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Panathinaikos vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 12 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game90.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2026
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Valencia
12 Jan 2027
PAO v VAL
upcoming
08 May 2026
PAO86
VAL89
06 May 2026
PAO87
VAL91
05 Dec 2025
PAO79
VAL89
23 Nov 2023
PAO90
VAL73
10 Feb 2023
PAO91
VAL92
29 Jan 2021
PAO91
VAL72
30 Mar 2018
PAO75
VAL56
25 Nov 2010
PAO69
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#14
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#12
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#5
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#8
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
23-17
24-11
24-26
27-24
19-17
21-14
25-19
21-7
22-19
27-14
14-19
16-16
19-12
20-9
17-18
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
156.7Avg total
83.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.675.0159.6+9.678%
Season at home (7)88.776.7165.4+12.086%
Season away (2)70.069.0139.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)83.872.9156.7+10.980%
Last 5 (5)81.275.2156.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.285.3168.5-2.250%
vs Weaker (19)90.575.4165.9+15.289%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
116-93
116
93
+23
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
104-93
104
93
+11
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-17
30-28
31-15
29-17
18-23
27-17
19-25
26-19
14-20
20-29
26-21
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
182.8Avg total
94.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.190.9188.0+6.267%
Season at home (5)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Season away (4)99.894.2194.0+5.575%
Last 10 (10)94.588.3182.8+6.260%
Last 5 (5)96.887.4184.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.386.3175.6+3.057%
vs Weaker (23)98.287.5185.7+10.778%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.2-1.2
PanathinaikosValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#14
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#12
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#5
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
42.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.180.4+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.437.381.7+7.268%-
Last 30 away (11)38.539.678.2-1.145%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.079.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.078.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.340.880.2-1.550%-
vs Weaker (19)44.936.881.7+8.174%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
46.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.140.687.8+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.039.387.3+8.772%-
Last 30 away (12)45.842.688.4+3.275%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.686.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.137.682.7+7.671%-
vs Weaker (23)47.741.689.3+6.274%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.0
56.7%
55.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
77.3%17.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 95.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.4
56.2%
55.2%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.8
35.3%
35.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.116.4
74.2%
77.3%16.4
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LWWWWLWWWW
Valencia
LWWWWLLLWW
#1
League position
#5
+13.0
Net rating
+8.8
99.6
Offensive rating
106.5
86.7
Defensive rating
97.7
54.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.3%
Turnover %
9.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.6%
3-point %
35.3%
66.3%
Assist %
53.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 106.5Defence86.7 · 97.7Shooting54.7% · 54.8%3-point %34.6% · 35.3%Ball care15.3% · 9.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panathinaikos wins
6
Valencia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
13/10/26APartizan72-55
10/10/26APromitheas84-59
08/10/26HFenerbahce92-74
04/10/26HVikos103-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
11/10/26ABarcelona86-89
08/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
04/10/26ABasket Zaragoza97-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL78%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %78%86%50%
Points / game84.688.770.0
Allowed / game75.076.769.0
Point differential+9.6+12.0+1.0
Avg total159.6165.4139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game97.195.099.8
Allowed / game90.988.294.2
Point differential+6.2+6.8+5.5
Avg total188.0183.2194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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