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Panathinaikos vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 107-97
15-16 37-19 26-27 29-35
Position#7
Record19-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#10
Record19-14
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2025
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Monaco
21 Apr 2026
PAO87
MCO79
27 Mar 2026
PAO107
MCO97
29 Nov 2024
PAO88
MCO91
11 Jan 2024
PAO88
MCO63
21 Oct 2022
PAO80
MCO83
01 Feb 2022
PAO83
MCO91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
74avg 84
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
97-102
97
102
-5
92avg 84
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
99-104
99
104
-5
95avg 84
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 84
A06/03
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 84
A08/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
87avg 84
H12/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
103-78
103
78
+25
96avg 84
H15/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 84
H20/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
84-68
84
68
+16
76avg 84
A22/03
Basket League
Dubai
#11
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 84
A24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
23-16
20-15
21-29
23-31
26-25
19-22
29-24
29-29
16-29
25-22
29-24
13-20
16-20
27-18
24-28
20-18
23-10
16-22
15-26
24-27
20-13
21-19
27-29
18-31
37-21
24-15
24-11
20-27
21-21
14-14
27-12
19-14
23-13
28-18
14-23
25-26
22-24
34-25
26-29
176.6Avg total
90.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.284.7170.9+1.558%
Season at home (17)88.883.8172.6+5.065%
Season away (16)83.485.7169.1-2.250%
Last 10 (10)90.186.5176.6+3.650%
Last 5 (5)93.682.4176.0+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.086.5167.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.586.7175.2+1.870%
vs Weaker (18)85.979.6165.4+6.367%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 89
A17/02
French Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 89
H26/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
70-88
70
88
-18
64avg 89
A05/03
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 89
H07/03
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
88-83
88
83
+5
79avg 89
A10/03
French Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 89
H12/03
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
79avg 89
H14/03
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
98-93
98
93
+5
103avg 89
A19/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
90avg 89
A21/03
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
86avg 89
H24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
24-24
25-23
27-30
17-30
23-19
23-19
23-23
15-20
21-24
16-22
18-22
24-17
25-29
19-14
21-19
24-19
21-20
26-22
17-22
22-14
21-23
19-26
19-17
25-19
12-31
28-23
21-21
23-21
22-32
21-20
32-20
20-21
27-18
17-16
25-22
13-25
32-23
18-25
27-12
174.0Avg total
87.5Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)90.186.3176.4+3.858%
Season at home (16)95.286.8181.9+8.469%
Season away (17)85.285.9171.1-0.647%
Last 10 (10)87.586.5174.0+1.070%
Last 5 (5)88.885.8174.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.086.0175.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.990.0179.9-0.158%
vs Weaker (15)94.783.5178.1+11.280%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
PanathinaikosMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A06/03
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A08/03
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H12/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H15/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H20/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A22/03
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A24/03
Euroleague
87.7Avg total
43.7Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.584.6+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.645.190.6+0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)40.337.477.7+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)43.744.087.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.843.489.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.445.287.6-2.840%-
vs Weaker (18)44.339.483.7+4.867%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/02
French Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H26/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A05/03
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H07/03
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/03
French Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/03
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H14/03
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A19/03
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A21/03
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H24/03
Euroleague
88.0Avg total
43.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.243.489.5+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.944.591.4+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)45.542.487.9+3.169%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.788.0-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.488.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.739.384.0+5.3100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.444.788.1-1.250%-
vs Weaker (15)48.743.191.8+5.573%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.317.6
64.5%
60.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.8
37.4%
35.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws11.99.5
79.8%
78.2%9.5
They take 50.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.319.2
73.0%
60.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.96.7
28.0%
35.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.012.8
80.0%
78.2%12.8
They take 50.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWLLLLL
Monaco
WWWLWWWLLW
#7
League position
#10
+4.8
Net rating
+3.2
66.5
Offensive rating
65.7
61.7
Defensive rating
62.5
60.6%
Effective FG%
58.3%
60.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.4%
3-point %
28.0%
69.3%
Assist %
77.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence66.5 · 65.7Defence61.7 · 62.5Shooting60.6% · 58.3%3-point %37.4% · 28.0%Ball care15.8% · 16.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
6
Monaco wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26ADubai107-104
22/03/26APanionios84-68
20/03/26HCrvena zvezda82-74
15/03/26HAEK Athens103-78
12/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas92-88
08/03/26AIraklis74-76
06/03/26AOlympiacos80-86
26/02/26HParis99-104
15/02/26HKolossos Rhodes97-102
13/02/26HFenerbahce83-85
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26HOlimpia Milano90-85
21/03/26AGravelines-Dunkerque89-77
19/03/26AAnadolu Efes98-93
14/03/26HNancy86-94
12/03/26HOlympiacos81-80
10/03/26ANanterre88-83
07/03/26HCholet89-79
05/03/26AFenerbahce70-88
26/02/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv86-91
17/02/26ALyon-Villeurbanne98-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeWLLWW65%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %58%65%50%
Points / game86.288.883.4
Allowed / game84.783.885.7
Point differential+1.5+5.0-2.2
Avg total170.9172.6169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%35%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)40% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW58%
HomeLWLWW69%
AwayLLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %58%69%47%
Points / game90.195.285.2
Allowed / game86.386.885.9
Point differential+3.8+8.4-0.6
Avg total176.4181.9171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)43% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce34231168%82.680.3+2.3
2 Olympiacos34221265%90.484.1+6.2
3 Real Madrid34221265%87.782.5+5.2
4 Valencia33211264%89.685.6+4.0
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32201262%87.183.6+3.5
6 Zalgiris Kaunas34201459%88.683.7+5.0
7 Monaco33191458%90.186.3+3.8
8 Crvena zvezda33191458%87.185.4+1.7
9 Panathinaikos33191458%86.284.7+1.5
10 Barcelona33191458%84.883.7+1.1
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv33171652%90.091.8-1.8
12 Dubai34171750%88.788.5+0.3
13 Olimpia Milano34171750%85.986.2-0.3
14 Bayern34142041%80.583.7-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna33132039%82.085.9-3.9
16 Partizan33132039%80.886.7-6.0
17 Paris33122136%89.291.6-2.4
18 Anadolu Efes34102429%80.384.2-4.0
19 Baskonia3392427%87.293.1-5.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3482624%79.286.4-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos15372629107
Monaco1619273597
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