PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

PAOK vs Panathinaikos Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record4-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game68.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 12· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · PAOK v Panathinaikos
27 Dec 2026
PAK v PAO
upcoming
30 May 2026
PAK94
PAO102
18 Jan 2026
PAK69
PAO74
12 Oct 2024
PAK93
PAO96
18 May 2024
PAK96
PAO99
17 Mar 2024
PAK73
PAO89
29 Sep 2023
PAK64
PAO77
13 Mar 2023
PAK81
PAO73
07 Nov 2021
PAK64
PAO81
18 Apr 2021
PAK68
PAO74
19 Oct 2019
PAK88
PAO104
17 Feb 2019
PAK73
PAO79
16 Dec 2018
PAK83
PAO93
29 May 2018
PAK72
PAO88
04 Feb 2018
PAK74
PAO91
08 Jan 2017
PAK68
PAO72
02 Jun 2015
PAK65
PAO83
22 Feb 2015
PAK68
PAO71
04 Jan 2015
PAK71
PAO54
19 May 2014
PAK65
PAO72
06 Apr 2014
PAK71
PAO82
18 May 2013
PAK61
PAO71
10 Dec 2011
PAK60
PAO77
21 May 2011
PAK69
PAO75
22 Jan 2011
PAK61
PAO84
07 Mar 2010
PAK74
PAO82
27 Apr 2009
PAK78
PAO82
11 Apr 2009
PAK77
PAO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#10
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#11
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#13
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#7
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
20-27
20-28
27-30
21-20
19-21
18-15
35-22
14-17
18-20
28-21
28-27
22-18
18-17
19-26
16-11
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
165.6Avg total
84.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.876.0157.8+5.8100%
Season at home (2)75.567.5143.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)88.084.5172.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.381.3165.6+3.070%
Last 5 (5)81.480.6162.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.890.2174.0-6.422%
vs Similar (11)83.579.9163.5+3.664%
vs Weaker (10)88.778.6167.3+10.1100%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#14
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#12
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
72-55
72
55
+17
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#5
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#8
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-20
23-17
24-11
24-26
27-24
19-17
21-14
25-19
21-7
22-19
27-14
14-19
16-16
19-12
20-9
17-18
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
156.7Avg total
83.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.068.0158.0+22.0100%
Season at home (3)92.071.0163.0+21.0100%
Season away (1)84.059.0143.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.872.9156.7+10.980%
Last 5 (5)81.275.2156.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar (6)83.285.3168.5-2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.575.4165.9+15.289%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
PAOKPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#21
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#11
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#13
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#7
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
80.7Avg total
39.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.682.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.739.684.2+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)39.341.881.1-2.536%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.880.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.083.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.043.685.6-1.644%-
vs Similar (11)41.439.981.3+1.564%-
vs Weaker (10)43.238.781.9+4.550%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vikos
#14
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#12
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#5
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
42.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.180.4+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (19)44.437.381.7+7.268%-
Last 30 away (11)38.539.678.2-1.145%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.079.8+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.078.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (6)39.340.880.2-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.936.881.7+8.174%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.1
59.3%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.5
31.5%
34.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.418.4
75.4%
70.8%18.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.0
56.7%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
34.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
70.8%17.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWWWLWWWWL
Panathinaikos
LWWWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+3.5
Net rating
+13.0
103.9
Offensive rating
99.6
100.4
Defensive rating
86.7
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.7%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.5%
3-point %
34.6%
57.0%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 99.6Defence100.4 · 86.7Shooting53.9% · 54.7%3-point %31.5% · 34.6%Ball care14.5% · 15.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ PAOK   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
PAOK wins
10
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
30/05/26PAOK v Panathinaikos94-102
28/05/26Panathinaikos v PAOK114-102 OT
18/01/26PAOK v Panathinaikos69-74
05/10/25Panathinaikos v PAOK93-83
05/01/25Panathinaikos v PAOK100-81
12/10/24PAOK v Panathinaikos93-96
18/05/24PAOK v Panathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24Panathinaikos v PAOK84-66
17/03/24PAOK v Panathinaikos73-89
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73
06/10/26AKK Bosna75-72
03/10/26AMykonos88-85
30/09/26HManresa93-78
30/05/26HPanathinaikos94-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
13/10/26APartizan72-55
10/10/26APromitheas84-59
08/10/26HFenerbahce92-74
04/10/26HVikos103-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.875.588.0
Allowed / game76.067.584.5
Point differential+5.8+8.0+3.5
Avg total157.8143.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.092.084.0
Allowed / game68.071.059.0
Point differential+22.0+21.0+25.0
Avg total158.0163.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%90.068.0+22.0
2 Olympiacos440100%85.266.0+19.2
3 PAOK440100%81.876.0+5.8
4 Aris43175%79.565.2+14.2
5 Peristeri43175%85.888.2-2.5
6 Kolossos Rhodes42250%84.583.0+1.5
7 AEK Athens42250%73.875.5-1.8
8 AS Karditsas42250%69.072.8-3.8
9 Iraklis41325%78.579.0-0.5
10 Mykonos41325%79.584.8-5.2
11 Lefkadas41325%80.285.8-5.5
12 Promitheas41325%68.085.5-17.5
13 Maroussi4040%71.882.5-10.8
14 Vikos4040%71.586.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.