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Panathinaikos vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 90-73
27-18 22-17 23-18 18-20
Position#2
Record5-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#14
Record5-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game73.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 10· O.A.C.A. Olympic Indoor Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Valencia
12 Jan 2027
PAO v VAL
upcoming
08 May 2026
PAO86
VAL89
06 May 2026
PAO87
VAL91
05 Dec 2025
PAO79
VAL89
23 Nov 2023
PAO90
VAL73
10 Feb 2023
PAO91
VAL92
29 Jan 2021
PAO91
VAL72
30 Mar 2018
PAO75
VAL56
25 Nov 2010
PAO69
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
111-75
111
75
+36
113avg 74
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
95-81
95
81
+14
88avg 74
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
W
66-54
66
54
+12
57avg 74
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 74
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
112-60
112
60
+52
112avg 74
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-85
99
85
+14
102avg 74
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
W
75-65
75
65
+10
71avg 74
A12/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 74
H15/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 74
H17/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 74
H20/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
25-25
30-9
25-21
24-22
24-21
22-23
25-15
11-12
17-19
17-12
21-11
20-21
13-24
14-26
25-9
33-12
29-15
27-15
23-18
27-26
33-21
22-23
17-15
14-15
18-18
23-11
20-21
13-15
23-24
17-13
20-19
21-15
24-27
17-21
28-13
25-18
23-19
15-29
23-19
161.1Avg total
87.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.780.1161.8+1.656%
Season at home (6)82.578.8161.3+3.767%
Season away (3)80.082.7162.7-2.733%
Last 10 (10)87.973.2161.1+14.790%
Last 5 (5)84.676.4161.0+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)59.372.3131.7-13.017%
vs Similar (4)71.276.2147.5-5.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.071.5156.4+13.585%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 73
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
87-72
87
72
+15
82avg 73
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
71-68
71
68
+3
58avg 73
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
79-71
79
71
+8
71avg 73
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 73
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
52-83
52
83
-31
44avg 73
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
69avg 73
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 73
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 73
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 73
A19/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
19-23
22-20
21-21
20-12
32-18
20-23
15-19
18-19
27-14
13-16
13-19
15-14
26-25
15-15
23-17
15-21
25-15
15-24
21-20
12-23
19-21
8-20
13-19
22-23
15-20
25-15
14-11
26-24
23-19
13-20
11-13
16-25
17-12
19-17
18-20
19-15
18-21
20-26
17-21
149.7Avg total
74.2Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.973.1146.0-0.256%
Season at home (5)74.870.4145.2+4.480%
Season away (4)70.576.5147.0-6.025%
Last 10 (10)74.275.5149.7-1.350%
Last 5 (5)69.077.0146.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.476.6149.0-4.240%
vs Similar (11)79.680.4160.0-0.755%
vs Weaker (9)80.476.7157.1+3.867%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +6.6+6.6Q4: -1.4-1.4
PanathinaikosValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#13
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H23/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A30/10
Basket League
Barcelona
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A03/11
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#17
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H06/11
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A10/11
Euroleague
Aris
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H15/11
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H17/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H20/11
Basket League
83.7Avg total
44.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.475.4+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.237.680.8+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)32.137.369.4-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)44.838.983.7+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.683.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.339.368.7-10.017%-
vs Similar (4)33.038.871.8-5.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.636.678.2+5.065%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/10
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A05/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H14/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/11
ACB
78.5Avg total
40.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.678.1+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.539.078.5+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)39.638.177.6+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.978.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.678.0-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.439.176.5-1.740%-
vs Similar (11)42.939.382.2+3.673%-
vs Weaker (9)37.837.174.9+0.744%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.6
55.8%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.2
40.2%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
77.4%15.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.5
47.1%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.96.7
33.7%
36.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.314.1
77.0%
77.4%14.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWLWWW
Valencia
LLLWLLWWWW
#2
League position
#14
+20.9
Net rating
-2.1
121.5
Offensive rating
102.7
100.6
Defensive rating
104.8
57.6%
Effective FG%
48.2%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.2%
3-point %
33.7%
60.1%
Assist %
53.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence121.5 · 102.7Defence100.6 · 104.8Shooting57.6% · 48.2%3-point %40.2% · 33.7%Ball care15.9% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.2% · 33.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Panathinaikos wins
5
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23HAEK Athens86-85
17/11/23HVirtus Bologna90-76
15/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas73-71
12/11/23AAris75-65
10/11/23AAlba Berlin99-85
06/11/23HApollon Patras112-60
03/11/23ABarcelona72-80
30/10/23AOlympiacos66-54
27/10/23HBaskonia95-81
23/10/23HLavrio111-75
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23ABaskonia74-83
17/11/23ABarcelona70-74
14/11/23HReal Madrid73-76
12/11/23HBasket Zaragoza76-69
09/11/23AOlimpia Milano52-83
05/11/23AJoventut Badalona76-80
02/11/23HAlba Berlin79-71
29/10/23HBarcelona71-68
27/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas87-72
22/10/23HManresa84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game81.782.580.0
Allowed / game80.178.882.7
Point differential+1.6+3.7-2.7
Avg total161.8161.3162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %22%33%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game72.974.870.5
Allowed / game73.170.476.5
Point differential-0.2+4.4-6.0
Avg total146.0145.2147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%86.973.9+13.0
2 Barcelona108280%82.575.6+6.9
3 Virtus Bologna96367%83.381.1+2.2
4 Olympiacos95456%77.875.8+2.0
5 Panathinaikos95456%81.780.1+1.6
6 Monaco95456%78.477.7+0.8
7 Fenerbahce95456%79.078.7+0.3
8 Valencia95456%72.973.1-0.2
9 Baskonia95456%82.282.7-0.4
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv95456%84.485.3-0.9
11 Partizan94544%86.285.6+0.7
12 Zalgiris Kaunas94544%80.782.0-1.3
13 Anadolu Efes94544%78.886.1-7.3
14 Bayern104640%77.981.4-3.5
15 Crvena zvezda93633%81.678.3+3.2
16 Olimpia Milano93633%78.977.2+1.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne102820%80.488.4-8.0
18 Alba Berlin91811%76.485.1-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2722231890
Valencia1817182073
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