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Partizan vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 89-82
34-23 20-16 22-19 13-24
Position#2
Record25-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#9
Record16-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 30· Beogradska arena
Domestic2024
Meetings · Partizan v Mega Basket
05 Oct 2026
PAR83
MEG59
04 May 2025
PAR89
MEG82
14 Feb 2025
PAR83
MEG63
30 May 2024
PAR96
MEG68
24 May 2024
PAR82
MEG72
22 Jan 2024
PAR112
MEG80
30 Oct 2022
PAR86
MEG76
20 Jan 2022
PAR90
MEG93
03 Jun 2021
PAR81
MEG77
26 Sep 2019
PAR86
MEG73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Partizan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
85avg 79
H23/03
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
85avg 79
H25/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
74-89
74
89
-15
65avg 79
A27/03
Euroleague
Split
#14
W
81-64
81
64
+17
81avg 79
A30/03
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
66-70
66
70
-4
59avg 79
A03/04
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
W
100-94
100
94
+6
90avg 79
H06/04
ABA League
Real Madrid
#8
L
89-91
89
91
-2
82avg 79
H10/04
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 79
A14/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
85-77
85
77
+8
75avg 79
H21/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 79
A27/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
14-18
20-18
29-30
13-14
27-20
21-22
24-15
23-21
21-21
19-23
11-24
21-19
20-11
23-20
17-14
21-24
19-11
9-14
17-21
32-26
22-32
28-17
18-19
24-22
22-26
28-17
15-26
20-21
13-22
24-25
20-13
18-18
21-14
18-24
28-21
23-18
21-14
15-18
22-21
161.9Avg total
82.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)90.774.6165.3+16.186%
Season at home (14)94.875.7170.5+19.193%
Season away (15)86.973.6160.5+13.380%
Last 10 (10)82.779.2161.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)86.482.8169.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.089.0172.0-6.00%
vs Similar (12)79.379.2158.5+0.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.874.4162.2+13.388%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
48avg 75
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
84avg 75
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 75
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 75
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
59avg 75
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 75
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
79avg 75
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
100avg 75
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 75
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
72avg 75
H28/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
11-18
18-15
12-19
20-22
27-27
21-22
19-19
23-12
23-25
24-22
23-20
18-33
18-16
13-17
23-15
18-23
20-22
16-25
18-11
24-25
19-18
14-15
18-16
26-26
17-24
17-18
20-8
30-25
22-24
27-18
18-23
20-27
27-24
10-11
31-21
21-18
28-19
13-24
21-20
162.8Avg total
81.0Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.781.6164.2+1.155%
Season at home (15)82.780.1162.7+2.660%
Season away (14)82.683.1165.8-0.550%
Last 10 (10)81.081.8162.8-0.860%
Last 5 (5)84.680.8165.4+3.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.185.2163.3-7.122%
vs Similar (9)78.382.6160.9-4.256%
vs Weaker (11)88.478.9167.3+9.573%
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.1+3.1
PartizanMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#17
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/03
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/03
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/03
Euroleague
Split
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A30/03
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A03/04
Euroleague
Igokea
#7
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H06/04
ABA League
Real Madrid
#8
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H10/04
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A14/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H21/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A27/04
ABA League
81.1Avg total
42.1Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.381.1+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.339.784.0+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.338.978.1+0.453%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.081.1+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.685.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.040.077.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (12)42.242.384.5-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.137.679.7+4.475%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/04
ABA League
89.3Avg total
43.4Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.785.7+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.439.182.6+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)42.446.889.2-4.414%-
Last 10 (10)43.445.989.3-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.092.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.143.683.7-3.433%-
vs Similar (9)41.745.987.6-4.222%-
vs Weaker (11)46.041.187.1+4.955%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.2
54.6%
54.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.615.6
79.6%
75.6%15.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.1
55.8%
54.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
75.6%14.5
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Partizan
WWLLWLWLWW
Mega Basket
WWWWWLLWLL
#2
League position
#9
+4.9
Net rating
-1.1
114.4
Offensive rating
106.3
109.5
Defensive rating
107.4
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
18.7%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.8%
3-point %
34.7%
60.5%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 106.3Defence109.5 · 107.4Shooting53.7% · 54.2%3-point %34.8% · 34.7%Ball care13.6% · 18.7%Off. rebounds26.8% · 24.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Partizan   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Partizan wins
2
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
14/02/25Partizan v Mega Basket83-63
06/01/25Mega Basket v Partizan90-100 OT
30/05/24Partizan v Mega Basket96-68
27/05/24Mega Basket v Partizan92-88
24/05/24Partizan v Mega Basket82-72
22/01/24Partizan v Mega Basket112-80
23/10/23Mega Basket v Partizan88-86
05/02/23Mega Basket v Partizan78-103
30/10/22Partizan v Mega Basket86-76
10/04/22Mega Basket v Partizan68-97
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25ACedevita Olimpija81-71
21/04/25HCrvena zvezda85-77
14/04/25ABuducnost77-81
10/04/25HReal Madrid89-91
06/04/25HIgokea100-94
03/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas66-70
30/03/25ASplit81-64
27/03/25ABayern74-89
25/03/25HAlba Berlin85-71
23/03/25HMornar Bar89-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/25HStudentski Centar83-81
21/04/25ACibona88-83
15/04/25HSpartak Subotica97-90
05/04/25ABorac Mozzart80-76
30/03/25HZadar75-74
23/03/25HCedevita Olimpija72-81
17/03/25ACrvena zvezda72-81
09/03/25HBuducnost93-79
02/03/25AIgokea87-90
14/02/25APartizan63-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Partizan
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %86%93%80%
Points / game90.794.886.9
Allowed / game74.675.773.6
Point differential+16.1+19.1+13.3
Avg total165.3170.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%64%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game82.782.782.6
Allowed / game81.680.183.1
Point differential+1.1+2.6-0.5
Avg total164.2162.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%27%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)80% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost3026487%90.077.3+12.6
2 Partizan2925486%90.774.6+16.1
3 Dubai3025583%87.877.5+10.3
4 Crvena zvezda3023777%89.178.8+10.2
5 Cedevita Olimpija30191163%84.880.0+4.8
6 Igokea30191163%87.686.6+1.0
7 Spartak Subotica30171357%85.482.2+3.2
8 Mega Basket29161355%82.781.6+1.1
9 Zadar30141647%76.776.1+0.6
10 FMP Beograd30141647%79.685.0-5.4
11 Studentski Centar29101934%84.988.3-3.5
12 Borac Mozzart29101934%75.282.5-7.3
13 Split3092130%76.982.8-5.8
14 KK Krka Novo mesto3052517%81.988.2-6.3
15 Cibona3042613%76.488.9-12.5
16 Mornar Bar302287%74.893.7-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Partizan3420221389
Mega Basket2316192482
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