PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 92-75
19-20 19-17 26-18 28-20
Position#3
Record14-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game79.2
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Panathinaikos
Position#5
Record14-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25
European cup2017
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD v PAO
upcoming
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
115avg 117
A01/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
116avg 117
A03/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H09/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
89-76
89
76
+13
123avg 117
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#12
W
101-74
101
74
+27
138avg 117
A23/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
107avg 117
H02/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
96-81
96
81
+15
134avg 117
H04/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-33
20-21
29-24
27-15
28-19
27-32
17-16
15-22
20-21
19-24
23-20
17-15
18-21
25-13
25-19
21-23
26-23
20-22
18-21
25-18
11-19
26-19
19-11
21-10
21-15
13-25
18-27
38-25
30-13
22-22
31-22
18-17
20-20
25-20
20-28
18-18
28-13
25-18
21-28
22-22
169.2Avg total
87.8Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.179.2164.3+5.958%
Season at home (12)85.877.0162.8+8.867%
Season away (12)84.581.4165.9+3.150%
Last 10 (10)87.881.4169.2+6.450%
Last 5 (5)89.478.4167.8+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)85.479.9165.2+5.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.277.9167.1+11.476%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#6
W
120-118 OT
120
118
+2
no box
H22/01
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
no box
H25/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
68-61
68
61
+7
no box
H29/01
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
L
74-95
74
95
-21
90avg 100
A02/02
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
91-74
91
74
+17
no box
A04/02
Basket League
Baskonia
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
109avg 100
H08/02
Euroleague
Ifaistos Limnou
#11
W
103-70
103
70
+33
no box
H14/02
Basket League
Khimki M.
#8
L
61-78
61
78
-17
no box
A23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H02/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
108-91
108
91
+17
no box
A04/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
30-27
20-24
21-24
29-17
18-20
12-21
24-25
11-20
19-12
20-16
18-13
17-23
15-19
23-15
19-38
20-25
22-13
26-18
23-18
21-22
25-18
21-13
13-23
27-15
30-22
29-18
17-15
18-24
13-22
15-17
15-15
18-16
16-27
16-19
21-9
31-26
21-17
27-26
29-22
172.7Avg total
88.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.777.4155.1+0.358%
Season at home (13)84.076.9160.9+7.185%
Season away (11)70.377.9148.2-7.627%
Last 10 (10)88.484.3172.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)87.480.4167.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)76.077.5153.5-1.550%
vs Similar (8)79.177.6156.8+1.550%
vs Weaker (20)86.774.4161.1+12.290%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A01/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A03/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H09/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#12
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A23/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#14
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H04/03
ACB
84.8Avg total
43.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.380.8+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.138.881.9+4.265%-
Last 30 away (13)41.637.779.3+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.384.8+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.881.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)38.239.177.4-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.937.781.6+6.167%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H22/01
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H25/01
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H29/01
Basket League
Bamberg
#13
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A02/02
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A04/02
Basket League
Baskonia
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H08/02
Euroleague
Ifaistos Limnou
#11
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H14/02
Basket League
Khimki M.
#8
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A23/02
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H02/03
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A04/03
Basket League
83.6Avg total
42.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.378.2+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.137.379.4+4.865%-
Last 30 away (13)39.337.476.7+1.969%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.883.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.542.577.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.936.674.5+1.262%-
vs Weaker (20)42.737.179.8+5.675%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.7
59.0%
51.7%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.0
36.9%
37.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
76.3%17.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.1
52.6%
51.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
37.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
76.3%12.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWLWWWLLL
Panathinaikos
WLLWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#5
+14.9
Net rating
-1.0
120.4
Offensive rating
105.9
105.4
Defensive rating
106.9
57.6%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.9%
3-point %
33.2%
59.9%
Assist %
60.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 105.9Defence105.4 · 106.9Shooting57.6% · 51.4%3-point %36.9% · 33.2%Ball care16.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds34.6% · 25.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
24/11/17Panathinaikos v Real Madrid82-80
16/03/17Panathinaikos v Real Madrid88-82
16/11/16Real Madrid v Panathinaikos87-84
20/03/15Panathinaikos v Real Madrid85-69
22/01/15Real Madrid v Panathinaikos83-65
21/03/13Real Madrid v Panathinaikos73-74
25/01/13Panathinaikos v Real Madrid54-58
15/11/12Panathinaikos v Real Madrid79-68
12/10/12Real Madrid v Panathinaikos85-78
17/12/09Panathinaikos v Real Madrid67-76
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18HSan Pablo Burgos96-81
02/03/18HFenerbahce83-86
23/02/18ABarcelona101-74
18/02/18HBarcelona90-92
17/02/18ATenerife77-59
15/02/18HUnicaja89-84
11/02/18HTenerife89-76
09/02/18HOlympiacos79-80
03/02/18AMoraBanc Andorra87-89
01/02/18ACSKA Moscow87-93
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/18APromitheas108-91
02/03/18HOlympiacos85-87 OT
23/02/18AKhimki M.61-78
14/02/18HIfaistos Limnou103-70
08/02/18HBaskonia80-76
04/02/18APAOK91-74
02/02/18ABamberg74-95
29/01/18HOlympiacos68-61
25/01/18HZalgiris Kaunas94-93 OT
22/01/18HLavrio120-118 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game85.185.884.5
Allowed / game79.277.081.4
Point differential+5.9+8.8+3.1
Avg total164.3162.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeWLWWL85%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %58%85%27%
Points / game77.784.070.3
Allowed / game77.476.977.9
Point differential+0.3+7.1-7.6
Avg total155.1160.9148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2419579%90.079.8+10.2
2 Fenerbahce2417771%80.274.9+5.4
3 Olympiacos2417771%76.974.5+2.3
4 Zalgiris Kaunas2415962%82.380.7+1.6
5 Real Madrid24141058%85.179.2+5.9
6 Panathinaikos24141058%77.777.4+0.3
7 Khimki M.25141156%77.677.6+0.0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv25131252%81.884.1-2.3
9 Baskonia25121348%82.180.2+1.9
10 Unicaja24101442%77.679.8-2.2
11 Crvena zvezda24101442%78.383.0-4.7
12 Bamberg2491538%75.279.2-3.9
13 Valencia2591636%77.580.3-2.8
14 Olimpia Milano2591636%81.685.7-4.1
15 Barcelona2471729%80.080.9-0.8
16 Anadolu Efes2561924%76.983.3-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1919262892
Panathinaikos2017182075
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.