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PAOK vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 79-73
16-13 27-22 17-18 19-20
Position#5
Record11-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game80.6
PAOK 🏆
vs
Position#1
Record15-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game70.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Final· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · PAOK v Bilbao
22 Apr 2026
PAK79
BIL73
11 Feb 2026
PAK87
BIL88
23 Apr 2025
PAK84
BIL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
101-77
101
77
+24
95avg 78
H11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
80-88
80
88
-8
66avg 78
A18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
L
70-75
70
75
-5
59avg 78
A21/03
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
100-87
100
87
+13
100avg 78
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
100-70
100
70
+30
96avg 78
H28/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
74avg 78
H01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
84avg 78
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
75avg 78
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
88-77
88
77
+11
83avg 78
H15/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
71avg 78
A18/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
26-18
29-20
21-21
12-21
19-25
29-20
20-22
12-20
27-12
13-26
18-17
26-18
25-26
23-24
26-19
30-15
30-17
20-15
20-23
19-17
15-26
21-12
24-18
18-26
22-20
24-24
29-20
19-20
21-27
20-16
25-26
29-19
20-25
21-15
18-18
19-16
18-23
22-8
17-25
167.0Avg total
87.2Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.980.6167.5+6.469%
Season at home (8)93.279.0172.2+14.288%
Season away (8)80.682.1162.8-1.550%
Last 10 (10)87.279.8167.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)84.280.2164.4+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.187.3165.4-9.114%
vs Similar (8)85.083.0168.0+2.062%
vs Weaker (15)89.376.3165.5+13.093%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 81
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
H14/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
85-60
85
60
+25
90avg 81
H18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
92avg 81
A21/03
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
81-100
81
100
-19
74avg 81
A28/03
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
98-81
98
81
+17
101avg 81
A01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
86avg 81
H04/04
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
95-88
95
88
+7
90avg 81
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
61-90
61
90
-29
49avg 81
A12/04
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 81
H18/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
12-18
19-17
23-17
23-25
26-17
22-27
29-21
31-16
21-12
21-15
12-17
25-15
20-27
18-19
24-26
25-22
22-27
16-21
18-30
29-28
27-16
22-16
20-21
26-23
23-19
27-21
14-11
23-17
25-20
21-30
26-21
7-21
16-20
20-24
18-25
17-19
19-20
21-22
23-23
170.3Avg total
86.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)94.770.1164.8+24.694%
Season at home (8)96.973.6170.5+23.288%
Season away (8)92.566.5159.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.983.4170.3+3.570%
Last 5 (5)84.883.4168.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.087.3162.3-12.329%
vs Similar (9)91.386.7178.0+4.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.474.6165.0+15.7100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
PAOKBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#3
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A21/03
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/03
Basket League
Promitheas
#9
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H28/03
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H04/04
Basket League
Murcia
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H15/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A18/04
Basket League
84.1Avg total
43.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.182.6+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.340.486.7+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)38.339.778.0-1.429%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.984.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.883.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.744.782.4-7.014%-
vs Similar (8)42.639.882.4+2.962%-
vs Weaker (15)44.838.182.9+6.760%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H14/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H18/03
FIBA Europe Cup
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/03
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A01/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/04
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H08/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A12/04
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/04
ACB
83.9Avg total
44.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.080.3+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.035.178.1+7.975%-
Last 30 away (14)41.641.382.9+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.983.9+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.440.683.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.938.675.4-1.743%-
vs Similar (9)43.241.384.6+1.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.535.680.1+8.979%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.0
55.3%
52.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.6
35.4%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.816.4
71.9%
73.4%16.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.720.3
58.5%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.315.9
74.6%
73.4%15.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WWLWWWWLLW
Bilbao
LLWWWLWWWW
#5
League position
#1
+8.7
Net rating
+4.7
99.5
Offensive rating
101.3
90.8
Defensive rating
96.7
54.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.4%
3-point %
36.8%
56.2%
Assist %
61.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 101.3Defence90.8 · 96.7Shooting54.4% · 57.0%3-point %35.4% · 36.8%Ball care14.3% · 15.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ PAOK   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
3
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26PAOK v Bilbao87-88
13/01/26Bilbao v PAOK95-73
23/04/25PAOK v Bilbao84-82
16/04/25Bilbao v PAOK72-65
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26AIraklis76-72
15/04/26HAris88-77
08/04/26AMurcia85-89
04/04/26HAS Karditsas93-90
01/04/26HMurcia79-73
28/03/26HPromitheas100-70
25/03/26HMykonos100-87
21/03/26APeristeri70-75
18/03/26APeristeri80-88
11/03/26HPeristeri101-77
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HManresa80-84
12/04/26ABarcelona61-90
08/04/26HSzombathely95-88
04/04/26HUnicaja90-74
01/04/26ASzombathely98-81
28/03/26AMurcia81-100
21/03/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-98 OT
18/03/26HPetkim Spor85-60
14/03/26HBreogan100-90
11/03/26APetkim Spor77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL69%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game86.993.280.6
Allowed / game80.679.082.1
Point differential+6.4+14.2-1.5
Avg total167.5172.2162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Bilbao
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %94%88%100%
Points / game94.796.992.5
Allowed / game70.173.666.5
Point differential+24.6+23.2+26.0
Avg total164.8170.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1615194%94.770.1+24.6
2 Murcia1614288%85.473.7+11.8
3 Peristeri1411379%85.478.1+7.3
4 PAOK1611569%86.980.6+6.4
5 KK Bosna1611569%78.574.8+3.8
6 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
7 CSM Oradea128467%83.181.0+2.1
8 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
9 Basket Zaragoza127558%86.278.3+7.8
10 Rostock127558%85.378.4+6.9
11 Petkim Spor148657%81.474.4+6.9
12 Reggiana147750%82.175.2+6.9
13 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
14 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
15 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
16 Szombathely168850%81.281.4-0.2
17 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
18 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
19 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
20 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
21 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
22 BC Prievidza146843%80.383.9-3.6
23 Sassari125742%81.880.0+1.8
24 Sporting CP125742%82.482.4+0.0
25 Cedevita Junior125742%85.185.5-0.4
26 Trefl Sopot125742%83.684.4-0.8
27 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
28 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1627171979
Bilbao1322182073
← all games of the day
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