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Panathinaikos vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 75-56
23-13 17-18 17-16 18-9
Position#5
Record17-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#11
Record11-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2017
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Valencia
12 Jan 2027
PAO v VAL
upcoming
08 May 2026
PAO86
VAL89
06 May 2026
PAO87
VAL91
05 Dec 2025
PAO79
VAL89
23 Nov 2023
PAO90
VAL73
10 Feb 2023
PAO91
VAL92
29 Jan 2021
PAO91
VAL72
30 Mar 2018
PAO75
VAL56
25 Nov 2010
PAO69
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#8
L
61-78
61
78
-17
no box
A23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
108-91
108
91
+17
no box
A04/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
104avg 103
A08/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
97-53
97
53
+44
no box
H11/03
Basket League
G.S. Kymis
#7
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
H13/03
Basket League
Unicaja
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
121avg 103
A16/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
125avg 103
H20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
103avg 103
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
96-66
96
66
+30
no box
A25/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
13-22
15-17
15-15
18-16
16-27
16-19
21-9
31-26
21-17
27-26
29-22
20-19
17-19
18-26
20-28
22-21
25-7
20-18
30-7
22-10
18-20
20-20
27-14
18-24
14-20
26-16
32-19
24-15
23-23
30-18
14-15
18-20
17-21
21-17
20-17
20-15
21-18
25-16
30-17
162.2Avg total
86.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.577.6156.1+0.861%
Season at home (14)84.576.5161.0+8.086%
Season away (14)72.478.8151.2-6.436%
Last 10 (10)86.675.6162.2+11.070%
Last 5 (5)88.071.0159.0+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.583.5156.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)77.779.3157.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.4161.1+14.391%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
89avg 107
A22/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
117avg 107
H01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A04/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
71-81
71
81
-10
94avg 107
H08/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
87-67
87
67
+20
113avg 107
H11/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
90-106
90
106
-16
112avg 107
A15/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
74-61
74
61
+13
101avg 107
H18/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
125avg 107
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
93-89
93
89
+4
no box
A22/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
95avg 107
A25/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
28-18
16-22
15-18
28-11
9-23
23-20
26-16
13-25
21-17
18-29
26-16
20-16
16-15
19-22
16-28
22-14
19-18
29-17
17-18
23-23
25-27
19-29
23-27
25-16
12-13
12-13
25-19
22-21
24-19
24-20
26-28
17-23
23-20
28-22
25-24
18-17
27-21
12-27
14-18
162.8Avg total
81.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.281.8161.0-2.639%
Season at home (14)80.978.3159.1+2.657%
Season away (14)77.585.3162.8-7.821%
Last 10 (10)81.681.2162.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)84.885.4170.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.381.8159.1-4.540%
vs Similar (9)79.682.8162.3-3.244%
vs Weaker (10)88.872.9161.7+15.980%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
PanathinaikosValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H02/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A04/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A08/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H11/03
Basket League
G.S. Kymis
#7
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/03
Basket League
Unicaja
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A25/03
Basket League
78.0Avg total
39.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.077.9+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.236.379.5+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)38.237.976.1+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)39.638.478.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.276.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.034.567.5-1.50%-
vs Similar (6)37.339.276.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.536.779.2+5.973%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A04/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H08/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A15/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A25/03
ACB
78.2Avg total
40.3Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.579.5+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.435.177.4+7.382%-
Last 30 away (13)39.343.082.3-3.723%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.978.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.083.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.637.676.2+1.060%-
vs Similar (9)40.042.282.2-2.233%-
vs Weaker (10)44.936.381.2+8.680%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.3
55.5%
51.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.2
27.4%
37.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws16.711.1
66.5%
76.3%11.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.4
47.8%
51.7%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.711.6
45.1%
37.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws16.213.2
81.5%
76.3%13.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWLWLL
Valencia
LWWWLWLLWL
#5
League position
#11
-3.3
Net rating
+0.9
104.9
Offensive rating
115.1
108.3
Defensive rating
114.3
49.6%
Effective FG%
56.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.4%
3-point %
45.1%
57.9%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 115.1Defence108.3 · 114.3Shooting49.6% · 56.3%3-point %27.4% · 45.1%Ball care14.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds29.6% · 26.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Panathinaikos wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
28/12/17Valencia v Panathinaikos67-63
25/11/10Panathinaikos v Valencia69-73
21/10/10Valencia v Panathinaikos56-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18ATrikala96-66
22/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-75
20/03/18HCrvena zvezda91-71
16/03/18AUnicaja90-79
13/03/18HG.S. Kymis87-64
11/03/18HPanionios97-53
08/03/18AReal Madrid75-92
04/03/18APromitheas108-91
02/03/18HOlympiacos85-87 OT
23/02/18AKhimki M.61-78
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18AReal Madrid71-83
22/03/18AOlimpia Milano93-89
20/03/18HReal Madrid96-88
18/03/18HTenerife74-61
15/03/18ACrvena zvezda90-106
11/03/18HBilbao87-67
08/03/18HBaskonia71-81
04/03/18AGran Canaria78-87
01/03/18HBamberg86-70
22/02/18AOlympiacos70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW61%
HomeLWWLW86%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%86%36%
Points / game78.584.572.4
Allowed / game77.676.578.8
Point differential+0.8+8.0-6.4
Avg total156.1161.0151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW39%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLLLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%57%21%
Points / game79.280.977.5
Allowed / game81.878.385.3
Point differential-2.6+2.6-7.8
Avg total161.0159.1162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2923679%89.479.6+9.8
2 Fenerbahce2921872%80.374.3+6.0
3 Olympiacos29191066%77.676.4+1.2
4 Real Madrid29181162%85.679.6+5.9
5 Panathinaikos28171161%78.577.6+0.8
6 Zalgiris Kaunas29171259%81.480.4+1.0
7 Baskonia29161355%83.079.0+4.0
8 Khimki M.29161355%77.878.1-0.3
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29131645%81.284.2-3.0
10 Unicaja29121741%78.981.9-3.0
11 Valencia28111739%79.281.8-2.6
12 Bamberg29111838%76.780.7-4.0
13 Crvena zvezda29111838%77.783.6-5.9
14 Barcelona29101934%81.780.1+1.7
15 Olimpia Milano29101934%81.285.5-4.3
16 Anadolu Efes2962321%77.284.5-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2317171875
Valencia131816956
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