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Olimpia Milano vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 89-93
23-17 20-23 22-28 24-25
Position#15
Record9-18
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game85.5
Olimpia Milano
vs
Valencia 🏆
Position#11
Record10-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 28
European cup2017
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Valencia
05 Nov 2026
MIL73
VAL84
23 Oct 2025
MIL100
VAL103
09 Nov 2023
MIL83
VAL52
29 Dec 2022
MIL90
VAL79
12 Jan 2021
MIL95
VAL80
22 Mar 2018
MIL89
VAL93
16 Dec 2010
MIL60
VAL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
W
84-72
84
72
+12
179avg 108
A11/02
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
H16/02
Italian Cup
Fenerbahce
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
93avg 108
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
104avg 108
H01/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
W
116-93
116
93
+23
146avg 108
H04/03
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
W
86-77
86
77
+9
115avg 108
A08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
73-67
73
67
+6
99avg 108
A11/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
102avg 108
H13/03
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
114avg 108
H17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
88avg 108
A20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
22-17
20-7
24-23
18-28
20-29
25-23
24-25
20-23
13-25
15-17
22-24
17-17
27-12
14-16
19-19
32-23
28-22
31-19
25-29
30-20
19-19
12-23
25-15
22-11
18-17
14-19
19-20
17-25
19-24
18-19
23-20
18-20
20-16
23-25
27-19
16-17
18-14
16-23
15-23
163.5Avg total
82.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.985.5166.3-4.633%
Season at home (13)82.486.0168.4-3.638%
Season away (14)79.485.0164.4-5.629%
Last 10 (10)82.381.2163.5+1.160%
Last 5 (5)77.877.8155.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.186.2164.3-8.133%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.886.0172.8+0.838%
vs Weaker (12)82.472.3154.8+10.183%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
119avg 108
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
89avg 108
A22/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
117avg 108
H01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A04/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
71-81
71
81
-10
94avg 108
H08/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
87-67
87
67
+20
113avg 108
H11/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
90-106
90
106
-16
112avg 108
A15/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
74-61
74
61
+13
101avg 108
H18/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
96-88
96
88
+8
125avg 108
H20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
28-20
27-18
19-19
21-20
15-16
19-23
17-20
11-22
28-18
16-22
15-18
28-11
9-23
23-20
26-16
13-25
21-17
18-29
26-16
20-16
16-15
19-22
16-28
22-14
19-18
29-17
17-18
23-23
25-27
19-29
23-27
25-16
12-13
12-13
25-19
22-21
24-19
24-20
26-28
160.9Avg total
81.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.781.5160.2-2.937%
Season at home (14)80.978.3159.1+2.657%
Season away (13)76.385.0161.3-8.715%
Last 10 (10)81.479.5160.9+1.950%
Last 5 (5)83.680.6164.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.081.7159.7-3.744%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.382.4160.8-4.133%
vs Weaker (11)87.272.9160.1+14.373%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
Olimpia MilanoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/02
Lega A
Cantu
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H16/02
Italian Cup
Fenerbahce
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A22/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H01/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H04/03
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A11/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H13/03
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/03
Euroleague
81.6Avg total
41.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.382.2+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.986.8+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)38.838.777.5+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.481.6+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.436.676.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.142.982.0-3.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.442.988.2+2.550%-
vs Weaker (12)41.835.377.2+6.575%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A04/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H08/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A15/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/03
Euroleague
77.1Avg total
39.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.379.1+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.135.377.4+6.878%-
Last 30 away (12)38.842.881.6-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.377.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.478.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.937.675.4+0.356%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.841.981.7-2.133%-
vs Weaker (11)44.436.380.6+8.182%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.9
54.0%
51.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.0
36.1%
37.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.416.7
78.0%
76.3%16.7
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
51.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.611.1
45.1%
37.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws17.114.0
81.9%
76.3%14.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLWWWWLLW
Valencia
WWLWLLWLLW
#15
League position
#11
+2.0
Net rating
+5.3
115.6
Offensive rating
117.7
113.6
Defensive rating
112.4
54.1%
Effective FG%
58.1%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.1%
3-point %
45.1%
53.0%
Assist %
58.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 117.7Defence113.6 · 112.4Shooting54.1% · 58.1%3-point %36.1% · 45.1%Ball care15.2% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.0% · 24.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
15/11/17Valencia v Olimpia Milano98-103 OT
16/12/10Olimpia Milano v Valencia60-75
11/11/10Valencia v Olimpia Milano69-80
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/18AZalgiris Kaunas65-77
17/03/18HTrento88-80
13/03/18HReal Madrid77-88
11/03/18AVirtus Bologna73-67
08/03/18AKhimki M.86-77
04/03/18HSassari116-93
01/03/18HAnadolu Efes77-64
22/02/18AFenerbahce70-89
16/02/18HCantu87-105
11/02/18ABrindisi84-72
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/18HReal Madrid96-88
18/03/18HTenerife74-61
15/03/18ACrvena zvezda90-106
11/03/18HBilbao87-67
08/03/18HBaskonia71-81
04/03/18AGran Canaria78-87
01/03/18HBamberg86-70
22/02/18AOlympiacos70-80
15/02/18HTenerife72-79
11/02/18ASan Pablo Burgos90-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game80.982.479.4
Allowed / game85.586.085.0
Point differential-4.6-3.6-5.6
Avg total166.3168.4164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Valencia
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW37%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %37%57%15%
Points / game78.780.976.3
Allowed / game81.578.385.0
Point differential-2.9+2.6-8.7
Avg total160.2159.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2722581%90.079.6+10.4
2 Fenerbahce2820871%80.674.7+5.9
3 Olympiacos2718967%76.975.8+1.1
4 Panathinaikos28171161%78.577.6+0.8
5 Real Madrid27161159%85.679.6+6.0
6 Zalgiris Kaunas27161159%81.380.4+0.9
7 Khimki M.27161159%78.577.9+0.6
8 Baskonia27141352%82.979.5+3.4
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv28131546%81.684.3-2.7
10 Unicaja27111641%78.381.4-3.1
11 Crvena zvezda28111739%77.683.6-6.0
12 Valencia27101737%78.781.5-2.9
13 Bamberg27101737%76.080.3-4.3
14 Barcelona2791833%81.179.7+1.4
15 Olimpia Milano2791833%80.985.5-4.6
16 Anadolu Efes2762122%76.983.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2320222489
Valencia1723282593
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