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Real Madrid vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 100-99
22-16 21-21 19-25 38-37
Position#2
Record5-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#5
Record7-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game79.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunas
25 Nov 2026
MAD v ZAL
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
MAD100
ZAL99
12 Dec 2024
MAD83
ZAL92
17 Oct 2023
MAD93
ZAL79
23 Feb 2023
MAD96
ZAL69
12 Nov 2021
MAD95
ZAL82
25 Feb 2021
MAD70
ZAL58
04 Apr 2019
MAD86
ZAL93
22 Mar 2018
MAD88
ZAL81
08 Dec 2016
MAD96
ZAL91
15 Jan 2016
MAD92
ZAL86
10 Apr 2015
MAD99
ZAL83
17 Oct 2014
MAD80
ZAL71
21 Feb 2014
MAD108
ZAL72
22 Nov 2013
MAD95
ZAL67
11 Jan 2013
MAD75
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
88avg 81
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 81
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 81
A28/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-58
84
58
+26
85avg 81
H30/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
95-83
95
83
+12
96avg 81
A02/11
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
101-92
101
92
+9
101avg 81
A07/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
A09/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
71avg 81
A11/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 81
H13/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
W
82-70
82
70
+12
71avg 81
H16/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
21-40
26-19
17-16
21-17
21-18
23-20
22-20
25-27
32-17
10-25
17-21
25-16
24-6
15-13
20-23
27-20
21-25
25-23
22-15
34-24
24-24
27-21
16-23
16-17
21-18
26-20
17-20
21-22
17-23
22-22
16-22
16-22
22-30
21-21
18-14
23-16
16-27
24-19
19-8
166.8Avg total
85.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.982.5166.4+1.545%
Season at home (5)85.676.0161.6+9.680%
Season away (6)82.587.8170.3-5.317%
Last 10 (10)85.781.1166.8+4.660%
Last 5 (5)83.282.6165.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.282.1169.4+5.162%
vs Weaker (20)88.582.0170.4+6.575%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 82
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 82
A23/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
87avg 82
A26/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-65
86
65
+21
86avg 82
H28/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
96-59
96
59
+37
106avg 82
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
79-75
79
75
+4
70avg 82
H02/11
LKL
Valencia
#3
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 82
H07/11
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
94-68
94
68
+26
97avg 82
A09/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
62avg 82
A12/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
89-95
89
95
-6
80avg 82
A14/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
34-19
13-25
24-20
26-14
26-25
23-15
13-19
24-16
21-17
16-20
28-20
25-11
17-22
16-17
28-15
26-15
22-20
25-9
23-15
15-21
27-17
22-14
15-23
18-17
20-18
23-23
25-19
21-19
24-12
25-25
24-12
14-28
22-22
17-24
25-21
34-24
14-21
16-28
25-22
163.7Avg total
87.0Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.579.6166.1+6.864%
Season at home (5)86.074.2160.2+11.880%
Season away (6)86.884.2171.0+2.750%
Last 10 (10)87.076.7163.7+10.370%
Last 5 (5)85.282.0167.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.095.0173.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.883.0168.8+2.867%
vs Weaker (23)86.774.5161.1+12.283%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +4.4+4.4
Real MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A28/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H30/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A02/11
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A07/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H13/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
ACB
88.0Avg total
45.4Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.386.9+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.539.883.3+3.756%-
Last 30 away (14)46.045.191.1+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)45.442.688.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.686.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.042.286.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker (20)45.541.787.2+3.855%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/10
LKL
Barcelona
#8
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A23/10
Euroleague
Gargzdai
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A26/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H28/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H02/11
LKL
Valencia
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H07/11
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/11
LKL
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A12/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A14/11
Euroleague
82.5Avg total
44.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.079.5+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.636.077.6+5.680%-
Last 30 away (15)43.537.981.5+5.673%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.182.5+6.390%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.881.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.050.086.0-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.239.383.5+4.883%-
vs Weaker (23)42.435.878.2+6.778%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
60.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
35.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.021.6
83.1%
78.2%21.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.3
58.4%
60.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.3
34.1%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.113.7
71.7%
78.2%13.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWWWWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWWWWWWL
#2
League position
#5
+5.3
Net rating
+14.5
111.1
Offensive rating
118.9
105.8
Defensive rating
104.4
50.2%
Effective FG%
55.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.0%
3-point %
34.1%
58.4%
Assist %
64.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 118.9Defence105.8 · 104.4Shooting50.2% · 55.3%3-point %32.0% · 34.1%Ball care18.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds33.8% · 38.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HBilbao82-70
13/11/25HPanathinaikos77-87
11/11/25AValencia76-89
09/11/25AJoventut Badalona80-75
07/11/25ABarcelona101-92
02/11/25ABasket Zaragoza95-83
30/10/25HFenerbahce84-58
28/10/25ABayern84-90
26/10/25HManresa87-75
22/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv91-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25ADubai89-95
12/11/25AOlympiacos78-95
09/11/25ANevezis94-68
07/11/25HValencia86-77
02/11/25HRytas79-75
30/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne96-59
28/10/25HVirtus Bologna86-65
26/10/25AGargzdai89-73
23/10/25ABarcelona88-73
19/10/25HLietkabelis85-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game83.985.682.5
Allowed / game82.576.087.8
Point differential+1.5+9.6-5.3
Avg total166.4161.6170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game86.586.086.8
Allowed / game79.674.284.2
Point differential+6.8+11.8+2.7
Avg total166.1160.2171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv129375%92.184.8+7.2
2 Crvena zvezda118373%87.782.0+5.7
3 Panathinaikos128467%89.386.8+2.6
4 Zalgiris Kaunas117464%86.579.6+6.8
5 Olympiacos117464%85.980.5+5.4
6 Monaco127558%87.082.8+4.2
7 Barcelona127558%85.185.1+0.0
8 Valencia116555%90.188.9+1.2
9 Fenerbahce116555%79.179.1+0.0
10 Olimpia Milano126650%83.183.1+0.0
11 Real Madrid115645%83.982.5+1.5
12 Paris115645%89.688.8+0.8
13 Virtus Bologna115645%81.584.4-2.8
14 Bayern115645%78.481.4-3.0
15 Dubai125742%85.988.0-2.1
16 Anadolu Efes125742%81.784.8-3.1
17 Partizan114736%82.386.0-3.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv113827%89.193.7-4.6
19 Baskonia113827%86.492.3-5.9
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne123925%75.685.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid22211938100
Zalgiris Kaunas1621253799
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