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PAOK vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 73-89
22-24 20-22 16-18 15-25
Position#10
Record8-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#2
Record19-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game69.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 21· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · PAOK v Panathinaikos
27 Dec 2026
PAK v PAO
upcoming
30 May 2026
PAK94
PAO102
18 Jan 2026
PAK69
PAO74
12 Oct 2024
PAK93
PAO96
18 May 2024
PAK96
PAO99
17 Mar 2024
PAK73
PAO89
29 Sep 2023
PAK64
PAO77
13 Mar 2023
PAK81
PAO73
07 Nov 2021
PAK64
PAO81
18 Apr 2021
PAK68
PAO74
19 Oct 2019
PAK88
PAO104
17 Feb 2019
PAK73
PAO79
16 Dec 2018
PAK83
PAO93
29 May 2018
PAK72
PAO88
04 Feb 2018
PAK74
PAO91
08 Jan 2017
PAK68
PAO72
02 Jun 2015
PAK65
PAO83
22 Feb 2015
PAK68
PAO71
04 Jan 2015
PAK71
PAO54
19 May 2014
PAK65
PAO72
06 Apr 2014
PAK71
PAO82
18 May 2013
PAK61
PAO71
10 Dec 2011
PAK60
PAO77
21 May 2011
PAK69
PAO75
22 Jan 2011
PAK61
PAO84
07 Mar 2010
PAK74
PAO82
27 Apr 2009
PAK78
PAO82
11 Apr 2009
PAK77
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
86avg 66
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
35-71
35
71
-36
19avg 66
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
59avg 66
H16/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
66-65 OT
66
65
+1
no box
H21/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
60avg 66
A27/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
87-70
87
70
+17
72avg 66
H03/02
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
63-77
63
77
-14
63avg 66
A11/02
Basket League
Aris
#25
L
74-76
74
76
-2
72avg 66
H15/02
Greek Cup
AEK Athens
#9
L
85-94
85
94
-9
75avg 66
H02/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
L
79-95
79
95
-16
68avg 66
A10/03
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
15-9
23-12
16-26
11-22
13-24
4-11
7-14
19-22
15-18
15-22
22-22
14-10
18-10
8-22
14-12
14-12
15-30
14-22
19-13
25-10
18-22
21-18
23-20
22-24
14-16
15-18
12-19
25-11
18-18
14-17
17-30
23-22
22-22
16-23
24-27
19-20
28-25
15-34
17-16
150.6Avg total
71.0Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.378.9152.2-5.640%
Season at home (10)77.677.6155.2+0.060%
Season away (10)69.080.2149.2-11.220%
Last 10 (10)71.079.6150.6-8.630%
Last 5 (5)77.682.4160.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.282.7154.9-10.628%
vs Similar (9)76.778.8155.4-2.156%
vs Weaker (2)77.062.0139.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
74-63
74
63
+11
64avg 76
H09/02
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
90avg 76
A12/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#37
W
79-72
79
72
+7
79avg 76
H15/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#25
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 76
H17/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
58-69
58
69
-11
54avg 76
H18/02
Greek Cup
Real Madrid
#1
W
97-86
97
86
+11
93avg 76
A29/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
96-73
96
73
+23
98avg 76
H03/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
85-67
85
67
+18
65avg 76
H08/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
83avg 76
A10/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
59avg 76
A14/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
25-9
19-17
17-16
28-16
20-19
20-18
21-16
20-15
19-15
20-18
20-24
19-16
25-17
14-11
18-21
12-14
13-16
14-17
19-22
18-24
27-12
22-25
30-25
26-26
25-16
28-16
17-15
20-17
18-19
21-14
26-17
22-22
20-10
23-16
22-16
17-7
16-26
9-15
23-23
150.5Avg total
80.6Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.569.4154.9+16.195%
Season at home (10)90.673.0163.6+17.690%
Season away (10)80.465.8146.2+14.6100%
Last 10 (10)80.669.9150.5+10.780%
Last 5 (5)86.072.2158.2+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.069.0127.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)83.375.5158.8+7.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.872.0154.8+10.882%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +1.8+1.8
PAOKPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#34
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A09/01
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
24-46
24
46
-22
A13/01
Basket League
Tofas
#34
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H16/01
Champions League
Lavrio
#13
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H21/01
Basket League
Olympiacos
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A27/01
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/02
Basket League
Aris
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/02
Basket League
Aris
#25
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/02
Greek Cup
AEK Athens
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H02/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A10/03
Basket League
73.4Avg total
36.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.077.2-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.238.277.4+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)37.139.977.0-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.073.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.080.8+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.541.077.5-4.533%-
vs Similar (9)41.338.379.7+3.056%-
vs Weaker (2)37.529.066.5+8.5100%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H09/02
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A12/02
Basket League
AEK Athens
#37
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H15/02
Greek Cup
Aris
#25
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/02
Greek Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H18/02
Greek Cup
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A29/02
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H03/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/03
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#4
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/03
Euroleague
74.0Avg total
40.3Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.636.177.7+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.135.776.8+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)42.136.578.6+5.560%-
Last 10 (10)40.333.774.0+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.877.6+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)40.336.376.7+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.836.679.4+6.268%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.0
50.9%
52.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.3
24.5%
33.7%15.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.4
72.6%
71.5%15.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.1
54.9%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.5
35.4%
33.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.015.1
75.5%
71.5%15.1
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LLLLWLWLLW
Panathinaikos
LWWWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#2
-12.3
Net rating
+15.6
94.5
Offensive rating
111.8
106.9
Defensive rating
96.3
45.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
24.5%
3-point %
35.4%
64.4%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 111.8Defence106.9 · 96.3Shooting45.9% · 54.3%3-point %24.5% · 35.4%Ball care18.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds25.6% · 31.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ PAOK   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
9
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
29/09/23PAOK v Panathinaikos64-77
13/03/23PAOK v Panathinaikos81-73
27/11/22Panathinaikos v PAOK87-63
26/03/22Panathinaikos v PAOK77-67
07/11/21PAOK v Panathinaikos64-81
18/04/21PAOK v Panathinaikos68-74
08/11/20Panathinaikos v PAOK96-67
27/01/20Panathinaikos v PAOK117-79
19/10/19PAOK v Panathinaikos88-104
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AKolossos Rhodes79-95
02/03/24HAEK Athens85-94
15/02/24HAris74-76
11/02/24AAris63-77
03/02/24HApollon Patras87-70
27/01/24AOlympiacos62-77
21/01/24HLavrio66-65 OT
16/01/24HTofas71-84
13/01/24APeristeri35-71
09/01/24ATofas88-87 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AOlympiacos65-71
10/03/24AAS Karditsas87-64
08/03/24HLyon-Villeurbanne85-67
03/03/24HKolossos Rhodes96-73
29/02/24AReal Madrid97-86
18/02/24HOlympiacos58-69
17/02/24HAris76-65
15/02/24HAEK Athens79-72
12/02/24AAEK Athens89-69
09/02/24HFenerbahce74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game73.377.669.0
Allowed / game78.977.680.2
Point differential-5.6+0.0-11.2
Avg total152.2155.2149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW95%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %95%90%100%
Points / game85.590.680.4
Allowed / game69.473.065.8
Point differential+16.1+17.6+14.6
Avg total154.9163.6146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%70%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LCC W10100100%84.665.1+19.5
2 Panathinaikos2019195%85.569.4+16.1
3 Olympiacos2119290%84.768.2+16.5
4 Klaipedos Neptunas W97278%75.660.7+14.9
5 Kibirkstis Vilnius W96367%81.966.7+15.2
6 Peristeri2114767%81.472.8+8.6
7 Promitheas2113862%84.680.0+4.6
8 Aris21111052%76.076.5-0.5
9 AEK Athens2191243%86.385.6+0.8
10 PAOK2081240%73.378.9-5.6
11 Kolossos Rhodes2181338%81.684.6-3.0
12 Lavrio2071335%75.884.7-8.9
13 Maroussi2171433%81.887.2-5.5
14 AS Karditsas2161529%74.080.1-6.2
15 Siauliai W92722%67.275.2-8.0
16 Aistes LSU Kaunas W102820%58.073.7-15.7
17 Apollon Patras2031715%66.183.7-17.6
18 Panevezys W91811%59.886.1-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2220161573
Panathinaikos2422182589
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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