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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 96-88
22-21 24-19 24-20 26-28
Position#11
Record9-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#3
Record16-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game79.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 27
European cup2017
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
103-99
103
99
+4
130avg 107
H08/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
119avg 107
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
70-80
70
80
-10
89avg 107
A22/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
86-70
86
70
+16
117avg 107
H01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A04/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
71-81
71
81
-10
94avg 107
H08/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
87-67
87
67
+20
113avg 107
H11/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
90-106
90
106
-16
112avg 107
A15/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
74-61
74
61
+13
101avg 107
H18/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
28-19
24-24
30-33
16-19
28-20
27-18
19-19
21-20
15-16
19-23
17-20
11-22
28-18
16-22
15-18
28-11
9-23
23-20
26-16
13-25
21-17
18-29
26-16
20-16
16-15
19-22
16-28
22-14
19-18
29-17
17-18
23-23
25-27
19-29
23-27
25-16
12-13
12-13
25-19
162.7Avg total
82.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.081.3159.3-3.335%
Season at home (13)79.777.5157.2+2.254%
Season away (13)76.385.0161.3-8.715%
Last 10 (10)82.180.6162.7+1.550%
Last 5 (5)80.080.4160.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.880.9156.6-5.138%
vs Similar (10)79.683.6163.2-4.030%
vs Weaker (11)87.272.9160.1+14.373%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#12
W
101-74
101
74
+27
138avg 117
A23/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
107avg 117
H02/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
96-81
96
81
+15
134avg 117
H04/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
92-75
92
75
+17
123avg 117
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
93avg 117
A11/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
88-77
88
77
+11
121avg 117
A13/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
96-81
96
81
+15
130avg 117
A17/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
20-22
18-21
25-18
11-19
26-19
19-11
21-10
21-15
13-25
18-27
38-25
30-13
22-22
31-22
18-17
20-20
25-20
20-28
18-18
28-13
25-18
21-28
22-22
19-20
19-17
26-18
28-20
14-21
15-24
17-27
26-22
25-17
24-19
19-18
20-23
22-12
31-15
19-27
24-27
168.7Avg total
88.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.579.0164.5+6.562%
Season at home (13)86.276.8163.1+9.469%
Season away (13)84.881.1165.8+3.754%
Last 10 (10)88.480.3168.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)88.881.6170.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)83.981.4165.3+2.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.076.6166.6+13.585%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.8+3.8
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/02
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/02
ACB
Tenerife
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Olympiacos
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A22/02
Euroleague
Bamberg
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H01/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A04/03
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H08/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A15/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H18/03
ACB
77.6Avg total
40.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.579.3+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.935.176.9+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)39.343.182.4-3.823%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.577.6+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.937.274.1-0.450%-
vs Similar (10)40.442.382.7-1.930%-
vs Weaker (11)44.436.380.6+8.182%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#12
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A23/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H04/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H08/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A11/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A13/03
Euroleague
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
53-27
53
27
+26
A17/03
ACB
81.0Avg total
43.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.980.7+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.381.0+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.837.680.4+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)43.637.481.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.279.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)37.239.877.0-2.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.136.881.8+8.480%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.9
51.7%
51.7%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.011.2
44.8%
37.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.215.2
83.5%
76.3%15.2
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.422.7
59.1%
51.7%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.2
35.0%
37.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.717.4
73.4%
76.3%17.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLWLLWLLWW
Real Madrid
WWLWWLWLWW
#11
League position
#3
+9.3
Net rating
+9.6
118.7
Offensive rating
118.7
109.4
Defensive rating
109.1
58.2%
Effective FG%
56.6%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
44.8%
3-point %
35.0%
62.5%
Assist %
63.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.7 · 118.7Defence109.4 · 109.1Shooting58.2% · 56.6%3-point %44.8% · 35.0%Ball care14.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds24.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Valencia wins
7
Real Madrid wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/18HTenerife74-61
15/03/18ACrvena zvezda90-106
11/03/18HBilbao87-67
08/03/18HBaskonia71-81
04/03/18AGran Canaria78-87
01/03/18HBamberg86-70
22/02/18AOlympiacos70-80
15/02/18HTenerife72-79
11/02/18ASan Pablo Burgos90-76
08/02/18HCSKA Moscow103-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/18ATecnyconta Zaragoza96-81
13/03/18AOlimpia Milano88-77
11/03/18ABarcelona72-94
08/03/18HPanathinaikos92-75
04/03/18HSan Pablo Burgos96-81
02/03/18HFenerbahce83-86
23/02/18ABarcelona101-74
18/02/18HBarcelona90-92
17/02/18ATenerife77-59
15/02/18HUnicaja89-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL35%
HomeWWWWL54%
AwayWLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%54%15%
Points / game78.079.776.3
Allowed / game81.377.585.0
Point differential-3.3+2.2-8.7
Avg total159.3157.2161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%69%54%
Points / game85.586.284.8
Allowed / game79.076.881.1
Point differential+6.5+9.4+3.7
Avg total164.5163.1165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%62%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2621581%90.079.6+10.5
2 Fenerbahce2719870%80.675.1+5.5
3 Olympiacos2618869%76.775.3+1.4
4 Real Madrid26161062%85.579.0+6.5
5 Zalgiris Kaunas27161159%81.380.4+0.9
6 Panathinaikos27161159%78.677.7+0.8
7 Khimki M.26151158%78.278.1+0.2
8 Baskonia26131350%82.279.5+2.6
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv27131448%81.884.6-2.8
10 Crvena zvezda27111641%78.183.7-5.6
11 Unicaja26101638%77.681.0-3.4
12 Bamberg26101638%75.979.5-3.6
13 Barcelona2691735%80.779.2+1.6
14 Valencia2691735%78.081.3-3.3
15 Olimpia Milano2791833%80.985.5-4.6
16 Anadolu Efes2662023%77.083.5-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2224242696
Real Madrid2119202888
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