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Bayern vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 87-70
17-16 20-20 31-19 19-15
Position#7
Record14-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game87.8
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record13-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 25· SAP Garden
European cup2024
Meetings · Bayern v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2027
BAY v MIL
upcoming
14 Oct 2025
BAY64
MIL53
04 Feb 2025
BAY87
MIL70
05 Dec 2023
BAY91
MIL84
20 Oct 2022
BAY81
MIL83
26 Oct 2021
BAY83
MIL77
30 Apr 2021
BAY85
MIL82
28 Apr 2021
BAY85
MIL79
02 Oct 2020
BAY79
MIL81
11 Jan 2019
BAY93
MIL87
31 Oct 2014
BAY74
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 80
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
77avg 80
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
69-112
69
112
-43
61avg 80
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-59
87
59
+28
87avg 80
A12/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
W
95-94
95
94
+1
88avg 80
H15/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
72-82
72
82
-10
59avg 80
H17/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-84
99
84
+15
99avg 80
A24/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
W
84-82
84
82
+2
77avg 80
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
99avg 80
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
99-86 OT
99
86
+13
92avg 80
H02/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
14-24
20-15
26-26
27-18
20-19
18-26
16-25
14-28
23-23
20-27
12-34
22-12
27-12
17-24
21-11
30-13
23-27
25-28
17-26
18-20
14-15
20-22
20-25
27-27
25-23
18-18
29-16
17-21
18-20
21-15
28-26
22-18
23-13
26-28
26-23
17-17
21-24
24-15
18-24
171.6Avg total
85.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.587.8174.2-1.358%
Season at home (11)91.885.9177.7+5.982%
Season away (13)81.989.3171.2-7.438%
Last 10 (10)85.985.7171.6+0.260%
Last 5 (5)90.283.2173.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.894.5173.3-15.717%
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.283.5169.7+2.869%
vs Weaker (11)91.675.6167.3+16.091%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
115-82
115
82
+33
117avg 80
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
107-74
107
74
+33
106avg 80
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 80
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-68
100
68
+32
103avg 80
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
70-90
70
90
-20
59avg 80
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
60avg 80
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
66-110
66
110
-44
55avg 80
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
W
87-74
87
74
+13
87avg 80
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 80
H30/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
119-92
119
92
+27
122avg 80
H02/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
25-25
35-21
28-17
20-14
25-23
33-17
29-20
28-29
27-22
29-25
24-30
23-19
24-24
31-10
22-15
17-17
23-20
18-27
12-26
22-21
21-28
19-18
10-18
9-24
22-32
17-31
18-23
25-23
21-23
26-22
15-6
17-16
22-21
27-13
21-25
28-22
35-27
32-18
24-25
178.7Avg total
93.1Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.085.3171.4+0.754%
Season at home (13)87.582.5170.1+5.062%
Season away (11)84.388.6172.9-4.445%
Last 10 (10)93.185.6178.7+7.570%
Last 5 (5)86.287.2173.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.589.7172.2-7.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)84.581.5165.9+3.067%
vs Weaker (9)101.489.7191.1+11.867%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.2-0.2
BayernOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A05/01
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A10/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
49-24
49
24
+25
A12/01
BBL
Monaco
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H15/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H17/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A24/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/01
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A30/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H02/02
BBL
81.5Avg total
41.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.082.9+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.739.082.7+4.757%-
Last 30 away (16)42.140.983.0+1.256%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.781.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.743.384.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.838.979.7+1.854%-
vs Weaker (11)46.539.586.0+7.173%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/01
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/01
Euroleague
Venezia
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A23/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H26/01
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H30/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/02
Lega A
91.0Avg total
46.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.988.2+0.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.843.489.2+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)42.644.486.9-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)46.144.991.0+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.491.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.546.084.5-7.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.941.684.5+1.360%-
vs Weaker (9)50.646.296.8+4.378%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.416.2
53.3%
54.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.113.2
41.1%
36.2%39.6
🏀 Free throws16.612.7
76.5%
78.0%12.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.0
56.9%
54.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.112.0
44.3%
36.2%36.0
🏀 Free throws22.218.3
82.4%
78.0%18.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWWLWWLLL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLLWWWW
#7
League position
#11
-0.1
Net rating
+10.5
115.2
Offensive rating
129.2
115.3
Defensive rating
118.7
57.6%
Effective FG%
61.2%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
20.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
41.1%
3-point %
44.3%
64.6%
Assist %
59.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 129.2Defence115.3 · 118.7Shooting57.6% · 61.2%3-point %41.1% · 44.3%Ball care20.9% · 14.2%Off. rebounds33.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HAlba Berlin99-86 OT
30/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas97-82
26/01/25HBamberg84-82
24/01/25AAlba Berlin99-84
17/01/25HVirtus Bologna72-82
15/01/25HMonaco95-94
12/01/25AHeidelberg87-59
10/01/25AOlympiacos69-112
05/01/25AAlba Berlin81-88
03/01/25AReal Madrid76-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HVarese119-92
30/01/25HPanathinaikos87-75
26/01/25HTrieste87-74
23/01/25AAnadolu Efes66-110
19/01/25AVenezia72-85
16/01/25HPartizan70-90
14/01/25HAlba Berlin100-68
12/01/25HReggiana108-106
09/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv107-74
05/01/25APistoia115-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeWWLWL82%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %58%82%38%
Points / game86.591.881.9
Allowed / game87.885.989.3
Point differential-1.3+5.9-7.4
Avg total174.2177.7171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%27%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %54%62%45%
Points / game86.087.584.3
Allowed / game85.382.588.6
Point differential+0.7+5.0-4.4
Avg total171.4170.1172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2417771%87.782.5+5.2
2 Fenerbahce2416867%82.080.4+1.5
3 Monaco2415962%87.082.5+4.5
4 Paris2314961%86.084.7+1.3
5 Panathinaikos25151060%86.482.8+3.6
6 Crvena zvezda25151060%82.280.3+1.8
7 Bayern24141058%86.587.8-1.3
8 Barcelona24131154%86.584.4+2.1
9 Olimpia Milano24131154%86.085.3+0.7
10 Real Madrid25131252%85.282.7+2.4
11 Partizan24121250%83.280.2+3.1
12 Anadolu Efes25121348%84.682.3+2.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas25121348%77.278.0-0.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne25111444%80.984.4-3.6
15 Baskonia24101442%80.882.2-1.4
16 Virtus Bologna2471729%80.784.6-4.0
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2461825%84.990.0-5.0
18 Alba Berlin2542116%79.191.4-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1720311987
Olimpia Milano1620191570
← all games of the day
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