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PAOK vs Hapoel Jerusalem Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-77
17-19 22-16 24-17 16-25
Position#32
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game85.5
PAOK 🏆
vs
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game81.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Jerusalem winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
64-77
64
77
-13
49avg 68
H29/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#2
L
49-64
49
64
-15
43avg 68
A30/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 68
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 68
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 68
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
W
69-64
69
64
+5
62avg 68
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 68
A29/10
Basket League
Benfica
#28
L
72-94
72
94
-22
61avg 68
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
53avg 68
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
67-54
67
54
+13
64avg 68
A11/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
15-16
12-27
19-12
14-20
12-21
11-12
12-11
14-28
24-23
22-21
20-23
19-16
20-24
16-19
25-16
30-19
22-23
19-17
17-18
19-22
15-14
19-17
16-11
21-26
14-26
22-19
19-15
15-17
26-23
19-28
12-26
16-17
12-20
13-16
22-24
17-16
15-10
15-18
20-10
147.1Avg total
70.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.085.5165.5-5.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)80.085.5165.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)70.876.3147.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)69.475.0144.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.580.1147.5-12.620%
vs Similar (9)76.079.1155.1-3.156%
vs Weaker (5)81.268.0149.2+13.280%
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJerusalem
Date
Competition
Bnei Herzliya
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
no box
A21/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
H24/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#5
W
86-61
86
61
+25
no box
A28/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
55-86
55
86
-31
no box
H31/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
68-77
68
77
-9
no box
A03/06
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#4
W
78-62
78
62
+16
75avg 76
H23/09
League Cup
Hapoel Holon
#5
W
97-75
97
75
+22
102avg 76
H27/09
League Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#2
W
79-71
79
71
+8
70avg 76
A01/10
League Cup
Galatasaray
#20
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
90avg 76
H01/11
Champions League
Benfica
#28
W
84-66
84
66
+18
85avg 76
A08/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
16-24
20-15
18-18
16-22
18-10
14-19
26-18
29-11
20-18
11-28
26-4
8-16
15-24
15-24
17-22
16-21
16-17
23-19
13-20
20-13
20-10
15-21
23-18
21-13
26-19
18-18
32-25
20-20
15-23
21-8
23-20
24-16
11-24
23-20
25-23
17-24
29-15
18-15
20-12
152.2Avg total
78.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.581.0172.5+10.5100%
Season at home (1)99.096.0195.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)84.066.0150.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.473.8152.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)87.474.0161.4+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.780.3156.0-4.733%
vs Similar (14)74.970.1144.9+4.879%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.171.8156.8+13.392%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.3+4.3
PAOKHapoel Jerusalem
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#3
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/09
Super Cup
Peristeri
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A30/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H07/10
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
Basket League
Galatasaray
#20
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A18/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H21/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A29/10
Basket League
Benfica
#28
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/11
Champions League
Olympiacos
#3
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H05/11
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A11/11
Basket League
76.1Avg total
35.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.777.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.539.479.8+1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)36.139.976.0-3.935%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.376.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.272.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.541.977.5-6.420%-
vs Similar (9)39.739.979.6-0.244%-
vs Weaker (5)44.033.077.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Hapoel Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel JerusalemLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bnei Herzliya
#5
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A21/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#5
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/05
Super League
Bnei Herzliya
#5
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
23-40
23
40
-17
H31/05
Super League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A03/06
Super League
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#4
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H23/09
League Cup
Hapoel Holon
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H27/09
League Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/10
League Cup
Galatasaray
#20
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H01/11
Champions League
Benfica
#28
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A08/11
Champions League
72.5Avg total
36.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.636.475.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.935.874.7+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.237.275.4+1.050%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.872.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.476.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.742.078.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (14)36.936.273.1+0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.935.476.3+5.562%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.116.5
47.0%
51.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.0
28.9%
34.9%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.315.8
70.9%
74.5%15.8
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Jerusalemtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Jerusalem: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.8
48.3%
51.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.79.5
41.9%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.914.8
67.6%
74.5%14.8
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WLLLWWWLLL
Hapoel Jerusalem
WWWWWLLWWL
#32
League position
#4
-8.0
Net rating
+10.5
98.5
Offensive rating
110.3
106.5
Defensive rating
99.8
45.5%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
28.9%
3-point %
41.9%
58.3%
Assist %
62.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 110.3Defence106.5 · 99.8Shooting45.5% · 54.0%3-point %28.9% · 41.9%Ball care18.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ PAOK   ■ Hapoel Jerusalem
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAOK wins
0
Hapoel Jerusalem wins
No previous meetings.
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AApollon Patras67-54
05/11/23HOlympiacos63-77
01/11/23ABenfica72-94
29/10/23ALavrio76-86
21/10/23HPeristeri69-64
18/10/23AGalatasaray88-77
14/10/23AMaroussi80-75
07/10/23HPromitheas80-95
30/09/23APeristeri49-64
29/09/23HPanathinaikos64-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23ABenfica84-66
01/11/23HGalatasaray99-96 OT
01/10/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-71
27/09/23HHapoel Holon97-75
23/09/23HHapoel Beer Sheva78-62
03/06/23AHapoel Tel-Aviv68-77
31/05/23HHapoel Tel-Aviv55-86
28/05/23ABnei Herzliya86-61
24/05/23HBnei Herzliya74-69
21/05/23ABnei Herzliya64-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game85.5-85.5
Point differential-5.5--5.5
Avg total165.5-165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.599.084.0
Allowed / game81.096.066.0
Point differential+10.5+3.0+18.0
Avg total172.5195.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon330100%93.076.7+16.3
2 Unicaja330100%83.772.0+11.7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem220100%91.581.0+10.5
4 Karsiyaka220100%89.580.0+9.5
5 AEK Athens330100%84.378.3+6.0
6 Tortona220100%83.077.0+6.0
7 Strasbourg550100%82.076.2+5.8
8 Hapoel Holon110100%75.074.0+1.0
9 Cholet65183%82.079.5+2.5
10 Murcia32167%87.071.3+15.7
11 Promitheas32167%91.076.7+14.3
12 Benfica64267%88.374.7+13.7
13 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
14 Tenerife32167%85.072.7+12.3
15 Bonn32167%83.773.0+10.7
16 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
17 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
18 Darussafaka32167%84.083.3+0.7
19 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
20 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
21 Breogan21150%69.567.0+2.5
22 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
25 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
26 PAOK21150%80.085.5-5.5
27 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
28 Rytas31233%86.076.0+10.0
29 Galatasaray31233%90.388.3+2.0
30 Le Mans31233%77.777.3+0.3
31 Sassari31233%84.385.0-0.7
32 Szczecin31233%82.784.3-1.7
33 Szombathely31233%76.379.0-2.7
34 Ludwigsburg31233%80.083.7-3.7
35 Peristeri31233%73.082.3-9.3
36 Tofas31233%91.0101.7-10.7
37 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
38 Oldenburg2020%83.085.0-2.0
39 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
40 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
41 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
42 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
43 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
44 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
45 VEF Riga3030%67.778.0-10.3
46 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
47 Igokea2020%74.588.0-13.5
48 Oostende2020%72.587.5-15.0
49 Bursaspor2020%60.579.5-19.0
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava3030%65.3106.0-40.7
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1722241679
Hapoel Jerusalem1916172577
← all games of the day
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