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Varese vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 67-86
18-17 18-28 9-18 22-23
Position#38
Record3-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#6
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game66.9
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 9
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#23
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
A09/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
114avg 105
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
92avg 105
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-76
71
76
-5
94avg 105
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
104avg 105
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
109avg 105
H11/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
19-28
16-13
12-23
17-13
21-17
20-24
29-29
19-18
18-14
11-21
14-16
24-12
18-30
15-17
11-15
17-14
9-26
18-22
20-25
19-21
15-18
13-18
24-19
20-19
16-21
23-17
17-14
20-28
18-30
31-13
13-21
19-25
18-23
13-20
20-18
21-21
17-12
16-16
27-22
152.7Avg total
72.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)69.679.9149.5-10.330%
Season at home (5)72.273.8146.0-1.640%
Season away (5)67.086.0153.0-19.020%
Last 10 (10)72.780.0152.7-7.330%
Last 5 (5)76.079.2155.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)72.778.2150.9-5.538%
vs Similar (14)81.181.4162.5-0.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#12
W
64-63
64
63
+1
no box
A09/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H12/11
LKL
PAOK
#22
W
68-63
68
63
+5
no box
H16/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
67-77
67
77
-10
no box
H19/11
LKL
Ventspils
#23
L
61-66
61
66
-5
no box
A22/11
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
H26/11
LKL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
66-63
66
63
+3
no box
H30/11
Champions League
Juventus
#5
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
A04/12
LKL
Usak Sportif
#33
W
103-88
103
88
+15
no box
H06/12
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
no box
H11/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
16-13
10-18
21-13
17-18
20-16
21-17
12-12
14-21
18-19
15-14
21-9
8-25
25-17
18-20
16-15
14-17
14-16
20-14
13-19
21-17
12-23
15-11
16-7
16-6
13-25
17-13
20-19
29-14
19-30
26-27
23-20
22-26
38-18
18-19
25-25
19-24
13-19
19-29
16-23
145.4Avg total
72.7Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.566.9142.4+8.688%
Season at home (5)82.468.2150.6+14.2100%
Season away (3)64.064.7128.7-0.767%
Last 10 (10)72.772.7145.4+0.070%
Last 5 (5)79.479.0158.4+0.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.178.2146.3-10.130%
vs Similar (7)76.375.7152.0+0.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.766.6145.3+12.177%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
VareseNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#23
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A09/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Reggiana
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/12
Lega A
78.1Avg total
36.4Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.778.3-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.639.178.7+0.647%-
Last 30 away (13)35.142.877.8-7.78%-
Last 10 (10)36.441.778.1-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.680.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.141.877.8-5.719%-
vs Similar (14)39.539.478.9+0.143%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#12
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A09/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H12/11
LKL
PAOK
#22
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H16/11
Champions League
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/11
LKL
Ventspils
#23
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A22/11
Champions League
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/11
LKL
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H30/11
Champions League
Juventus
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A04/12
LKL
Usak Sportif
#33
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H06/12
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H11/12
LKL
74.8Avg total
36.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.174.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.933.572.4+5.459%-
Last 30 away (13)37.239.476.5-2.246%-
Last 10 (10)36.538.374.8-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.480.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.436.370.7-1.940%-
vs Similar (7)38.736.475.1+2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.735.776.4+5.062%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.9 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.1
48.0%
52.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.7
34.5%
34.3%23.0
🏀 Free throws19.014.2
74.9%
73.8%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
25/10/16Neptunas v Varese94-60
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16HReggiana81-71
06/12/16ALyon-Villeurbanne70-86
03/12/16HCantu82-92
30/11/16HOldenburg76-71
27/11/16ACapo d'Orlando71-76
22/11/16AUsak Sportif64-87
19/11/16HBrescia68-74
16/11/16HHydroTruck Radom62-69
13/11/16APesaro87-83
09/11/16AVentspils66-91
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas67-95
06/12/16HUsak Sportif103-88
04/12/16AJuventus97-91
30/11/16HHydroTruck Radom66-63
26/11/16HAlytaus Dzukija64-58
22/11/16AVentspils61-66
19/11/16HLietkabelis67-77
16/11/16HPAOK68-63
12/11/16HNevezis70-63
09/11/16AOldenburg64-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Champions League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game69.672.267.0
Allowed / game79.973.886.0
Point differential-10.3-1.6-19.0
Avg total149.5146.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Champions League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game75.582.464.0
Allowed / game66.968.264.7
Point differential+8.6+14.2-0.7
Avg total142.4150.6128.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Banvit98189%81.271.2+10.0
2 Monaco98189%71.762.3+9.3
3 Besiktas87188%82.173.0+9.1
4 Neptunas87188%75.566.9+8.6
5 Tenerife97278%83.767.9+15.8
6 Le Mans97278%75.865.0+10.8
7 Lyon-Villeurbanne97278%78.771.4+7.2
8 Avellino86275%79.172.2+6.9
9 Juventus118373%78.777.3+1.5
10 AEK Athens96367%82.169.9+12.2
11 Nymburk96367%81.072.4+8.6
12 Aris96367%76.968.4+8.4
13 Ludwigsburg96367%82.173.7+8.4
14 Karsiyaka96367%75.368.0+7.3
15 Venezia96367%73.971.6+2.3
16 Strasbourg85362%79.071.0+8.0
17 Oldenburg95456%72.070.4+1.6
18 Kataja116555%80.078.2+1.8
19 CSM Oradea137654%68.670.4-1.8
20 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
21 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
22 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
23 Partizan84450%72.474.6-2.2
24 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
25 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
26 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
27 Usak Sportif115645%75.375.1+0.2
28 Ironi Nahariya115645%72.373.4-1.1
29 Ventspils94544%75.272.1+3.1
30 Saratov94544%88.787.2+1.4
31 PAOK94544%72.471.3+1.1
32 Sassari94544%79.478.6+0.9
33 Oostende94544%71.270.9+0.3
34 Zielona Gora94544%72.475.1-2.7
35 Maccabi Rishon93633%70.073.3-3.3
36 Cibona93633%80.686.6-6.0
37 Frankfurt93633%65.271.6-6.3
38 HydroTruck Radom93633%68.875.7-6.9
39 Spirou Charleroi93633%74.481.4-7.0
40 Varese103730%69.679.9-10.3
41 Mornar Bar113827%70.581.3-10.7
42 Bakken Bears113827%69.984.2-14.3
43 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
44 Mega Bemax92722%71.779.1-7.4
45 Helios Domzale91811%58.366.3-8.0
46 Khimik91811%65.177.3-12.2
47 Szolnoki Olaj91811%67.685.6-18.0
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese181892267
Neptunas1728182386
← all games of the day
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