PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Monaco vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-88
21-32 20-17 12-16 23-23
Position#4
Record20-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game82.9
Monaco
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Position#3
Record20-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 33· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2024
Meetings · Monaco v Panathinaikos
31 Oct 2025
MCO92
PAO84
03 Apr 2025
MCO76
PAO88
20 Dec 2023
MCO90
PAO91
08 Mar 2023
MCO84
PAO70
30 Sep 2021
MCO75
PAO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Cholet
#4
W
95-84
95
84
+11
105avg 91
A02/03
LNB
Paris
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
90avg 91
A05/03
Euroleague
Paris
#1
W
94-63
94
63
+31
114avg 91
H09/03
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
88-91
88
91
-3
91avg 91
A13/03
Euroleague
Le Mans
#2
L
99-102
99
102
-3
93avg 91
H16/03
French Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 91
H20/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
86-94
86
94
-8
102avg 91
H23/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
96-86 OT
96
86
+10
88avg 91
H25/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-77
80
77
+3
76avg 91
A27/03
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
91-67
91
67
+24
113avg 91
A30/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
25-12
24-20
28-21
24-22
20-17
27-14
20-26
23-19
21-19
22-13
28-12
18-21
24-18
21-20
25-32
21-30
34-22
20-22
24-28
26-28
21-15
16-15
28-24
21-22
21-23
22-25
22-24
15-23
29-25
14-17
22-15
23-15
12-22
23-23
22-17
25-11
23-26
20-15
23-15
173.6Avg total
91.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)86.882.9169.7+3.862%
Season at home (16)89.284.3173.6+4.969%
Season away (16)84.281.5165.8+2.856%
Last 10 (10)91.182.5173.6+8.670%
Last 5 (5)88.881.2170.0+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.683.9170.4+2.757%
vs Weaker (15)94.082.2176.2+11.880%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
96-93
96
93
+3
97avg 86
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
102-95
102
95
+7
97avg 86
A02/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 86
H06/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
97-66
97
66
+31
105avg 86
H09/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
71avg 86
A14/03
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
82avg 86
A17/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
91-81
91
81
+10
75avg 86
H21/03
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
98-70
98
70
+28
100avg 86
H23/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
99-92
99
92
+7
95avg 86
A26/03
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
98-101
98
101
-3
93avg 86
H28/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
29-28
17-19
25-30
20-32
34-20
15-21
33-22
24-13
16-20
23-20
22-17
27-16
23-12
25-21
22-17
9-20
18-18
23-24
24-14
17-20
27-13
23-18
16-22
23-19
23-16
20-29
25-17
24-14
26-24
20-11
28-21
24-19
18-28
25-31
32-14
23-33
25-23
21-30
29-15
174.0Avg total
92.3Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.783.5171.2+4.262%
Season at home (16)94.983.2178.1+11.681%
Season away (16)80.583.7164.2-3.244%
Last 10 (10)92.381.7174.0+10.680%
Last 5 (5)93.883.4177.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.483.0170.4+4.462%
vs Weaker (21)93.880.1173.9+13.790%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +6.7+6.7
MonacoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A02/03
LNB
Paris
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A05/03
Euroleague
Paris
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/03
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/03
Euroleague
Le Mans
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H16/03
French Cup
Fenerbahce
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H20/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H25/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/03
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A30/03
LNB
86.5Avg total
44.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.287.6+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.844.990.7+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)43.041.584.5+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)44.442.186.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.443.786.1-1.336%-
vs Weaker (15)46.142.188.3+4.060%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A28/02
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A02/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H06/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#8
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H09/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A14/03
Euroleague
Aris
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A17/03
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/03
Euroleague
Lavrio
#12
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H23/03
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A26/03
Euroleague
Paris
#9
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H28/03
Euroleague
85.9Avg total
45.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.439.283.5+5.270%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.137.984.0+8.182%-
Last 30 away (13)42.240.882.9+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.485.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.041.887.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.239.080.2+2.275%-
vs Weaker (21)45.439.985.2+5.567%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.923.1
57.9%
54.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.5
39.4%
36.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.018.6
77.5%
78.0%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.4
58.3%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.2
36.7%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.518.1
80.4%
78.0%18.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWWLWLLWWW
Panathinaikos
LWWWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#3
+11.5
Net rating
+14.3
120.7
Offensive rating
120.8
109.2
Defensive rating
106.5
58.3%
Effective FG%
56.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.4%
3-point %
36.7%
73.1%
Assist %
71.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence120.7 · 120.8Defence109.2 · 106.5Shooting58.3% · 56.9%3-point %39.4% · 36.7%Ball care16.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds33.3% · 28.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Monaco   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Monaco wins
2
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24Panathinaikos v Monaco88-91
11/01/24Panathinaikos v Monaco88-63
20/12/23Monaco v Panathinaikos90-91
08/03/23Monaco v Panathinaikos84-70
21/10/22Panathinaikos v Monaco80-83
01/02/22Panathinaikos v Monaco83-91
30/09/21Monaco v Panathinaikos75-63
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25ALe Portel91-67
27/03/25AOlympiacos80-77
25/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas96-86 OT
23/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne86-94
20/03/25HFenerbahce91-82
16/03/25HLe Mans99-102
13/03/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
09/03/25HParis94-63
05/03/25AParis91-79
02/03/25ACholet95-84
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25HParis98-101
26/03/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-92
23/03/25HLavrio98-70
21/03/25HAlba Berlin91-81
17/03/25AAris83-73
14/03/25AOlympiacos74-76
09/03/25HPanionios97-66
06/03/25HReal Madrid85-70
02/03/25AMaroussi102-95
28/02/25ALyon-Villeurbanne96-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayWLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%69%56%
Points / game86.889.284.2
Allowed / game82.984.381.5
Point differential+3.8+4.9+2.8
Avg total169.7173.6165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeWWWWL81%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%81%44%
Points / game87.794.980.5
Allowed / game83.583.283.7
Point differential+4.2+11.6-3.2
Avg total171.2178.1164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)40% (5)57% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos32221069%86.181.2+4.9
2 Fenerbahce33221167%83.081.3+1.7
3 Panathinaikos32201262%87.783.5+4.2
4 Monaco32201262%86.882.9+3.8
5 Bayern32191359%87.487.6-0.1
6 Barcelona33191458%88.084.3+3.7
7 Anadolu Efes32181456%86.482.0+4.5
8 Real Madrid32181456%84.381.9+2.4
9 Crvena zvezda32181456%81.779.7+2.0
10 Paris32181456%86.485.7+0.7
11 Partizan32161650%82.080.1+1.9
12 Olimpia Milano32161650%85.186.5-1.4
13 Zalgiris Kaunas32141844%77.779.1-1.5
14 Baskonia32131941%81.583.0-1.6
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne32131941%81.284.6-3.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv32102231%85.589.5-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna3282425%78.683.9-5.3
18 Alba Berlin3252716%78.891.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2120122376
Panathinaikos3217162388
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.