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Varese vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-71
21-21 17-12 16-16 27-22
Position#10
Record3-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game81.3
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#6
Record8-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game79.6
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Varese v Reggiana
01 Feb 2026
VAR61
REG76
16 Mar 2025
VAR63
REG78
29 Dec 2023
VAR116
REG93
08 Apr 2023
VAR81
REG85
24 Oct 2021
VAR67
REG106
13 Dec 2020
VAR76
REG89
22 Mar 2020
VAR v REG
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
VAR92
REG80
15 Apr 2018
VAR80
REG73
11 Dec 2016
VAR81
REG71
24 Apr 2016
VAR77
REG69
25 Oct 2014
VAR112
REG118
13 Oct 2013
VAR83
REG64
25 Nov 2012
VAR91
REG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
no box
H06/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
66-91
66
91
-25
no box
A09/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
114avg 104
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
62-69
62
69
-7
no box
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
L
68-74
68
74
-6
92avg 104
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
71-76
71
76
-5
94avg 104
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
no box
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
82-92
82
92
-10
104avg 104
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A06/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
16-20
18-17
15-15
19-27
19-28
16-13
12-23
17-13
21-17
20-24
29-29
19-18
18-14
11-21
14-16
24-12
18-30
15-17
11-15
17-14
9-26
18-22
20-25
19-21
15-18
13-18
24-19
20-19
16-21
23-17
17-14
20-28
18-30
31-13
13-21
19-25
18-23
13-20
20-18
153.1Avg total
72.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.681.3158.9-3.730%
Season at home (5)82.280.0162.2+2.240%
Season away (5)73.082.6155.6-9.620%
Last 10 (10)72.380.8153.1-8.520%
Last 5 (5)72.682.4155.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)72.678.8151.4-6.235%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.182.2163.3-1.246%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
L
75-78
75
78
-3
92avg 109
A02/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
112avg 109
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
106avg 109
A16/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
112avg 109
H23/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
107avg 109
A30/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
90-77
90
77
+13
121avg 109
H06/11
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A13/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
112avg 109
H20/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
88-93
88
93
-5
109avg 109
A27/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
80-70
80
70
+10
110avg 109
H05/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
23-22
26-20
12-18
13-16
17-26
29-15
27-23
18-21
24-17
18-23
22-17
19-16
21-19
25-17
20-27
22-18
22-30
16-16
24-16
27-19
28-19
27-17
8-22
18-16
19-17
28-20
21-28
23-26
25-13
8-21
31-20
25-25
21-23
20-23
22-22
17-20
27-14
17-14
19-22
163.9Avg total
84.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.379.6163.9+4.780%
Season at home (5)85.677.2162.8+8.4100%
Season away (5)83.082.0165.0+1.060%
Last 10 (10)84.379.6163.9+4.780%
Last 5 (5)86.280.2166.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.482.9160.3-5.443%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.580.9163.4+1.667%
vs Weaker (4)82.078.0160.0+4.075%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
VareseReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H06/11
Lega A
Ventspils
#23
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A09/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/11
Lega A
HydroTruck Radom
#44
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H16/11
Champions League
Brescia
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/11
Lega A
Usak Sportif
#33
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A22/11
Champions League
Capo d'Orlando
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/11
Lega A
Oldenburg
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/11
Champions League
Cantu
#14
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H03/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/12
Champions League
78.1Avg total
36.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.478.9-3.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.839.479.2+0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)35.043.678.6-8.67%-
Last 10 (10)36.142.078.1-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.245.079.2-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.942.578.4-6.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.639.979.5-0.338%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A02/10
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H08/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A16/10
Lega A
Venezia
#1
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H23/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/10
Lega A
Cantu
#14
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H06/11
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A13/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H20/11
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A27/11
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/12
Lega A
81.8Avg total
42.3Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.481.3+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.380.4+3.875%-
Last 30 away (14)39.442.882.2-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)42.339.581.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.484.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.642.782.3-3.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.239.779.9+0.656%-
vs Weaker (4)46.039.885.8+6.250%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.918.6
46.7%
51.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.9
34.6%
35.7%23.6
🏀 Free throws18.513.9
75.0%
74.0%13.9
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.7
56.9%
51.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.813.9
78.1%
74.0%13.9
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLWLLLLWLL
Reggiana
WLWWWWWWWL
#10
League position
#6
-8.4
Net rating
+6.4
98.4
Offensive rating
114.1
106.8
Defensive rating
107.7
48.6%
Effective FG%
56.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.6%
3-point %
36.8%
53.8%
Assist %
52.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 114.1Defence106.8 · 107.7Shooting48.6% · 56.1%3-point %34.6% · 36.8%Ball care19.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds26.9% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Varese   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
3
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
24/04/16Varese v Reggiana77-69
27/12/15Reggiana v Varese86-69
08/02/15Reggiana v Varese86-70
25/10/14Varese v Reggiana112-118 OT
18/01/14Reggiana v Varese73-80
13/10/13Varese v Reggiana83-64
24/03/13Reggiana v Varese74-77
25/11/12Varese v Reggiana91-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/16ALyon-Villeurbanne70-86
03/12/16HCantu82-92
30/11/16HOldenburg76-71
27/11/16ACapo d'Orlando71-76
22/11/16AUsak Sportif64-87
19/11/16HBrescia68-74
16/11/16HHydroTruck Radom62-69
13/11/16APesaro87-83
09/11/16AVentspils66-91
06/11/16HAvellino77-79 OT
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/16HCapo d'Orlando80-70
27/11/16ABrescia88-93
20/11/16HPesaro87-80
13/11/16AAvellino86-81
06/11/16HCantu90-77
30/10/16ATrento84-80
23/10/16HVenezia85-79
16/10/16ABrindisi82-78
08/10/16HSassari86-80
02/10/16ACaserta75-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game77.682.273.0
Allowed / game81.380.082.6
Point differential-3.7+2.2-9.6
Avg total158.9162.2155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %20%40%0%
Reggiana
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game84.385.683.0
Allowed / game79.677.282.0
Point differential+4.7+8.4+1.0
Avg total163.9162.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)-60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1110191%88.777.7+11.0
2 Reggiana108280%84.379.6+4.7
3 Venezia118373%83.080.5+2.5
4 Avellino107370%79.175.7+3.4
5 Caserta117464%83.482.8+0.5
6 Capo d'Orlando116555%79.676.5+3.2
7 Brindisi116555%82.279.7+2.5
8 Sassari115645%76.175.8+0.3
9 Brescia115645%81.581.9-0.5
10 Torino115645%82.784.5-1.8
11 Trento114736%75.076.5-1.5
12 Pistoia114736%74.778.7-4.0
13 Varese103730%77.681.3-3.7
14 Cantu103730%77.884.2-6.4
15 Pesaro113827%75.179.3-4.2
16 Cremona112918%76.282.5-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2117162781
Reggiana2112162271
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