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Parnu vs BK Ogre Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record4-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2026
Meetings · Parnu v BK Ogre
13 Dec 2026
PAR v BK O
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
PAR85
BK O71
26 Feb 2025
PAR57
BK O92
09 Mar 2024
PAR73
BK O82
15 Oct 2022
PAR85
BK O71
22 Dec 2021
PAR83
BK O78
18 Jan 2019
PAR79
BK O86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BK Ogre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#9
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 69
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
54avg 69
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 69
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
86-69
86
69
+17
80avg 69
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 69
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 69
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
73avg 69
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
12-19
11-20
23-15
18-28
13-15
10-12
20-29
19-17
15-19
17-29
21-24
14-21
24-16
24-17
24-15
24-25
19-16
29-14
19-22
12-32
20-13
26-20
22-17
13-16
24-23
22-22
17-13
21-18
14-14
17-30
17-20
23-17
22-22
20-21
24-20
21-17
20-22
11-15
13-32
155.7Avg total
75.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.978.1157.0+0.757%
Season at home (5)80.475.8156.2+4.680%
Season away (2)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.979.8155.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)75.880.8156.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.884.2157.0-11.413%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.275.6154.9+3.650%
vs Weaker (7)84.675.0159.6+9.686%
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOgre
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
95avg 80
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
54avg 80
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
85-110
85
110
-25
63avg 80
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
106-81
106
81
+25
101avg 80
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
71avg 80
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
77avg 80
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
88-92
88
92
-4
80avg 80
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
101-77
101
77
+24
97avg 80
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
29-22
21-30
29-34
20-29
23-23
17-17
13-23
15-34
21-28
23-29
26-19
18-22
30-21
22-15
36-23
20-15
17-11
23-22
16-21
21-26
18-25
18-18
21-13
29-23
22-29
19-23
18-17
22-22
26-16
28-25
25-14
26-20
23-14
23-23
20-31
21-23
17-18
15-28
28-20
176.7Avg total
88.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.786.7173.3+0.044%
Season at home (6)90.286.5176.7+3.750%
Season away (3)79.787.0166.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)88.188.6176.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)88.085.6173.6+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)85.890.9176.7-5.130%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.084.0165.0-3.029%
vs Weaker (12)88.880.2169.1+8.667%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
ParnuBK Ogre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
76.3Avg total
37.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.978.0-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.438.978.3+0.568%-
Last 30 away (11)35.941.577.5-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.176.3-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.876.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.339.976.2-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.440.077.4-2.650%-
vs Weaker (7)43.039.682.6+3.486%-
This opponent (BK Ogre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BK OgreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A21/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#5
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
88.1Avg total
44.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.186.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.442.387.8+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.743.984.6-3.243%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.188.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.147.390.4-4.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.343.486.7-0.143%-
vs Weaker (12)43.538.281.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.8
50.6%
52.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.3
27.7%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.110.2
67.5%
68.3%10.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BK Ogretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BK Ogre: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.8
57.8%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
31.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
68.3%14.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LWLWLWWLLL
BK Ogre
LWWLLWWLLL
#7
League position
#10
-2.4
Net rating
-2.5
86.7
Offensive rating
100.7
89.1
Defensive rating
103.2
47.1%
Effective FG%
56.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.7%
3-point %
37.0%
70.8%
Assist %
53.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence86.7 · 100.7Defence89.1 · 103.2Shooting47.1% · 56.7%3-point %27.7% · 37.0%Ball care15.2% · 14.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Parnu   ■ BK Ogre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Parnu wins
6
BK Ogre wins
DateGameScore
07/01/26Parnu v BK Ogre85-71
18/10/25BK Ogre v Parnu71-60
26/02/25Parnu v BK Ogre57-92
17/11/24BK Ogre v Parnu76-87
09/03/24Parnu v BK Ogre73-82
20/12/23BK Ogre v Parnu93-72
12/03/23BK Ogre v Parnu81-68
15/10/22Parnu v BK Ogre85-71
10/04/22BK Ogre v Parnu77-84
16/02/22BK Ogre v Parnu74-71
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HKeravnos65-86
07/11/26HVentspils89-80
04/11/26HSzczecin69-82
01/11/26HValmiera Glass Via76-74
28/10/26ANitra Blue Wings80-82
25/10/26HLatvijas Universitate91-77
22/10/26HVienna Basket86-69
17/10/26AVEF Riga72-89
13/10/26HNancy61-84
10/10/26HKeila KK70-75
BK Ogrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKeila KK81-89
07/11/26HBC Kalev/Cramo92-88
31/10/26HKeila Coolbet101-77
24/10/26HVentspils88-92
21/10/26ATal Tech78-82
16/10/26AViimsi76-69
10/10/26HLatvijas Universitate106-81
03/10/26ARigas Zelli85-110
26/09/26HVEF Riga73-92
14/03/26HLatvijas Universitate101-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game78.980.475.0
Allowed / game78.175.884.0
Point differential+0.7+4.6-9.0
Avg total157.0156.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BK Ogre
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game86.790.279.7
Allowed / game86.786.587.0
Point differential+0.0+3.7-7.3
Avg total173.3176.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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