PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Parnu vs BK Ogre Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-71
20-18 19-23 23-20 23-10
Position#9
Record5-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game78.5
Parnu 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record8-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2025
Meetings · Parnu v BK Ogre
13 Dec 2026
PAR v BK O
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
PAR85
BK O71
26 Feb 2025
PAR57
BK O92
09 Mar 2024
PAR73
BK O82
15 Oct 2022
PAR85
BK O71
22 Dec 2021
PAR83
BK O78
18 Jan 2019
PAR79
BK O86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 69
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
58avg 69
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 69
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 69
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
93avg 69
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
94avg 69
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 69
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
73-82
73
82
-9
58avg 69
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 69
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
76-72
76
72
+4
67avg 69
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
10-17
18-21
24-20
13-22
27-24
15-20
16-17
15-19
16-22
18-19
13-18
17-13
14-21
21-24
26-28
26-20
22-24
24-21
18-18
16-19
38-17
22-24
21-10
24-16
22-23
14-29
20-22
11-22
20-22
20-19
22-19
22-17
24-15
16-4
19-28
21-14
20-27
13-15
22-16
158.0Avg total
78.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.478.5156.9-0.238%
Season at home (5)73.080.2153.2-7.220%
Season away (8)81.877.5159.2+4.250%
Last 10 (10)78.679.4158.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)81.475.6157.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)76.490.8167.2-14.417%
vs Similar ◀ (5)71.879.0150.8-7.220%
vs Weaker (7)89.974.9164.7+15.0100%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
68avg 76
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
81-68
81
68
+13
79avg 76
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
68avg 76
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
59-65
59
65
-6
48avg 76
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
76-83
76
83
-7
71avg 76
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
77avg 76
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
111-101 OT
111
101
+10
110avg 76
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#10
W
100-92
100
92
+8
85avg 76
A17/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
90-77
90
77
+13
83avg 76
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 76
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
21-32
21-24
12-17
24-17
19-18
15-11
23-22
18-17
31-14
7-25
21-11
16-15
20-12
11-16
12-22
21-15
18-20
18-25
19-23
15-20
29-19
18-19
15-22
17-26
23-26
24-13
18-17
28-33
13-23
35-10
24-26
23-22
25-18
19-17
23-20
20-27
21-22
22-14
22-20
163.6Avg total
83.0Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.078.6158.6+1.450%
Season at home (8)81.580.0161.5+1.550%
Season away (8)78.577.1155.6+1.450%
Last 10 (10)83.080.6163.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)92.686.6179.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.187.3168.4-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.577.4157.9+3.150%
vs Weaker (9)85.970.8156.7+15.178%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
ParnuBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A06/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
80.6Avg total
40.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.942.981.8-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.943.882.8-4.915%-
Last 30 away (17)38.942.281.1-3.241%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.280.6+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.482.0+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.246.683.7-9.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)33.638.872.4-5.220%-
vs Weaker (7)47.336.483.7+10.986%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A22/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H13/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Jekabpils
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A17/12
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H20/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
83.5Avg total
42.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.8+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.083.3+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)42.641.784.3+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)42.241.383.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.290.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.244.086.2-1.858%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.239.881.0+1.550%-
vs Weaker (9)45.636.081.6+9.678%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.7
49.9%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.6
32.0%
32.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.114.2
64.3%
69.8%14.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.2
53.7%
53.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
32.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.314.3
67.1%
69.8%14.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
WWLLWWLLLL
BK Ogre
WWWWLLLWWL
#9
League position
#8
-1.6
Net rating
+3.7
101.1
Offensive rating
110.0
102.6
Defensive rating
106.3
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.0%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.0%
3-point %
34.7%
61.5%
Assist %
65.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 110.0Defence102.6 · 106.3Shooting49.1% · 53.0%3-point %32.0% · 34.7%Ball care18.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds28.5% · 28.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Parnu   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Parnu wins
6
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25BK Ogre v Parnu71-60
26/02/25Parnu v BK Ogre57-92
17/11/24BK Ogre v Parnu76-87
09/03/24Parnu v BK Ogre73-82
20/12/23BK Ogre v Parnu93-72
12/03/23BK Ogre v Parnu81-68
15/10/22Parnu v BK Ogre85-71
10/04/22BK Ogre v Parnu77-84
16/02/22BK Ogre v Parnu74-71
22/12/21Parnu v BK Ogre83-78
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HKeila KK76-72
21/12/25AKeila Coolbet81-64
17/12/25HVentspils73-82
13/12/25AVEF Riga80-90
06/12/25AKeila KK97-70
23/11/25ABK Liepaja90-83
15/11/25ATal Tech78-86
08/11/25HValmiera Glass Via62-78
01/11/25ATartu Ulikool71-83
25/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo78-86
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AVentspils85-83
20/12/25HValmiera Glass Via90-77
17/12/25AJekabpils100-92
13/12/25HBC Kalev/Cramo111-101 OT
10/12/25ATal Tech77-80
05/12/25HBK Liepaja76-83
22/11/25ATartu Ulikool59-65
19/11/25HViimsi77-67
15/11/25ALatvijas Universitate81-68
08/11/25AVEF Riga74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW38%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %38%20%50%
Points / game78.473.081.8
Allowed / game78.580.277.5
Point differential-0.2-7.2+4.2
Avg total156.9153.2159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.081.578.5
Allowed / game78.680.077.1
Point differential+1.4+1.5+1.4
Avg total158.6161.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool1615194%85.876.8+9.1
2 Rigas Zelli1714382%92.877.8+15.1
3 VEF Riga1713476%90.578.5+12.0
4 Ventspils1611569%90.982.1+8.8
5 BC Kalev/Cramo149564%94.883.2+11.6
6 Tal Tech149564%85.481.6+3.8
7 Valmiera Glass Via1610662%88.881.0+7.8
8 BK Ogre168850%80.078.6+1.4
9 Parnu135838%78.478.5-0.2
10 BK Liepaja1531220%78.589.2-10.7
11 Viimsi1531220%74.589.7-15.2
12 Keila KK1531220%80.896.5-15.7
13 Keila Coolbet1521313%76.192.3-16.2
14 Latvijas Universitate131128%76.895.2-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2019232385
BK Ogre1823201071
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.