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Mega Basket vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 72-81
18-23 20-22 16-25 18-11
Position#9
Record11-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#6
Record14-9
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 24· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2024
Meetings · Mega Basket v Cedevita Olimpija
21 Dec 2025
MEG72
COL90
23 Mar 2025
MEG72
COL81
15 Apr 2024
MEG119
COL98
31 Dec 2023
MEG97
COL86
02 Jan 2023
MEG82
COL96
21 Nov 2021
MEG104
COL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
87-94
87
94
-7
72avg 76
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
87-89
87
89
-2
85avg 76
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
66-95
66
95
-29
60avg 76
H27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
113-83
113
83
+30
118avg 76
A01/02
ABA League
Split
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 76
H09/02
ABA League
Dunav
#8
W
89-48
89
48
+41
95avg 76
H13/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
48avg 76
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
84avg 76
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
98avg 76
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 76
A17/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
24-21
20-26
27-19
26-20
27-26
17-18
17-25
12-29
22-22
15-27
17-17
26-16
33-19
29-20
25-28
32-14
18-23
17-25
17-20
22-9
25-15
22-10
20-14
22-31
11-18
18-15
12-19
20-22
27-27
21-22
19-19
23-12
23-25
24-22
23-20
18-33
18-16
13-17
23-15
166.5Avg total
84.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.781.7164.4+1.048%
Season at home (11)83.079.5162.5+3.555%
Season away (12)82.483.8166.2-1.342%
Last 10 (10)84.182.4166.5+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.876.2157.0+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.388.4165.7-11.123%
vs Similar (6)75.083.0158.0-8.033%
vs Weaker (10)88.477.9166.3+10.570%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
L
62-80
62
80
-18
46avg 81
A05/02
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
80avg 81
H08/02
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#27
W
86-68
86
68
+18
84avg 81
H10/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
W
83-63
83
63
+20
80avg 81
A13/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
102-71
102
71
+31
96avg 81
H14/02
Slovenian Cup
Buducnost
#3
L
78-95
78
95
-17
72avg 81
A01/03
ABA League
Besiktas
#9
W
96-86
96
86
+10
90avg 81
H05/03
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 81
H09/03
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 81
A11/03
Eurocup
Zadar
#10
W
80-75 OT
80
75
+5
65avg 81
H16/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
18-21
16-23
10-16
29-21
21-19
17-20
18-30
32-19
8-12
25-12
21-25
18-16
26-21
16-17
23-9
23-25
30-17
26-16
23-13
17-26
18-21
23-21
20-27
23-24
19-25
26-20
28-17
24-18
17-21
13-14
20-16
24-7
22-31
19-18
16-29
15-10
16-25
17-15
18-16
160.9Avg total
82.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.380.0163.3+3.361%
Season at home (12)86.979.4166.3+7.575%
Season away (11)79.580.6160.1-1.245%
Last 10 (10)82.778.2160.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)81.882.0163.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.878.2153.0-3.333%
vs Similar (9)86.283.9170.1+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.672.9162.5+16.793%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
Mega BasketCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H12/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A01/02
ABA League
Split
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H09/02
ABA League
Dunav
#8
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H13/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A14/02
Korac cup
Igokea
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A02/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/03
ABA League
87.1Avg total
44.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.483.7-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.239.081.2+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.645.485.9-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.687.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.683.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.044.683.6-5.631%-
vs Similar (6)38.547.385.8-8.80%-
vs Weaker (10)45.538.483.9+7.170%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#17
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A05/02
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/02
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#27
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H10/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A13/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H14/02
Slovenian Cup
Buducnost
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A01/03
ABA League
Besiktas
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/03
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H09/03
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A11/03
Eurocup
Zadar
#10
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H16/03
ABA League
81.7Avg total
41.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.279.9+3.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.137.982.0+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.477.5+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.981.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.736.874.5+0.883%-
vs Similar (9)41.842.984.7-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.335.979.2+7.580%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.6
57.1%
54.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.2
37.9%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.415.3
71.5%
75.6%15.3
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.4
52.6%
54.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.4
35.9%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.817.9
75.2%
75.6%17.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWLLWWWLLL
Cedevita Olimpija
WLWWLWWWLL
#9
League position
#6
+2.0
Net rating
+6.2
111.8
Offensive rating
110.0
109.8
Defensive rating
103.8
57.0%
Effective FG%
53.1%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.9%
3-point %
35.9%
71.9%
Assist %
59.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 110.0Defence109.8 · 103.8Shooting57.0% · 53.1%3-point %37.9% · 35.9%Ball care18.8% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.8% · 27.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mega Basket wins
5
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/25ACrvena zvezda72-81
09/03/25HBuducnost93-79
02/03/25AIgokea87-90
14/02/25APartizan63-83
13/02/25HDunav89-48
09/02/25HSplit84-82
01/02/25AMornar Bar113-83
27/01/25HDubai66-95
19/01/25AFMP Beograd87-89
12/01/25HKK Krka Novo mesto87-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HZadar80-75 OT
11/03/25ABahcesehir Kol.81-85
09/03/25HCrvena zvezda74-69
05/03/25HBesiktas96-86
01/03/25ABuducnost78-95
14/02/25HKK Krka Novo mesto102-71
13/02/25AKK Triglav Kranj83-63
10/02/25HPerspektiva Ilirija86-68
08/02/25HIgokea85-90
05/02/25AHamburg62-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeLLLWW55%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%55%42%
Points / game82.783.082.4
Allowed / game81.779.583.8
Point differential+1.0+3.5-1.3
Avg total164.4162.5166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%75%45%
Points / game83.386.979.5
Allowed / game80.079.480.6
Point differential+3.3+7.5-1.2
Avg total163.3166.3160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost2421388%90.276.0+14.2
2 Partizan2320387%92.073.6+18.4
3 Dubai2419579%88.078.3+9.7
4 Crvena zvezda2318578%88.478.7+9.7
5 Igokea2416867%84.484.9-0.5
6 Cedevita Olimpija2314961%83.380.0+3.3
7 Zadar24121250%76.775.1+1.5
8 Spartak Subotica24121250%83.882.5+1.3
9 FMP Beograd24121250%79.785.4-5.7
10 Mega Basket23111248%82.781.7+1.0
11 Studentski Centar2381535%82.985.4-2.5
12 Split2381535%76.682.1-5.5
13 Borac Mozzart2381535%76.082.7-6.6
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2442017%81.988.7-6.8
15 Cibona2442017%76.187.5-11.4
16 Mornar Bar231224%74.594.9-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1820161872
Cedevita Olimpija2322251181
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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