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PAOK vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-74
12-26 17-21 18-16 21-11
Position#5
Record12-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#1
Record16-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game71.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 14
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · PAOK v Panathinaikos
27 Dec 2026
PAK v PAO
upcoming
30 May 2026
PAK94
PAO102
18 Jan 2026
PAK69
PAO74
12 Oct 2024
PAK93
PAO96
18 May 2024
PAK96
PAO99
17 Mar 2024
PAK73
PAO89
29 Sep 2023
PAK64
PAO77
13 Mar 2023
PAK81
PAO73
07 Nov 2021
PAK64
PAO81
18 Apr 2021
PAK68
PAO74
19 Oct 2019
PAK88
PAO104
17 Feb 2019
PAK73
PAO79
16 Dec 2018
PAK83
PAO93
29 May 2018
PAK72
PAO88
04 Feb 2018
PAK74
PAO91
08 Jan 2017
PAK68
PAO72
02 Jun 2015
PAK65
PAO83
22 Feb 2015
PAK68
PAO71
04 Jan 2015
PAK71
PAO54
19 May 2014
PAK65
PAO72
06 Apr 2014
PAK71
PAO82
18 May 2013
PAK61
PAO71
10 Dec 2011
PAK60
PAO77
21 May 2011
PAK69
PAO75
22 Jan 2011
PAK61
PAO84
07 Mar 2010
PAK74
PAO82
27 Apr 2009
PAK78
PAO82
11 Apr 2009
PAK77
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#2
L
77-84
77
84
-7
70avg 73
A30/01
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
63-61
63
61
+2
no box
A10/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#6
L
69-76 OT
69
76
-7
no box
H12/02
Greek Cup
Larisa
#11
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
A28/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
76avg 73
H06/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H13/03
Basket League
Aris
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 73
A20/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
75avg 73
H28/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 73
A03/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
85-66
85
66
+19
77avg 73
H11/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
25-19
23-18
17-22
14-20
12-10
17-12
20-19
11-18
18-17
11-11
20-14
14-26
24-17
18-14
22-21
13-18
21-9
22-24
25-27
17-19
19-18
16-20
22-17
26-18
11-19
14-24
26-10
22-19
18-19
23-18
19-18
24-23
12-22
27-21
21-17
22-15
20-19
28-17
15-15
156.2Avg total
79.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.479.6159.0-0.157%
Season at home (10)84.377.0161.3+7.380%
Season away (11)75.081.9156.9-6.936%
Last 10 (10)79.476.8156.2+2.670%
Last 5 (5)82.676.2158.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.289.3162.5-16.20%
vs Similar (13)80.676.2156.8+4.562%
vs Weaker (9)82.981.0163.9+1.967%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
82-86
82
86
-4
73avg 80
H19/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
74-68
74
68
+6
69avg 80
A22/03
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
65-85
65
85
-20
no box
A25/03
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
102-68
102
68
+34
106avg 80
H27/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#10
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 80
H30/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
H01/04
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
78-93
78
93
-15
74avg 80
A08/04
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
105-69
105
69
+36
105avg 80
H10/04
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
83-112
83
112
-29
71avg 80
A12/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 80
A14/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
17-23
19-20
23-26
21-24
16-21
11-10
26-13
21-24
12-19
16-17
16-25
29-21
19-18
26-11
28-18
21-25
20-24
18-23
23-25
15-26
14-20
20-13
21-11
14-27
33-25
13-22
18-19
28-18
27-17
26-22
24-12
22-26
18-21
20-29
23-36
19-27
20-22
22-25
25-19
169.7Avg total
84.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.271.6159.8+16.789%
Season at home (11)90.469.4159.7+21.091%
Season away (7)84.975.0159.9+9.986%
Last 10 (10)84.385.4169.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)87.690.0177.6-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.486.8165.2-8.420%
vs Similar (8)78.479.8158.1-1.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.176.8167.9+14.283%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
PAOKPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A30/01
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A10/02
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#6
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H12/02
Greek Cup
Larisa
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H06/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/03
Basket League
Aris
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H28/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H11/04
Basket League
72.5Avg total
35.5Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.240.880.0-1.738%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.681.7+2.567%-
Last 30 away (14)36.142.178.2-6.17%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.072.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.276.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.545.581.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)40.538.178.6+2.554%-
vs Weaker (9)41.142.984.0-1.844%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H19/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/03
Basket League
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A25/03
Euroleague
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H27/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#10
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/04
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A08/04
Euroleague
Lavrio
#2
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H10/04
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A12/04
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A14/04
Euroleague
85.4Avg total
40.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.982.0+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.781.8+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)40.142.282.3-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.944.585.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.887.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.744.881.5-8.110%-
vs Similar (8)39.840.480.1-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.738.183.8+7.683%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.1
51.8%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.77.5
38.1%
35.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.514.5
82.9%
74.2%14.5
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.9
52.2%
51.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.511.9
43.3%
35.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
74.2%11.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WWWWLWWLWL
Panathinaikos
LLWLWLWLWL
#5
League position
#1
+2.0
Net rating
+1.1
104.7
Offensive rating
117.1
102.6
Defensive rating
116.0
53.6%
Effective FG%
57.7%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.6%
21.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
38.1%
3-point %
43.3%
46.7%
Assist %
66.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 117.1Defence102.6 · 116.0Shooting53.6% · 57.7%3-point %38.1% · 43.3%Ball care21.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds25.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ PAOK   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAOK wins
10
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
08/11/20Panathinaikos v PAOK96-67
27/01/20Panathinaikos v PAOK117-79
19/10/19PAOK v Panathinaikos88-104
07/04/19Panathinaikos v PAOK89-51
17/02/19PAOK v Panathinaikos73-79
16/12/18PAOK v Panathinaikos83-93
29/05/18PAOK v Panathinaikos72-88
26/05/18Panathinaikos v PAOK84-67
24/05/18Panathinaikos v PAOK92-79
04/02/18PAOK v Panathinaikos74-91
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/21HPeristeri85-66
03/04/21AIonikos84-83
28/03/21HKolossos Rhodes82-74
20/03/21AAris77-71
13/03/21HAEK Athens85-87 OT
06/03/21HPromitheas81-78
28/02/21ALarisa91-88 OT
12/02/21HPromitheas69-76 OT
10/02/21AIraklis63-61
30/01/21ALavrio77-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/21ACSKA Moscow86-93
12/04/21AZenit Petersburg83-112
10/04/21HLavrio105-69
08/04/21AZalgiris Kaunas78-93
01/04/21HOlimpia Milano86-83 OT
30/03/21HBaskonia82-97
27/03/21HHarilaos Trikoupis102-68
25/03/21AAnadolu Efes65-85
22/03/21APeristeri74-68
19/03/21HCrvena zvezda82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%80%36%
Points / game79.484.375.0
Allowed / game79.677.081.9
Point differential-0.1+7.3-6.9
Avg total159.0161.3156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %10%10%9%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %89%91%86%
Points / game88.290.484.9
Allowed / game71.669.475.0
Point differential+16.7+21.0+9.9
Avg total159.8159.7159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%73%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos1816289%88.271.6+16.7
2 Lavrio2116576%82.378.4+3.9
3 Promitheas2015575%80.875.5+5.4
4 AEK Athens2215768%82.074.8+7.1
5 PAOK2112957%79.479.6-0.1
6 Peristeri21101148%73.175.8-2.7
7 Kolossos Rhodes2181338%77.977.0+0.9
8 Iraklis2071335%73.379.0-5.7
9 Aris2171433%74.177.2-3.1
10 Ionikos2171433%76.881.1-4.3
11 Larisa2161529%75.281.2-6.0
12 Harilaos Trikoupis2151624%72.682.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK1217182168
Panathinaikos2621161174
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