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PAOK vs Panathinaikos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game70.4
PAOK
Greece
vs
Form · last 5 games
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
3.8/10
Below normal
Panathinaikos
Greece
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game74.3
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 12· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · PAOK v Panathinaikos
27 Dec 2026
PAK v PAO
upcoming
30 May 2026
PAK94
PAO102
18 Jan 2026
PAK69
PAO74
12 Oct 2024
PAK93
PAO96
18 May 2024
PAK96
PAO99
17 Mar 2024
PAK73
PAO89
29 Sep 2023
PAK64
PAO77
13 Mar 2023
PAK81
PAO73
07 Nov 2021
PAK64
PAO81
18 Apr 2021
PAK68
PAO74
19 Oct 2019
PAK88
PAO104
17 Feb 2019
PAK73
PAO79
16 Dec 2018
PAK83
PAO93
29 May 2018
PAK72
PAO88
04 Feb 2018
PAK74
PAO91
08 Jan 2017
PAK68
PAO72
02 Jun 2015
PAK65
PAO83
22 Feb 2015
PAK68
PAO71
04 Jan 2015
PAK71
PAO54
19 May 2014
PAK65
PAO72
06 Apr 2014
PAK71
PAO82
18 May 2013
PAK61
PAO71
10 Dec 2011
PAK60
PAO77
21 May 2011
PAK69
PAO75
22 Jan 2011
PAK61
PAO84
07 Mar 2010
PAK74
PAO82
27 Apr 2009
PAK78
PAO82
11 Apr 2009
PAK77
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#21
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 78
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 78
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 78
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#11
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 78
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 78
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#7
W
63-53
63
53
+10
58avg 78
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#18
W
113-111
113
111
+2
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
79-56
79
56
+23
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
19-17
15-14
13-11
16-11
29-22
32-38
31-26
21-25
30-15
24-18
20-11
19-23
19-12
34-20
19-9
7-15
14-15
21-13
16-17
23-24
158.8Avg total
82.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.670.4150.0+9.1100%
Season at home (3)81.367.3148.7+14.0100%
Season away (4)78.272.8151.0+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.975.9158.8+7.080%
Last 5 (5)84.471.2155.6+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.989.1174.0-4.329%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.278.2161.3+5.067%
vs Weaker (17)86.377.0163.3+9.394%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 83
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 83
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 83
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H15/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
14-19
23-21
21-15
25-19
17-17
16-15
24-11
17-33
26-15
19-20
21-13
12-25
165.9Avg total
84.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.474.3161.7+13.186%
Season at home (4)88.571.5160.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)86.078.0164.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)84.781.2165.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)88.287.2175.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (6)89.291.3180.5-2.233%
vs Weaker (19)87.875.9163.8+11.984%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
PAOKPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#21
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#11
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#18
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/11
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/11
Basket League
83.9Avg total
43.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.383.3+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.787.0+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.979.6-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.483.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.884.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.144.186.3-2.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.539.880.3+0.767%-
vs Weaker (17)44.238.983.1+5.265%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H15/11
Basket League
80.4Avg total
41.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.237.180.3+6.167%-
Last 30 away (12)39.040.879.8-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.180.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.282.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.044.384.3-4.333%-
vs Weaker (19)43.536.479.9+7.168%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
34.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
71.8%18.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
50.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
71.8%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WWWWWLWWWL
Panathinaikos
WLWWLLWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+5.7
Net rating
+8.3
100.7
Offensive rating
97.5
94.9
Defensive rating
89.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.39
31.7%
3-point %
34.4%
55.6%
Assist %
65.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 97.5Defence94.9 · 89.3Shooting53.3% · 54.5%3-point %31.7% · 34.4%Ball care15.8% · 16.5%Free throws0.42 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ PAOK   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAOK wins
10
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
30/05/26PAOK v Panathinaikos94-102
28/05/26Panathinaikos v PAOK114-102 OT
18/01/26PAOK v Panathinaikos69-74
05/10/25Panathinaikos v PAOK93-83
05/01/25Panathinaikos v PAOK100-81
12/10/24PAOK v Panathinaikos93-96
18/05/24PAOK v Panathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24Panathinaikos v PAOK84-66
17/03/24PAOK v Panathinaikos73-89
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAS Karditsas74-69
10/11/26ABalkan79-56
07/11/26HVikos93-67
03/11/26HBC Roma113-111
31/10/26AIraklis63-53
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HKolossos Rhodes78-73
13/11/26HBarcelona74-76
08/11/26AAEK Athens83-74
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.681.378.2
Allowed / game70.467.372.8
Point differential+9.1+14.0+5.5
Avg total150.0148.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game87.488.586.0
Allowed / game74.371.578.0
Point differential+13.1+17.0+8.0
Avg total161.7160.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
2 Aris76186%86.772.4+14.3
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Olympiacos76186%84.772.4+12.3
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 Maroussi72529%79.983.1-3.3
11 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
12 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
13 Vikos71614%77.389.7-12.4
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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