PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-82
18-20 14-15 20-22 20-25
Position#7
Record12-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#17
Record6-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 22· SAP Garden
European cup2024
Meetings · Bayern v Virtus Bologna
08 Oct 2026
BAY87
VIR94
30 Oct 2025
BAY86
VIR70
17 Jan 2025
BAY72
VIR82
30 Nov 2023
BAY90
VIR76
27 Jan 2023
BAY91
VIR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
74-93
74
93
-19
69avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 79
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 79
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
63avg 79
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 79
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 79
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
77avg 79
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-112
69
112
-43
61avg 79
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-59
87
59
+28
87avg 79
A12/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
W
95-94
95
94
+1
88avg 79
H15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
16-28
20-31
14-16
26-14
14-25
25-20
14-19
24-21
18-15
25-11
22-28
16-13
20-19
17-23
16-25
25-25
27-22
22-21
17-16
16-23
14-24
20-15
26-26
27-18
20-19
18-26
16-25
14-28
23-23
20-27
12-34
22-12
27-12
17-24
21-11
30-13
23-27
25-28
17-26
166.1Avg total
81.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.088.5174.5-2.457%
Season at home (10)93.886.3180.1+7.590%
Season away (11)79.090.5169.5-11.527%
Last 10 (10)81.085.1166.1-4.150%
Last 5 (5)81.688.2169.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.692.4172.0-12.929%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.785.7172.3+1.067%
vs Weaker (11)88.274.0162.2+14.282%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
72avg 79
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
83avg 79
H20/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 79
A22/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
79avg 79
H27/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
97-71
97
71
+26
104avg 79
H29/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
90-111
90
111
-21
85avg 79
A03/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
69-57
69
57
+12
66avg 79
A05/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
71avg 79
H10/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
86-75
86
75
+11
88avg 79
H12/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
62avg 79
A15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
29-14
10-21
21-23
23-15
12-19
30-31
21-16
23-20
29-21
5-25
22-21
17-7
29-22
20-16
17-24
21-14
22-22
31-16
23-19
23-30
19-24
24-25
24-32
18-13
16-15
14-16
21-13
14-20
23-18
22-16
17-20
26-13
18-22
30-21
12-19
13-25
19-16
19-20
17-16
160.0Avg total
81.1Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.684.7165.3-4.029%
Season at home (11)80.280.6160.8-0.536%
Season away (10)81.189.1170.2-8.020%
Last 10 (10)81.178.9160.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)77.878.8156.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.889.0170.8-7.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.582.2164.7+0.350%
vs Weaker (10)86.380.7167.0+5.670%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
BayernVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A29/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A12/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/01
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
42.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.582.6+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.439.483.8+4.964%-
Last 30 away (16)40.241.481.6-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.982.5+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.883.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.443.382.7-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.841.283.0+0.558%-
vs Weaker (11)44.437.882.2+6.564%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A18/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H20/12
Euroleague
Trento
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A22/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H27/12
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H29/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A03/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#14
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H10/01
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A15/01
Euroleague
79.0Avg total
41.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.582.4-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.180.1+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)41.743.084.7-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.137.979.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.277.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.843.884.6-3.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.239.882.0+2.450%-
vs Weaker (10)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.517.1
56.1%
54.5%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.0
37.2%
36.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.4
73.4%
78.0%12.4
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.2
55.8%
54.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.9
35.5%
36.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.915.2
80.4%
78.0%15.2
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLLLWLWWL
Virtus Bologna
LWWWLWWLWL
#7
League position
#17
-6.7
Net rating
+3.4
108.9
Offensive rating
114.8
115.6
Defensive rating
111.3
55.9%
Effective FG%
54.7%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
20.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.2%
3-point %
35.5%
68.0%
Assist %
75.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 114.8Defence115.6 · 111.3Shooting55.9% · 54.7%3-point %37.2% · 35.5%Ball care20.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 29.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
29/10/24Virtus Bologna v Bayern84-87
03/01/24Virtus Bologna v Bayern85-83
30/11/23Bayern v Virtus Bologna90-76
27/01/23Bayern v Virtus Bologna91-84
13/10/22Virtus Bologna v Bayern66-63
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HMonaco95-94
12/01/25AHeidelberg87-59
10/01/25AOlympiacos69-112
05/01/25AAlba Berlin81-88
03/01/25AReal Madrid76-88
29/12/24AFrankfurt91-84
27/12/24HPanathinaikos69-80
22/12/24HOldenburg89-75
20/12/24AOlimpia Milano79-78
17/12/24AMonaco74-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas68-77
12/01/25HBasket Napoli86-75
10/01/25HBaskonia76-74
05/01/25AReggiana69-57
03/01/25APanathinaikos90-111
29/12/24HScafati97-71
27/12/24HLyon-Villeurbanne83-69
22/12/24ATrento79-87
20/12/24HBarcelona86-81
18/12/24AOlympiacos77-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%90%27%
Points / game86.093.879.0
Allowed / game88.586.390.5
Point differential-2.4+7.5-11.5
Avg total174.5180.1169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL29%
HomeLLWWW36%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%36%20%
Points / game80.680.281.1
Allowed / game84.780.689.1
Point differential-4.0-0.5-8.0
Avg total165.3160.8170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)29% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2216673%88.082.0+6.0
2 Fenerbahce2114767%80.780.0+0.7
3 Panathinaikos2113862%87.082.1+4.9
4 Paris2113862%85.884.5+1.3
5 Monaco2213959%87.583.1+4.5
6 Crvena zvezda2213959%83.481.2+2.2
7 Barcelona2112957%86.083.7+2.3
8 Bayern2112957%86.088.5-2.4
9 Real Madrid22121055%86.082.9+3.2
10 Olimpia Milano22121055%86.984.7+2.2
11 Partizan22111150%83.480.2+3.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas22111150%77.277.8-0.6
13 Anadolu Efes21101148%83.682.7+1.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne22101245%80.684.2-3.6
15 Baskonia2181338%79.681.9-2.3
16 Virtus Bologna2161529%80.684.7-4.0
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2251723%84.890.6-5.8
18 Alba Berlin2231914%79.592.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1814202072
Virtus Bologna2015222582
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.