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PAOK vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-69
20-20 20-14 13-17 25-18
Position#22
Record4-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game71.3
PAOK 🏆
vs
Position#38
Record3-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 10
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
L
63-68
63
68
-5
no box
A16/11
Champions League
Trikala
#10
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
A19/11
Basket League
Oldenburg
#12
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
A22/11
Champions League
Rethymno
#6
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
H26/11
Basket League
Ventspils
#23
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
no box
H30/11
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#11
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
A03/12
Basket League
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
85-66
85
66
+19
no box
H06/12
Champions League
Promitheas
#9
W
75-73 OT
75
73
+2
no box
A10/12
Basket League
Usak Sportif
#33
L
77-78
77
78
-1
no box
A14/12
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
H18/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
19-18
14-15
9-21
20-26
14-19
12-16
27-23
24-11
9-16
18-21
11-19
22-15
20-21
19-19
16-20
16-24
23-12
10-14
22-21
27-17
18-23
18-32
19-21
32-15
15-16
16-21
22-14
18-12
15-30
14-9
17-13
18-21
18-18
21-23
20-16
20-19
23-33
23-21
18-16
153.7Avg total
76.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.471.3143.8+1.144%
Season at home (4)72.566.5139.0+6.075%
Season away (5)72.475.2147.6-2.820%
Last 10 (10)76.377.4153.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)80.679.8160.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.079.8155.8-3.838%
vs Similar (13)72.872.0144.8+0.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)78.480.2158.6-1.938%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
92avg 104
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-76
71
76
-5
94avg 104
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
104avg 104
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
109avg 104
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
68-84
68
84
-16
94avg 104
A18/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
18-14
11-21
14-16
24-12
18-30
15-17
11-15
17-14
9-26
18-22
20-25
19-21
15-18
13-18
24-19
20-19
16-21
23-17
17-14
20-28
18-30
31-13
13-21
19-25
18-23
13-20
20-18
21-21
17-12
16-16
27-22
18-17
18-28
9-18
22-23
13-24
21-22
21-17
13-21
150.5Avg total
70.9Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.480.5149.8-11.127%
Season at home (6)71.375.8147.2-4.533%
Season away (5)67.086.0153.0-19.020%
Last 10 (10)70.979.6150.5-8.720%
Last 5 (5)73.683.8157.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.178.9151.1-6.833%
vs Similar (12)80.280.8160.9-0.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
PAOKVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/11
Champions League
Trikala
#10
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/11
Basket League
Oldenburg
#12
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A22/11
Champions League
Rethymno
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H26/11
Basket League
Ventspils
#23
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/11
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A03/12
Basket League
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H06/12
Champions League
Promitheas
#9
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/12
Basket League
Usak Sportif
#33
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A14/12
Champions League
Olympiacos
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H18/12
Basket League
77.2Avg total
39.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.075.3-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.437.476.8+2.062%-
Last 30 away (17)35.638.574.2-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.077.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.881.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.838.076.8+0.862%-
vs Similar (13)35.137.072.1-1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.039.078.0+0.038%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/12
Champions League
Trento
#4
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A18/12
Lega A
78.1Avg total
35.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.141.078.1-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.139.678.8-0.541%-
Last 30 away (13)34.542.877.2-8.38%-
Last 10 (10)35.842.378.1-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.646.082.6-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.942.278.1-6.217%-
vs Similar (12)38.839.278.1-0.442%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.8
48.2%
52.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.7
34.8%
34.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.113.8
76.2%
73.8%13.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
PAOK wins
0
Varese wins
DateGameScore
01/11/16Varese v PAOK70-75
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16HOlympiacos84-89
14/12/16AUsak Sportif77-78
10/12/16APromitheas75-73 OT
06/12/16HHydroTruck Radom85-66
03/12/16AG.S. Kymis82-93
30/11/16HVentspils85-81 OT
26/11/16HRethymno77-75
22/11/16AOldenburg62-67
19/11/16ATrikala73-84
16/11/16ANeptunas63-68
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16ATrento68-84
14/12/16HNeptunas67-86
11/12/16HReggiana81-71
06/12/16ALyon-Villeurbanne70-86
03/12/16HCantu82-92
30/11/16HOldenburg76-71
27/11/16ACapo d'Orlando71-76
22/11/16AUsak Sportif64-87
19/11/16HBrescia68-74
16/11/16HHydroTruck Radom62-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Champions League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game72.472.572.4
Allowed / game71.366.575.2
Point differential+1.1+6.0-2.8
Avg total143.8139.0147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %22%25%20%
Varese
Champions League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game69.471.367.0
Allowed / game80.575.886.0
Point differential-11.1-4.5-19.0
Avg total149.8147.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco109190%75.064.7+10.3
2 Tenerife108280%83.266.8+16.4
3 Neptunas108280%75.467.0+8.4
4 Banvit108280%80.672.7+7.9
5 Besiktas108280%81.073.8+7.2
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne108280%77.670.7+6.9
7 Aris107370%77.767.4+10.3
8 Nymburk107370%81.572.7+8.8
9 Ludwigsburg107370%83.074.4+8.6
10 Le Mans107370%73.965.9+8.0
11 Venezia107370%73.870.3+3.5
12 Strasbourg96367%77.269.4+7.8
13 Karsiyaka96367%75.368.0+7.3
14 Avellino96367%76.771.2+5.4
15 Juventus128467%76.977.4-0.5
16 AEK Athens106460%80.771.1+9.6
17 Partizan106460%74.674.8-0.2
18 Kataja127558%79.576.4+3.1
19 CSM Oradea148657%68.469.6-1.2
20 Oldenburg95456%72.070.4+1.6
21 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
22 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
23 Ventspils105550%77.473.5+3.9
24 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
25 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
26 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
27 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
28 PAOK94544%72.471.3+1.1
29 Oostende94544%71.270.9+0.3
30 Usak Sportif125742%76.276.9-0.8
31 Ironi Nahariya125742%71.174.3-3.2
32 Saratov104640%85.785.0+0.7
33 Sassari104640%77.277.0+0.2
34 Zielona Gora104640%73.275.7-2.5
35 Spirou Charleroi104640%73.379.0-5.7
36 Maccabi Rishon93633%70.073.3-3.3
37 Cibona93633%80.686.6-6.0
38 Frankfurt93633%65.271.6-6.3
39 HydroTruck Radom93633%68.875.7-6.9
40 Mega Bemax103730%70.576.5-6.0
41 Varese113827%69.480.5-11.1
42 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
43 Mornar Bar123925%69.179.5-10.4
44 Bakken Bears123925%71.285.9-14.7
45 Helios Domzale91811%58.366.3-8.0
46 Khimik101910%64.576.9-12.4
47 Szolnoki Olaj101910%68.986.1-17.2
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2020132578
Varese2014171869
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