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Panathinaikos vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-88
24-27 20-13 21-19 27-29
Position#7
Record16-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#5
Record17-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game83.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2025
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Zalgiris Kaunas
18 Mar 2027
PAO v ZAL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
PAO92
ZAL88
23 Jan 2025
PAO89
ZAL76
15 Nov 2023
PAO73
ZAL71
26 Jan 2023
PAO89
ZAL65
01 Mar 2022
PAO83
ZAL96
11 Dec 2020
PAO69
ZAL81
26 Oct 2018
PAO83
ZAL87
25 Jan 2018
PAO94
ZAL93
14 Oct 2016
PAO84
ZAL76
13 Nov 2015
PAO91
ZAL56
16 Jan 2015
PAO77
ZAL58
28 Dec 2012
PAO67
ZAL66
04 Nov 2011
PAO92
ZAL75
25 Sep 2011
PAO80
ZAL66
02 Oct 2010
PAO70
ZAL76
22 Oct 2008
PAO78
ZAL51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 83
A30/01
Euroleague
Aris
#5
L
95-102 OT
95
102
-7
85avg 83
A01/02
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
82-81
82
81
+1
68avg 83
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
62-78
62
78
-16
54avg 83
A05/02
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
78-53
78
53
+25
72avg 83
A08/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
L
83-85
83
85
-2
74avg 83
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
97-102
97
102
-5
92avg 83
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
99-104
99
104
-5
95avg 83
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
75avg 83
A06/03
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 83
A08/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
20-12
20-17
24-32
23-22
19-20
14-21
31-24
16-26
20-18
24-17
22-20
19-20
14-25
9-21
20-12
16-12
16-10
31-13
15-18
19-25
23-16
20-15
21-29
23-31
26-25
19-22
29-24
29-29
16-29
25-22
29-24
13-20
16-20
27-18
24-28
20-18
23-10
16-22
15-26
167.4Avg total
82.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.584.3169.8+1.153%
Season at home (15)89.184.2173.3+4.960%
Season away (15)81.984.5166.3-2.647%
Last 10 (10)82.984.5167.4-1.630%
Last 5 (5)86.690.6177.2-4.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.086.5167.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.887.3173.1-1.644%
vs Weaker (19)87.478.1165.5+9.368%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
82-92
82
92
-10
81avg 86
A06/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
87-76
87
76
+11
92avg 86
H08/02
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
88avg 86
H13/02
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
69-63
69
63
+6
60avg 86
A15/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
91-67
91
67
+24
88avg 86
A18/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
119-81
119
81
+38
128avg 86
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
101-85
101
85
+16
106avg 86
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
92avg 86
H25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
88avg 86
A05/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
96avg 86
H08/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
21-22
22-18
15-27
19-27
32-10
20-18
16-21
24-20
20-23
19-19
30-20
14-12
19-14
18-19
18-18
18-16
24-13
26-21
23-17
31-22
25-22
35-20
28-17
25-21
37-16
22-27
17-21
18-18
19-21
14-21
22-13
13-25
26-25
25-21
23-20
24-17
24-22
25-24
24-27
174.6Avg total
92.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)89.083.8172.8+5.157%
Season at home (14)87.978.4166.3+9.471%
Season away (16)89.988.6178.5+1.444%
Last 10 (10)92.582.1174.6+10.480%
Last 5 (5)100.688.2188.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)93.583.2176.7+10.367%
vs Weaker (23)93.281.0174.1+12.278%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
PanathinaikosZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
Euroleague
Aris
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/02
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H03/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A05/02
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A08/02
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H13/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/02
Basket League
Paris
#16
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H26/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A06/03
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A08/03
Basket League
79.1Avg total
38.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.984.8+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.943.689.4+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.737.879.5+3.957%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.579.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.686.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.041.577.5-5.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.245.187.3-2.944%-
vs Weaker (19)45.638.884.4+6.868%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A06/02
Euroleague
Neptunas
#3
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/02
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H13/02
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A15/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A18/02
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H21/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
W
62-37
62
37
+25
H22/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H25/02
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A05/03
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/03
LKL
84.8Avg total
45.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.439.485.8+7.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.437.186.5+12.380%-
Last 30 away (15)43.341.785.0+1.740%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.184.8+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.441.890.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.839.885.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker (23)46.939.386.2+7.661%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.0
58.8%
60.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.7
33.5%
35.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.4
69.7%
78.2%12.4
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.023.1
60.8%
60.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.59.0
40.0%
35.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.8
79.6%
78.2%14.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LLLLLWLWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWWWWWL
#7
League position
#5
-0.4
Net rating
+11.6
84.1
Offensive rating
100.8
84.5
Defensive rating
89.1
55.4%
Effective FG%
60.5%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.5%
3-point %
40.0%
63.5%
Assist %
71.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence84.1 · 100.8Defence84.5 · 89.1Shooting55.4% · 60.5%3-point %33.5% · 40.0%Ball care15.8% · 14.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AIraklis74-76
06/03/26AOlympiacos80-86
26/02/26HParis99-104
15/02/26HKolossos Rhodes97-102
13/02/26HFenerbahce83-85
08/02/26AAS Karditsas78-53
05/02/26APartizan62-78
03/02/26HReal Madrid82-81
01/02/26AAris95-102 OT
30/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne79-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HJonava97-90
05/03/26AValencia87-91
25/02/26HOlympiacos99-94 OT
22/02/26HRytas101-85
21/02/26HNeptunas119-81
18/02/26ANevezis91-67
15/02/26AGargzdai69-63
13/02/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
08/02/26HNeptunas87-76
06/02/26AAnadolu Efes82-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%60%47%
Points / game85.589.181.9
Allowed / game84.384.284.5
Point differential+1.1+4.9-2.6
Avg total169.8173.3166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)25% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %57%71%44%
Points / game89.087.989.9
Allowed / game83.878.488.6
Point differential+5.1+9.4+1.4
Avg total172.8166.3178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2922776%82.778.9+3.8
2 Olympiacos31201165%90.184.1+6.0
3 Real Madrid31201165%87.882.7+5.1
4 Valencia31201165%90.686.3+4.4
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv28171161%86.583.4+3.1
6 Zalgiris Kaunas30171357%89.083.8+5.1
7 Crvena zvezda30171357%87.185.5+1.7
8 Barcelona30171357%86.084.9+1.0
9 Monaco31171455%89.886.1+3.7
10 Panathinaikos30161453%85.584.3+1.1
11 Dubai30161453%88.487.8+0.6
12 Olimpia Milano30151550%85.486.2-0.8
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv29141548%89.691.7-2.2
14 Virtus Bologna31131842%81.584.6-3.1
15 Bayern31131842%80.683.8-3.2
16 Paris30111937%89.791.9-2.3
17 Partizan30102033%80.387.6-7.4
18 Anadolu Efes31102132%80.584.1-3.6
19 Baskonia3192229%87.192.7-5.6
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%78.986.3-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2420212792
Zalgiris Kaunas2713192988
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