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas31233%84.084.0+0.0
14 Anadolu Efes31233%82.783.3-0.7
15 Baskonia31233%87.797.7-10.0
16 Paris41325%82.289.8-7.5
17 Bayern41325%83.291.0-7.8
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%82.890.5-7.8
19 Olimpia Milano41325%79.590.0-10.5
20 Real Madrid3030%86.391.3-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2719212592
Fenerbahce2417141974
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