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Panathinaikos vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.8
Allowed / game89.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2026
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Valencia
12 Jan 2027
PAO v VAL
upcoming
08 May 2026
PAO86
VAL89
06 May 2026
PAO87
VAL91
05 Dec 2025
PAO79
VAL89
23 Nov 2023
PAO90
VAL73
10 Feb 2023
PAO91
VAL92
29 Jan 2021
PAO91
VAL72
30 Mar 2018
PAO75
VAL56
25 Nov 2010
PAO69
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
72-55
72
55
+17
67avg 83
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 83
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 83
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 83
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 83
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-12
20-9
17-18
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
14-19
23-21
21-15
25-19
165.7Avg total
84.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.678.7166.3+8.980%
Season at home (7)88.776.7165.4+12.086%
Season away (3)85.083.3168.3+1.767%
Last 10 (10)84.880.9165.7+3.970%
Last 5 (5)87.489.0176.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.890.0178.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (17)89.276.1165.4+13.188%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
86avg 95
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
88-91
88
91
-3
79avg 95
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
116-93
116
93
+23
113avg 95
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
104-93
104
93
+11
98avg 95
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
69avg 95
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
73avg 95
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 95
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
20-21
26-18
31-29
34-11
24-15
16-22
11-22
33-14
22-27
19-25
30-20
29-21
183.9Avg total
96.4Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.889.1184.9+6.770%
Season at home (5)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Season away (5)96.690.0186.6+6.680%
Last 10 (10)96.487.5183.9+8.970%
Last 5 (5)95.084.2179.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)90.088.4178.4+1.660%
vs Weaker (25)98.987.4186.3+11.580%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
PanathinaikosValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
Basket League
81.6Avg total
41.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.080.9+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.837.681.3+6.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.780.4-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.081.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.285.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.043.284.2-2.250%-
vs Weaker (17)44.136.880.8+7.365%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#4
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#11
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#14
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#5
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A01/11
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A05/11
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/11
ACB
87.4Avg total
46.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.341.889.1+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.441.090.4+8.473%-
Last 30 away (15)45.142.687.7+2.573%-
Last 10 (10)46.840.687.4+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.480.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.839.287.0+8.680%-
vs Weaker (25)47.242.389.5+4.872%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
55.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
77.1%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.6
55.4%
55.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
77.1%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWLLWWWWLW
Valencia
WWWLWWWWLL
#1
League position
#3
+8.3
Net rating
+7.0
97.5
Offensive rating
106.7
89.3
Defensive rating
99.7
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
8.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.4%
3-point %
35.4%
65.1%
Assist %
52.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 106.7Defence89.3 · 99.7Shooting54.5% · 54.5%3-point %34.4% · 35.4%Ball care16.5% · 8.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panathinaikos wins
6
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AAEK Athens83-74
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
13/10/26APartizan72-55
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASan Pablo Burgos100-93
05/11/26AOlimpia Milano84-73
01/11/26AMoraBanc Andorra111-79
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW80%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game87.688.785.0
Allowed / game78.776.783.3
Point differential+8.9+12.0+1.7
Avg total166.3165.4168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%33%
Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%60%80%
Points / game95.895.096.6
Allowed / game89.188.290.0
Point differential+6.7+6.8+6.6
Avg total184.9183.2186.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Fenerbahce107370%80.375.4+4.9
6 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
7 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan105550%79.478.9+0.5
12 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
13 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
14 Paris104640%89.092.6-3.6
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia101910%81.393.1-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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